JRoon71
2 hours ago
Based on their presentation a few weeks ago, I would expect approval in Italy by year-end. They were pretty clear that they no longer want to commit resources to countries where they do not see a current path to reimbursement. This is why there is nobody in France and Germany currently.
But yes, as you said, it's a big commitment to Italy. But keep in mind, a BP does not care about profitability and overhead, as that will all go away in a sale. They will just be buying Vascepa/Vazkepa. They only care about revenue (and potential revenue), and cost of sales (cost to manufacture).
JRoon71
2 hours ago
Regarding China, it would be nice to know exactly what Edding did with respect to application for national reimbursement. I found a list here: https://www.navlindaily.com/article/24091/china-releases-2024-nrdl-adds-91-drugs and here: https://www.navlindaily.com/article/22875/nhsa-concludes-preliminary-evaluation-for-list-of-drugs-included-in-2024-nrdl
which lists all the drugs that passed the initial review, and were allowed to proceed to the formal review stage. Vascepa was not on either list. So, I'm not sure Vascepa was even submitted for this year. And if it was, it was not even considered for approval.
This MAY mean that it will be considered for next year. But if it was booted from even initial consideration, then approval next year seems unlikely.
Like most things Amarin, it would just be nice to know more information. so that investors can make informed decisions.
FlyFishingStocks
17 hours ago
The man makes predictions in both directions, then he references the ones that work today. It's an ego play.
Ah,... no, it's a long or short play. It's called "trading"
LOL. Spoken by the the board's fearless leader - an astute 'investor' who thought the -59% crash (pink highlight chart below) on the heels of an earnings miss was OK.
He wrote this on 5/6/2022 (post # 376637 )
I don't think this is as bad as it would appear. We have known for a while that something was happening. We saw favorable formulary and pharmacy changes. Now we know how Amarin was able to accomplish this. I think in the long run this strategy should work. I expected that this would happen after we had achieved significant overseas sales. I guess Amarin decided to do it sooner. If Amarin can use these deals to box put the generic companies and increase our prescription count, I'm fine with the current drop in margin and share price.
Actually what we saw, or I should say what the chart showed, was a technical breakdown of serious support in a down trending price deterioration - clearly screaming that the strategy WILL NOT WORK.
I think Sleven's quote is the most bizarre response to a stock price plunge I have EVER encountered in the stock market...
Whalatane
17 hours ago
Well actually
The Act on the Financial Stabilization of Statutory Health Insurance (GKV-FinStG), which entered into force in November 2022, substantially reformed the pricing and reimbursement framework. This reform aimed to achieve additional cost savings of around €5 billion, of which €3.7 billion were allocated to pharmaceutical expenditures1.
Key changes implemented by the GKV-FinStG include:
Modifications to the AMNOG process, which is the primary price regulation mechanism for innovative pharmaceuticals in Germany1.
Adjustments to the health technology assessment (HTA) conducted by the Federal Joint Committee (G-BA)1.
Changes to the reimbursement price negotiations between the Association of Statutory Health Insurance Funds (GKV-SV) and pharmaceutical companies1.
While these reforms aim to control pharmaceutical costs, they do not appear to restrict drug approvals solely to life-saving acute care therapies. The changes focus more on pricing mechanisms and reimbursement negotiations rather than limiting the types of drugs that can be approved1
.
It's worth noting that some pharmaceutical companies have filed constitutional complaints against various provisions of the GKV-FinStG, citing concerns about proportionality and discrimination against research-based pharmaceutical companies. These legal proceedings are ongoing, with a final decision expected in 20251.
Kiwi
JRPac
21 hours ago
I don't think I'm taking your posts out of context; I just don't understand why you posted that particular chart as evidence.And, I guess you've decided to do some sleuthing before this reply. I may have posted about TRNX (Taronis Technologies, which I consider to have been an outright fraud) but I never owned it. And I am making some money on cryptos, I bought ALGO 10 days ago at $0.22 to $0.25.I didn't use technical analysis to make the decision, though.You can have the last word if you wish, no hard feelings.
FlyFishingStocks
23 hours ago
where did I say "prediction." On 11/12 I posted,
Trump card = Crypto.
If you were to trade your AMRN shares for XRP or BTC, you'll likely recoup your losses. Bio stocks will slump during this new administration, while crypto will perform as it paves the way to a new financial exchange system compliments of Elon Musk's influence. Rumor is he is poised to buy Ripple (XRP) which could eventually become the ledger for all derivatives trade transactions. XRP = .60
5 days later I posted,
Remember JL describing AMRN as an "asymmetric" investment?
Behold the mother of all asymmetric investments: XRP post #43061.
That's when I posted the chart, "exemplifying" a volcano pattern similar to AMRN at the time of the R-IT announcement.
Since the first post above, XRP is up +358% selling at 2.75.
I presented an honest investment alternative (as I have in the past) to AMRN fallen angel shares. No one took my advice... fine, Stay stuck in AMRN, your loss.
Next time get your facts straight before you "question my prediction"
JRPac
23 hours ago
What is the source of that chart, in particular the prices for Ripple? I'm looking at a chart from Worldcoindex for XRP over the last 6 months as well as a chart from Kraken of XRP/USD over the last 6 months and neither chart showed a price above about $0.60 in Aug 2024. More importantly, XRP did not start its run until after Trump won the election.
So I question your "prediction".
After further examination, it looks like that chart is from 2021. So, you're telling me that your charting sophistication and expertise was able to predict Trump's election 3 1/2 years ago? If so, I want some of what you're smoking!
(moderators, please let me know if this is off topic and I'll refrain from this discussion in the future.)