Japan ETFs Surging, Is the Country Back on Track? - ETF News And Commentary
July 15 2013 - 8:00AM
Zacks
Japan easily has one of largest financial markets in the world
and has undoubtedly been one of the most interesting stories across
the investing landscape over the past 10 months. The country was
long thought to be stuck in a malaise, though with the election of
Shinzo Abe in December, Japanese stock markets began to take off,
while the yen plunged.
Troubled times
For a while in 2013, Japan was the best performing major market,
posting gains in excess of 80% in a six month period. However, this
did not last as Japanese stocks have since crumbled, losing over
22% since the end of May, though they have since rebounded a little
(see Inside the Crash in Japan ETFs).
“There’s no clear direction in the market at all,” said Isao
Kubo, a Tokyo-based equity strategist at Nissay Asset Management
Corp., which oversees about $61 billion. “I think you can be
bullish on the Japanese market, but shares have risen fast recently
and investors may be being cautious.”
The path ahead for Japan
Despite the slump in the Japanese markets, investors have seen a
surge in interest for this space. A recent boost in the Asian stock
markets has led to a recovery in Japanese stocks.
In fact, on Jul 10, the Nikkei rose 0.4% to 14,472.58, after
opening 1.0% lower on the back of the yen's surge against the
dollar. Index heavyweight Fast Retailing gained 1.8% and buoyed the
benchmark, according to a recent Reuters article.
Furthermore, the Bank of Japan maintained its positive outlook
on the economy, which has been driven by aggressive monetary and
fiscal stimulus, citing a full recovery for the first time since
the earthquake in 2011.
Abe’s efforts to implement economic reforms resulted in a
flourishing Japanese commercial property market. Sales of
logistics, retail space and offices soared as high as 70% in the
first five months of 2013. Japan REITs witnessed good numbers ever
since Abe stepped into office and are expected to sell about 900
billion yen of shares by the end of this year (read Play a
Resurgent Japan with These ETFs).
It appears that aggressive expansionary measures taken by
the Abe government, including “unlimited” easing in order to
weaken the currency, make exports competitive and pull the country
out of its deflationary spiral, are delivering results. Japan’s GDP
grew at an annualized rate of 3.5% during the first quarter of
2013, up sharply from 1% growth recorded during the previous
quarter and substantially stronger than estimates.
Possible choices for investors
Given this solid growth, some brave investors may want to
consider investing in Japan with ETFs at this time. While there are
a number of options in the space, we have highlighted two of the
most popular choices below, either of which could be intriguing for
Japan ETF investors:
WISDOMTREE JAPAN HEDGED EQUITY
FUND (AMEX:DXJ)
Launched in Jun 2006, DXJ tracks the Wisdom Tree Japan Hedged
Equity Index and provides exposure to Japan’s equity markets but
hedges the currency risk. The large blend fund has an asset base of
$10.5 billion and charges 48bps in fees.
With a total of 214 holdings in its basket, its top 10 stocks
contribute 38% of the total assets. DXJ has a focus on bigger
stocks, as 62% are in large caps and 32% are in mid caps. The ETF
has posted good returns of 21.8% as of Jun 30 in the YTD
period.
Furthermore the fund has a decent yield of 1.02% and has an
average daily trade of 4.4 million shares a day. DXJ currently has
a Zacks Rank of ‘3’ or Hold (see all the Top Ranked ETFs).
ISHARES MSCI JAPAN ETF (AMEX:EWJ)
Launched in Mar 1996, EWJ seeks investment results that
correspond generally to the price and yield performance, before
fees and expenses, of the MSCI Japan Index. It is a large blend
fund and has an AUM of $11.4 billion and charges 50 bps in
fees.
The fund has a total of 314 stocks in its basket, and the top 10
stocks contribute 24% to the total. EWJ has a large cap focus,
putting 61% in large caps and then 37% in mid caps.
It has posted returns of 13.7% as of Jun 30 for the YTD period.
The fund has a decent yield of 1.33% and has an average daily trade
of more than 40.6 million shares a day. EWJ currently has a
Zacks Rank of ‘3’ or Hold.
The Bottom Line
Although there has been some extreme volatility as of late in
Japan, shares finally appear to be back on track. Stocks in the
country have rebounded nicely and are trending back towards highs
(also read Is NKY A Better Japan ETF?).
This trend could definitely continue if Japanese growth levels
hold up and the current high rate of growth isn’t an aberration. If
this takes place, the aforementioned Japanese ETFs might make for
solid, but probably volatile, picks for investors in today’s rather
rocky foreign market environment.
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WISDMTR-J HEF (DXJ): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-JAPAN (EWJ): ETF Research Reports
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