Bitcoin To Blast Off? Trump’s Fury Over Interest Rates Signals Big Move
January 08 2025 - 5:30PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin experts are buzzing as President-elect Donald Trump lashed
out against current Federal Reserve policy, calling interest rates
“far too high” despite persistent inflationary pressures. “We are
inheriting a difficult situation from the outgoing administration,”
Trump said at his Mar-a-Lago club, adding that officials seem to be
“trying everything they can to make it more difficult” for his
incoming team. The blunt remarks, coming fewer than two weeks
before Trump’s inauguration, have stoked anticipation of a possible
shift in US monetary policy—and raised speculation about a boost
for Bitcoin and other risk assets in the new year. The 2017 Trump
Playbook: Dollar “Too Strong”, Bitcoin Up? Although the economic
and geopolitical landscape has changed since Trump’s first term,
some market watchers see parallels to his 2017 rhetoric. Back then,
he lambasted a US dollar that he deemed “too strong,” a stance that
preceded a notable decline in the currency. The US Dollar Index
(DXY) peaked near 104 in early January 2017 but began a downward
trend that extended into early 2018, bottoming out around 98.
Related Reading: Anticipating A ‘2025 Super Cycle’: Bitcoin Rallies
With Trump’s Regulatory Reforms On The Horizon This sharp move in
the dollar coincided with a broader risk-on environment, fueling
rallies in equities as well as the Bitcoin and crypto markets.
Julien Bittel, Head of Macro Research at Global Macro Investor
(GMI), drew a direct comparison on X. “The last time Trump said
something was ‘too high,’ it was the dollar – back in January 2017,
just days before his inauguration,” Bittel stated and recounted:
“Here’s what he said: ‘Our companies can’t compete with them now
because our currency is too strong. And it’s killing us.” Notably,
last year, Trump also called recent strength a “tremendous burden
on US businesses.” Bittel further argued: “Trump understands the
impact of a strong dollar – and the same logic applies to high
interest rates. They suppress exports, hurt corporate earnings, and
slow economic growth.” Related Reading: Bitcoin Signal That Took
Price From $69,000 To $108,000 Appears Again Speaking on the impact
on Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, Bittel concluded: “What
happened next? Well, the dollar began a significant decline,
setting the stage for one of the most pivotal macro moves we’ve
seen in years – triggering a melt-up in risk assets. Déjà vu? I
think so. Let’s see how it plays out.” Bittel is not the only
expert speculating that the DXY may already have peaked, mirroring
its 2017 topping pattern. Steve Donzé, Deputy CIO for Multi Asset
at Pictet Asset Management Japan, shared a widely discussed chart
on X, remarking “On time. Ready for pushback,” while overlaying
recent DXY movements with the currency’s trajectory in early 2017.
The chart suggests a similar pattern that could foreshadow renewed
dollar weakness in the coming weeks. In a separate post, financial
analyst Silver Surfer (@SilverSurfer_23) pointed to an uncanny
timing overlap: “DXY topped on January 3rd, 2017—18 days before
Trump’s Inauguration. DXY looks to have topped on January 2nd,
2025—19 days before Trump’s Inauguration.” He characterized the
parallel as “crazy history repeating,” explaining that he sees a
correlation between the path of the DXY before both inaugurations.
Such analogies are fueling speculation that a repeat dollar slump
could usher in an environment favoring risk assets. Should the
dollar indeed enter a new downtrend—much like in 2017–2018—Bitcoin
could ride a wave of renewed liquidity and speculative appetite. At
press time, BTC traded at $94,950. Featured image created with
DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
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