Are Silver ETFs Back on Track? - ETF News And Commentary
September 12 2012 - 6:37AM
Zacks
After peaking in April of 2011, silver prices have had trouble
regaining their lofty levels. The white commodity has instead
briefly flashed above the $04/mark in the late summer of 2011
before returning to a level around the $25/oz. range.
While the metal appeared to be back on track to start 2012, this
soon dissipated as the dollar strengthened in the face of European
woes and investors shunned commodities for stocks once more.
However, this trend appears to be reversing yet again as silver
prices have taken off in recent weeks and have finally breached the
$30/oz. level for the first time in months (also see Platinum ETF
Investing 101).
This recent bullish trend in the silver market is undoubtedly
driven by the Federal Reserve. The central bank seems poised to
initiate another round of QE in hopes of boosting sagging growth
levels, although many believe that this will curtail the dollar’s
value and boost precious metals in the process.
Furthermore, although the metal is more impacted by industrial
events than its cousin gold, the metal is also more volatile due to
its more ubiquitous nature and lower price point. This has allowed
silver to greatly outperform gold in recent weeks and the trend
could continue in a bull market phase for precious metals, making
silver an intriguing choice at this juncture (read Silver ETFs
Outshine Gold).
In fact, a recent look at the ETF space reveals a very
interesting path for silver ETFs over the past few weeks. According
to data from XTF.com, of the top eight best performing
non-leveraged ETFs in the past month, five had a focus on
silver.
This represents a pretty big reversal from many of these
products performances’ over the trailing one year period in which
all were down more than 20% in the time frame. Potentially, it
suggest that a trend shift is underway in the silver market and
that it could especially move if Bernanke and Company authorize
another round of bond purchases before the year is over (read The
Five Best ETFs over the Past Five Years).
For these reasons, it could be time for some investors to take a
closer look at the silver market once again. Clearly, Bernanke is
putting a floor underneath silver prices in the near term, and a
robust recovery seems quite unlikely at this point, suggesting that
more QE will probably be used sooner rather than later.
If investors are looking for an ETF approach, we have
highlighted six of the top performing ETFs in the space—which have
all added more than 13% in the last month-- briefly below. Any of
these options could be great picks for investors seeking more
silver exposure before more easing is inevitably unleashed on the
economy:
- PowerShares DB Silver Fund (DBS) – One of the
top performing ETF with a focus on bullion, DBS utilizes futures in
order to achieve silver exposure. The fund charges a somewhat high
79 basis points a year in fees and volume is quite light, but it
has managed to outperform in shorter time periods (although this
trend is reversed over longer time frames).
- E-TRACS UBS Bloomberg CMCI Silver ETN (USV) –
Although relatively unpopular, this silver ETN is actually the best
performing silver product over the trailing one month period. The
note has just edged out its peers putting up a gain of roughly
19.4% in the time frame, although it should be noted that trading
volumes are quite low, suggesting wide bid ask spreads.
- Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) - This Global
X fund has been the best performing silver-focused mining ETF over
the past month, thanks in part to its equity focus. The product
charges investors 65 basis points a year in fees but has 30
components in its basket, with Canadian firms taking the top spot
at 53% of assets (see Time to Consider the Silver Miners ETF).
- iShares Silver Trust (SLV) – This is easily
the most popular silver ETF on the market today with nearly $10
billion in assets and over 13 million shares changing hands on a
daily basis. The fund is in the middle of the road for expenses,
but the volume is unmatched, making it a solid choice for traders
seeking tight bid ask spreads.
- iShares MSCI Global Silver Miners Fund (SLVP)
– This low cost choice in the silver mining space charges
just 39 basis points a year in fees, but sees paltry volume levels
and wide bid ask spreads. However, the fund does provide similar
exposure to SIL at a lower cost, making it a potential replacement
for those unconcerned with low trading volumes and a heavy
concentration in the top securities (see more in the Zacks ETF
Center).
- ETF Securities Silver Trust (SIVR) – The
cheapest ETF, bar none, in the silver market is this one from ETF
Securities which charges just 30 basis points a year in fees.
Volume is also pretty solid on this product while AUM is pretty
good as well. Additionally, the bullion is stored in secure vaults
in Europe where random audits and bar number lists are present in
order to give investors more peace of mind over their
investments.
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Long silver bullion
PWRSH-DB SILVER (DBS): ETF Research Reports
GLBL-X SILVER (SIL): ETF Research Reports
ETF-SILVER TRST (SIVR): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-SLVR TR (SLV): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-M GL SLV (SLVP): ETF Research Reports
E-TRC UBC SILVR (USV): ETF Research Reports
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