Cablevision Systems Corp. (CVC) swung to a first-quarter profit,
helped by strong cable results, and the company pleased investors
by saying it may spin off its MSG operations.
The company's MSG unit, which lost $17 million last year,
includes famous New York entertainment venues Madison Square
Garden, Radio City Music Hall and the Beacon Theater, as well as
the New York Rangers and New York Knicks sports franchises.
"It's operating income doesn't come close to reflecting the true
value of its assets," said Sanford C. Bernstein analyst Craig
Moffett, who said the true value of MSG is not reflected in
Cablevision's stock price.
A potential MSG spin-off is welcome news on Wall Street, as many
investors have argued that MSG should be separated from
Cablevision's higher growth businesses and perhaps held privately
by the Dolan family, which controls Cablevision through a
dual-class share structure.
"[Cablevision Chief Executive James Dolan] likes to pay big
bucks for sport stars," Joyce said. He estimated MSG could be worth
between $750 million and $1.5 billion as a stand-alone business. In
the first quarter, MSG's revenue rose 2.3% to $271.3 million and
its operating loss improved 89% to $2.2 million reflecting a
prior-year write-down.
Cablevision's MSG announcement suggests renewed confidence in
its financial position. The Bethpage, N.Y.-based cable and
entertainment company had pulled back last fall from considering
strategic options like asset sales and spin-offs during the
meltdown in global financial markets and went about refinancing its
2009 debt maturities.
"MSG is largely a trophy asset, with extremely volatile
earnings," said Pali Capital analyst Richard Greenfield, who noted
that "investors give Cablevision very limited credit for MSG's
assets, particularly with the rebuild of the Garden set to begin
later this year."
On the company's conference call, Cablevision Vice Chairman Hank
Ratner said the renovation of the MSG arena will likely cost more
than planned. In February, the company said there was no change in
the company's plans to spend $500 million on the iconic arena. He
said the company expects to fund the renovation solely from the
resources of MSG, but he declined to provide a new cost estimate or
forecast the potential return on the investment.
Greenfield estimated that a spin-off of MSG could add 75 cents a
share to Cablevision's free cash flow next year, and he said it
could have larger implications for the future of the Dolan's
entertainment empire, like a sale of its cable business to a cable
operator like Time Warner Cable Inc. (TWC) or Comcast Corp. (CMCSA
CMCSK), or a merger of its live entertainment assets with other
companies in the live-music industry, where the Dolans have strong
ties.
Meanwhile, the company's solid cable results should bolster more
confidence in the cable industry, despite its recent slowdown in
subscriber additions. But Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne
noted that its revenue and subscriber metrics were lighter than
expected in contrast with recent strong reports from its cable
counterparts.
Like other cable companies, Cablevision's chief operating
officer, Tom Rutledge, said the company saw a slowdown in
subscription growth in March, which he attributed to weakness in
the economy.
"March was a difficult month for us relatively speaking,
compared to last year, and the effect of March was almost all in
lower income or working class neighborhoods like the Bronx and
Brooklyn and Newark and not really a change in the competitive
environment," said Rutledge.
For the three months ended March 31, Cablevision reported a
profit of $20.2 million, or 7 cents a share, reversing a
year-earlier loss of $31.6 million, or 11 cents a share. The loss
on derivative contracts narrowed to $33.7 million from $106.3
million.
Revenue rose 11% to $1.902 billion, basically in-line with the
average analyst estimate of $1.898 billion on Thomson Reuters.
Analysts were expecting earnings of 15 cents a share.
Adjusted operating cash flow increased 14.3% to $590 million,
and consolidated operating income grew 21.3% to $297.8 million.
"Overall, this was a strong quarter from Cablevision," said
Miller Tabak's Joyce.
At Cablevision's telecommunications business, by far the
company's largest, revenue rose 5.3% and earnings jumped 14%,
driven by broadband-subscriber growth and higher rates.
In February, Chief Operating Officer Thomas Rutledge said
cable-subscriber growth in the quarter to that point was ahead of
last year's results.
Cablevision said late last month that it will launch a
101-megabits-per-second high-speed Internet service - more than
twice as fast as rival Verizon's much-touted FiOS. The announcement
suggested Internet service providers might be moving away from
bundled packages to focus on bandwidth and speed, rapidly becoming
more important to subscribers using the Internet.
The company's Rainbow unit - which includes cable channels such
as AMC and IFC - posted an 11% revenue rise while operating income
rose 40%. Cable networks have been a rare bright spin in the media
industry as they are less advertising-dependent.
Rutledge said the company has plans this summer to launch an
online subscription business for its Long Island-based newspaper,
Newsday, which the company acquired last year. The business posted
revenue for the quarter of $83.4 million, down sharply as the
publishing industry continues to founder amid a decline in
advertising and the rise of the Internet.
Rutledge signaled that Newsday would experiment with an online
subscription model earlier this year, and the company is expected
to make Newsday available online to its cable subscribers.
-By Nat Worden, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-5216;
nat.worden@dowjones.com
(Mike Barris contributed to this report.)