UPDATE: Karoon Shares Continue Roller Coaster Ride, Jump 14%
May 07 2010 - 2:44AM
Dow Jones News
Shares in Karoon Gas Australia Ltd. (KAR.AU) on Friday defied a
rout on global markets to jump 14% after the company got some
promising results from a key exploration well and a broker slapped
a buy rating on what is one of Australia's most volatile
stocks.
The roller coaster ride for shareholders continued after a
drilling report released after the market closed Thursday said that
the Kronos-1 exploration well, being drilled by joint venture
partner ConocoPhillips (COP), has found enough gas to justify
production testing.
While the news is positive, it's by no means outstanding, with a
commercial flow rate from the well no certainty.
Karoon and ConocoPhillips found lots of gas with an earlier well
but couldn't get a production test result after a testing tool got
stuck in the drill hole.
Since then there's been a mix of bad or promising results from
other wells, with the only production-tested discovery, Poseidon-2,
generating poor flow rates, although that was higher-risk well than
Kronos-1.
"Petrophysical interpretation indicates the presence of net pay
gas sands with good reservoir properties," Karoon said of Kronos-1
late Thursday.
Production testing is expected to take 20 days, it said.
Mark Hume, an energy analyst at Merrill Lynch, upgraded Karoon
to "Buy" from "Neutral" with a A$8.89 price target, noting the
stock has fallen a bit in the last month.
Hume still says Karoon shares could swing anywhere between
A$4.50 and A$12.00 depending on the production testing results from
Kronos-1.
Still, he said the fact that Karoon's doing production testing
confirms the presence of gas in the well and noted its claim of
good reservoir characteristics.
Chief Executive Bob Hosking has said that Kronos-1 is a lower
risk well because it's further "up-dip", meaning it's at a
shallower point in the geological structure the JV's testing than
other wells.
"It's on top of the structure...so this is an area where you'd
look at putting production holes," Hosking told Dow Jones Newswires
in February.
"So, yes, we would call it a low-risk well, although that's not
to say that there's no risk at all."
Karoon shares closed trading Friday up 99 cents, or 14%, to
A$7.99 after rising as high as A$8.24.
It's unusual for a relatively small company like Karoon to be
engaged in such a large and expensive deep-water drilling campaign.
Continuous disclosure requirements mean Karoon has to give a
blow-by-blow account of its progress. Much larger companies make
more selective disclosures.
-By Ross Kelly, Dow Jones Newswires; 61-2-8272-4692;
Ross.Kelly@dowjones.com
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