US EQUITIES WEEK AHEAD: GDP, Home Sales Data; AIG Bonuses
March 20 2009 - 3:32PM
Dow Jones News
The final figure for fourth-quarter gross domestic product, due
next week, is expected to show a steeper drop in U.S. economic
activity than previously reported.
Data on February home sales also will be reported, while more
retailers will shed more light on the holiday shopping season as
they post quarterly results.
Bonuses paid to executives at American International Group Inc.
(AIG) will remain in the news as President Barack Obama answers
questions in a televised news conference and the Fed chairman and
Treasury Secretary testify before Congress.
4Q GDP, Home Sales Figures Due
The government will release the final figure on fourth-quarter
GDP on Thursday and data on existing and new home sales in February
on Monday and Wednesday, respectively. Earlier this month, GDP was
revised to a decline of 6.2% from the first estimate of a 3.8% drop
reported in January. The final figure is likely to be even worse: a
decline of 6.3% to 6.6%. The 6.2% decrease represents the steepest
drop-off since the depths of the 1982 recession.
Lower new and existing home sales also are predicted, continuing
general trends since the fall. In January, new home sales fell
10.2% to the slowest pace since records began in 1963, and pending
existing home sales slowed by 7.7%, the weakest since the series
began in 2001.
Also out Wednesday are details on February durable goods orders,
which are likely to show their seventh-consecutive monthly decline.
The government reports on February personal income and spending
Friday; both figures rose in January. Also Friday,
Reuters/University of Michigan issues its final report on consumer
sentiment in March. The preliminary sentiment reading for March was
56.6, up a bit from 56.3 in February.
Reports on regional manufacturing activity are due Monday from
the Chicago Fed, Tuesday from the Richmond Fed and Thursday from
the Kansas City Fed.
Among appearances by Federal Reserve officials: Chicago Fed
President Charles Evans on Tuesday in Prague; Cleveland Fed
President Sandra Pianalto on Wednesday in Maurnee, Ohio; San
Francisco Fed President Janet Yellen on Wednesday in New York;
Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart on Thursday in Paris;
Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker on Thursday in Charleston,
S.C.; and Minneapolis Fed President Gary Stern in Thursday in
Minneapolis.
Retailers To Post Quarterly Results
A variety of retailers, including drug-store chain Walgreen Co.
(WAG), big-box electronics store Best Buy Co. (BBY) and jeweler
Tiffany & Co. (TIF), will report quarterly results next week.
Walgreen and Tiffany post results Monday and Best Buy on
Thursday.
Also reporting are homebuilder KB Home (KBH), on Friday;
technology outsourcing company Accenture Ltd. (ACN), on Thursday;
and food producer ConAgra Foods Inc. (CAG), also Thursday.
J&J Drug Topamax Gets Generic Rival
A big-selling Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) drug for migraines and
epilepsy, Topamax, will face generic competition when its U.S.
market exclusivity expires Thursday. Mylan Inc. (MYL), which
unsuccessfully tried to overturn the Topamax patent before it
expired, plans to launch a cheaper version of the drug, and other
generics may become available too. That could put a big dent in the
$2.3 billion in U.S. sales the branded drug generated for J&J
last year. J&J's pharmaceutical unit is feeling the pressure
from patent expirations; last year, it lost U.S. market exclusivity
for blockbuster antipsychotic Risperdal.
Obama's 2nd Press Conference On TV Tuesday
President Obama will face reporters Tuesday for his second
official press conference since taking office. The press conference
will be at 8 p.m. EDT. The president is engaged in a media blitz to
sell his $3.6 trillion budget and convince the public that his $787
billion recovery package will prod the economy back to life. He
also will appear in a taped interview Sunday on CBS's "60 Minutes"
program.
Geithner, Bernanke To Testify On AIG
Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner and Federal Reserve Chairman
Ben Bernanke are slated to testify before the House Financial
Services Committee next week amid mounting questions over bonuses
given to executives at the American International Group Inc. (AIG).
Geithner and Bernanke are slated to testify Tuesday and Geithner
will return Thursday.
The House passed legislation Thursday that would significantly
curb Wall Street bonuses this year, and the Senate will take up a
similar measure as early as next week. The Senate bill is less
punitive, but would tax a larger number of employees and firms. It
would impose a 70% surtax on most bonuses - half paid by employees
and half by firms.
Auto Task Force Statement Possible
Members of President Obama's auto task force told U.S. lawmakers
that it might make an "illuminative" announcement as early as next
week on bailout requests by General Motors Corp. (GM) and Chrysler
LLC. The task force is considering requests by GM and Chrysler for
almost $22 billion combined in new loans. GM and Chrysler are
supposed to submit updated restructuring plans, including
concessions by union workers and debtholders, by March 31.
U.S. To Attend Meeting On Afghanistan
The U.S. State Department is dispatching a senior diplomat to
the Shanghai Cooperation Organization's conference on Afghanistan
in Moscow next week, setting the stage for the first U.S.-Iran
encounter under the Obama administration. Washington was rebuffed
in earlier attempts to sit in on meetings of the Shanghai group,
the members of which include Russia, China and Central Asian
states. Observer states, which can attend meetings but don't vote
on initiatives, include Iran, Afghanistan and Pakistan.
Conferences
Among the significant conferences next week are the Bank of
America Securities Smid Cap Conference on Monday and Tuesday in
Boston, Howard Weil Energy Conference from Monday through Friday in
New Orleans, Sidoti & Co. Emerging Growth Institutional
Investor Forum on Tuesday and Wednesday in New York, and Think
Equity ThinkGreen Conference from Tuesday through Thursday in San
Francisco.
-By Kathy Shwiff, Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-5975;
kathy.shwiff@dowjones.com
(Peter Loftus and other Dow Jones Newswires staff contributed to
this report.)