Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Hits 60-Day Low: Is This Bullish?
January 24 2025 - 5:30AM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT)
Golden Cross has plummeted recently. Here’s what this could mean
for BTC’s price. Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Has Plunged Into Bottom
Zone Recently As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake
post, the BTC NVT Golden Cross has declined to the lowest level in
two months recently. The “NVT Ratio” refers to an indicator that
keeps track of the ratio between the Bitcoin market cap and
transaction volume. When the value of this metric is high, it means
the value of the network (that is, the market cap) is high compared
to its ability to transact coins (the transaction volume). Such a
trend implies the asset may be overvalued. Related Reading: Bitcoin
Capital Inflows See Notable Slowdown, But Is This A Worry? On the
other hand, the indicator being low suggests the cryptocurrency
could be due to a bullish rebound as its volume is high compared to
its market cap. In the context of the current topic, the normal
version of the NVT Ratio isn’t of interest, but rather a modified
form known as the NVT Golden Cross. This metric compares the
short-term trend of the NVT Ratio with its long-term one to
determine whether its value is near a top or bottom. The NVT Golden
Cross uses the 10-day moving average (MA) of the NVT Ratio to track
short-term trends and the 30-day MA for long-term ones. Now, here
is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross
over the last couple of months: In the graph, the quant has
highlighted two zones that have historically proven to be relevant
to the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross. The red zone, situated above a
value of 2.2, is where the indicator has been the most likely to
see a reversion to the mean zero level. Similarly, the green zone
corresponding to values under -1.6 is where bottoms in the metric
have tended to form. As the color coding already implies, ventures
into these zones have often meant a bullish and bearish outcome for
BTC, respectively. From the chart, it’s apparent that the NVT
Golden Cross surged into the overheated territory around the time
of last month’s price top. Since then, the indicator has gradually
been making its way down, with its value today finding itself
submerged in the undervalued region. Related Reading: Arbitrum
(ARB) Primed For 46% Rally If This Happens, Analyst Reveals The
current value of -2.21 is the lowest that the metric has been in
around 60 days. Given the historical pattern, it’s possible that
this could imply Bitcoin may be near a local bottom, if one isn’t
already in. BTC Price Bitcoin has settled into a phase of sideways
movement during the last few days as its price is still trading
around the $105,200 mark. Featured image from iStock.com,
CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
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