Prairie Provident Resources Inc. (“Prairie Provident”, “PPR” or the
“Company”) is pleased to announce the results of our independent
2020 year-end reserves evaluation conducted by Sproule Associates
Limited (“Sproule”) with an effective date of December 31, 2020
(the “Sproule Report”).
With recent commodity price recovery and
additional liquidity provided by our lender, Prairie Provident has
restarted its development program focusing on the Glauconite and
Ellerslie formations in the Princess area. We expect the 2021
drilling program and ARO expenditures to be funded from cash flows
from operations and liquidity available under our revolving note
facility.
2020 RESERVES HIGHLIGHTS
-
At year-end 2020, reserves totaled 8.2 MMboe, 18.3 MMboe, and 27.9
MMboe for proved developed producing (PDP) reserves, total proved
(1P) reserves, and total proved plus probable (2P) reserves,
respectively.
-
Lower price forecasts resulted in reserves reductions of 1.2MMboe,
2.8 MMboe and 5.8 MMboe for PDP, 1P and 2P, respectively. This
includes economic factors, as well as removing reserves from
uneconomic locations and shutting in uneconomic fields.
-
Improved well performance at Princess and waterflood response at
Evi resulted in positive technical revisions of 1.0 MMboe, 1.1MMboe
and 0.8 MMboe for PDP, 1P and 2P, respectively. This contributed to
overall PDP finding & development (“F&D”)(1)(2) costs of
$4.78/boe, including technical revisions.
-
During 2020, the downturn in commodity prices necessitated
suspension of capital development so there were no material
reserves added from drilling.
-
Year-end 2020 estimated net present values of future net revenue
before tax discounted at 10% (“NPV10 BT”) for PDP, 1P and 2P
reserves totaled $54.7 million, $107.4 million and $218.0 million,
respectively.
-
Approximately 100% of PPR’s total estimated abandonment and
reclamation obligations (ARO) is included in the 2020 reserves
evaluation (2019 – approximately 79%).
- Reserve life index(1) was 4.7
years, 10.5 years and 16.0 years on a PDP, 1P and 2P basis,
respectively.
Notes:
(1) "Finding &
Development Costs" and “Reserve Life Index” does not have a
standardized meaning. See "Cautionary Statements – Disclosure of
Oil and Gas Reserves Data and Operational Information" and
"Cautionary Statements – Reserve Life Index" below. (2) All 2020
financial information is unaudited. See advisories.
Reserves Summary
The following presentation summarizes certain
information contained in the Sproule Report, which was prepared in
accordance with National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure
for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”) and the definitions,
standards, and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas
Evaluation Handbook (the “COGE Handbook”). Sproule evaluated 100%
of the Company’s reserves. The Sproule Report is based on forecast
prices and costs and applies Sproule’s forecast escalated commodity
price deck and foreign exchange rate and inflation rate assumptions
as at December 31, 2020. Estimated future net revenue is
stated without any provisions for interest costs, other debt
service charges or general and administrative expenses, and after
the deduction of royalties, estimated operating costs, estimated
abandonment and reclamation costs and estimated future development
costs.
Additional information regarding the Company’s
reserves data and other oil and gas information will be included in
the Company's Annual Information Form for the year ended December
31, 2020 (the “AIF”), which will be filed under the Company's
issuer profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com on or before March 31,
2021.
See also the “Cautionary Statements” below for
further explanations and discussions.
Summary of Corporate
Reserves(1)(2)(5)
The following table is a summary of the
Company's estimated reserves as at December 31, 2020, as evaluated
in the Sproule Report.
Reserves Category |
Light andMedium Oil |
Heavy Oil |
ConventionalNatural Gas(3)(other thanSolution Gas) |
ConventionalNatural Gas(Solution Gas) |
Natural GasLiquids |
Barrels of OilEquivalent(4) |
(Mbbl) |
(Mbbl) |
(MMcf) |
(MMcf) |
(Mbbl) |
(Mboe) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
5,181 |
246 |
7,303 |
7,669 |
232 |
8,154 |
Developed Non-Producing |
128 |
- |
359 |
336 |
12 |
255 |
Undeveloped |
6,731 |
445 |
- |
14,627 |
238 |
9,852 |
Total
Proved |
12,039 |
691 |
7,662 |
22,633 |
482 |
18,261 |
Probable |
6,495 |
613 |
1,926 |
11,991 |
213 |
9,640 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
18,534 |
1,303 |
9,588 |
34,624 |
696 |
27,902 |
Notes:
(1) Reserves are
presented on a “company gross” basis, which is defined as Prairie
Provident’s working interest (operating and non-operating) share
before deduction of royalties and without including any royalty
interest of the Company.(2) Based on Sproule’s December 31, 2020
forecast prices and costs. The forecast of commodity prices used in
the Sproule Report can be found at www.sproule.com.(3) Including
both non-associated gas and associated gas but excluding solution
gas (gas dissolved in crude oil).(4) Oil equivalent amounts have
been calculated using a conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet
of natural gas to one barrel of oil. See "Cautionary Statements –
Barrels of oil equivalent" below.(5) Columns may not add due to
rounding of individual items.
Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue Before Income
Taxes Discounted at
(%/year) (1)(2)(3)(4)(5)
The following table is a summary of the
estimated net present values of future net revenue (before income
taxes) associated with Prairie Provident's reserves as at December
31, 2020, discounted at the indicated percentage rates per year, as
evaluated in the Sproule Report.
Reserves Category |
0% |
5% |
10% |
15% |
20% |
(MM$) |
(MM$) |
(MM$) |
(MM$) |
(MM$) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
Developed Producing |
(156.7) |
28.8 |
54.7 |
56.9 |
54.3 |
Developed Non-Producing |
3.5 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
1.8 |
Undeveloped |
129.4 |
81.8 |
50.3 |
29.2 |
14.8 |
Total
Proved |
(23.7) |
113.5 |
107.4 |
88.2 |
70.9 |
Probable |
213.5 |
149.6 |
110.6 |
84.7 |
66.5 |
Total Proved plus Probable |
189.8 |
263.1 |
218.0 |
172.8 |
137.4 |
Notes:
(1) Based on
Sproule's December 31, 2020 forecast prices and costs. The forecast
of commodity prices used in the Sproule Report can be found at
www.sproule.com.(2) Estimated future net revenues are stated
without any provision for interest costs, other debt service
charges or general and administrative expenses, and after deduction
of royalties, estimated operating costs, estimated abandonment and
reclamation costs and estimated future development costs.(3)
Estimated future net revenue, whether discounted or not, does not
represent fair market value.(4) Net present values of future net
revenue after income taxes are estimated to approximate the before
income tax values based on the estimated future revenues, available
tax pools and future deductible expenses.(5) Columns may not add
due to rounding of individual items.
Reconciliation of Company Gross Reserves
Based on Forecast Prices and
Costs(2)(3)
|
Mboe |
FACTORS |
Proved |
Probable |
Proved plus Probable |
December 31, 2019 |
21,723 |
12,744 |
34,466 |
Acquisitions |
- |
- |
- |
Dispositions |
(14) |
(4) |
(18) |
Drilling (Extensions and Improved Recovery(1)) |
- |
196 |
196 |
Discoveries |
- |
- |
- |
Technical Revisions |
529 |
(3,565) |
(3,037) |
Pricing (Economic Factors) |
(2,229) |
271 |
(1,958) |
Production |
(1,748) |
- |
(1,748) |
December 31, 2020 |
18,261 |
9,641 |
27,902 |
Notes:
(1) Reserves
additions attributed to Infill Drilling, Improved Recovery and
Extensions are combined and reported as "Extensions and Improved
Recovery".(2) Columns may not add due to rounding.(3) Company Gross
Reserves exclude royalty volumes.
Capital
Efficiencies(2)(4)
The following table sets out our calculation of
finding and development (F&D) costs for 2020. See also
"Cautionary Statements – Disclosure of Oil and Gas Reserves Data
and Operational Information" and "Cautionary Statements – Finding
& Development Costs" below.
Finding and Development Costs |
Proved DevelopedProducing |
Total Proved |
Total Proved plusProbable |
Exploration and development capital(1) (MM$) |
4.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
Change
in FDC(2) (MM$) |
0 |
(10.5) |
(72.7) |
Total F&D costs, including change in FDC (MM$) |
4.0 |
(6.5) |
(68.9) |
Total reserves additions, including technical revisions (Mboe) |
846 |
529 |
(2,841) |
F&D costs, including change in FDC
($/boe) |
4.78 |
N/A (3) |
N/A (3) |
Notes:
(1) Exploration and
development capital (unaudited) related to: land acquisition and
retention; drilling; completions; tangible well site; tie-ins; and
facilities.(2) FDC as per Sproule Report, based on Sproule’s
December 31, 2020 forecast prices and costs.(3) Negative change in
FDC and negative technical revisions resulted in unmeaningful
F&D costs for 1P and 2P reserves.(4) Columns may not add due to
rounding.
ABOUT PRAIRIE PROVIDENT:
Prairie Provident is a Calgary-based company
engaged in the exploration and development of oil and natural gas
properties in Alberta. The Company's strategy is to grow
organically in combination with accretive acquisitions of
conventional oil prospects, which can be efficiently developed.
Prairie Provident's operations are primarily focused at the
Michichi and Princess areas in Southern Alberta targeting the
Banff, the Ellerslie and the Lithic Glauconite formations, along
with an established and proven waterflood project at our Evi area
in the Peace River Arch. Prairie Provident protects its balance
sheet through an active hedging program and manages risk by
allocating capital to opportunities offering maximum shareholder
returns.
For further information, please contact:
Prairie Provident Resources Inc.Tony van WinkoopPresident and
Chief Executive OfficerTel: (403) 292-8071Email:
tvanwinkoop@ppr.ca
Cautionary Statements
Unaudited financial information
Certain financial and operating information
included in this news release for the quarter and year ended
December 31, 2020, including operating expenses, general and
administrative expenses, and finding and development costs, are
based on estimated unaudited financial results for the quarter and
year then ended, and are subject to the same limitations as
discussed under "Forward-looking information" set out below. These
estimated amounts may change upon the completion of audited
financial statements for the year ended December 31, 2020 and
changes could be material.
Disclosure of Oil and Gas Reserves Data and Operational
Information
Prairie Provident’s Statement of Reserves Data
and Other Oil and Gas Information for the year ended December 31,
2020, providing additional information regarding our reserves data
and oil and gas activities in accordance with NI 51-101, will be
contained in our Annual Information Form for the year ended
December 31, 2020, which will be filed under the Company's issuer
profile on SEDAR at www.sedar.com on or before March 31, 2021.
The reserves data estimates contained herein are estimates only and
there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered
or that the related estimates of future net revenues will be
realized. There can be no assurance that the forecast prices and
cost assumptions applied by Sproule in evaluating the Company's
reserves will be attained, and variances between actual and
forecast prices and costs could be material. Actual reserves may be
greater than or less than the estimated volumes provided herein,
and it should not be assumed that the estimates of future net
revenues presented herein represent the fair market value of the
reserves. Estimates in respect of individual properties may not
reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and
future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of
aggregation. The Company's belief that it will establish additional
reserves over time with conversion of probable undeveloped reserves
into proved reserves is a forward-looking statement and is based on
certain assumptions and is subject to certain risks, as discussed
below under the heading "Forward-looking information".
This news release discloses certain metrics
commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry – namely "finding
and development costs" and “reserve life index” – that do not have
standardized meanings or methods of calculation under applicable
laws, International Financial Reporting Standards, the COGE
Handbook or other applicable professional standards. Accordingly,
such measures, as determined by the Company, may not be comparable
to similarly defined or labelled measures presented by other
companies, and therefore should not be used to make such
comparisons. These metrics have been included herein to provide
readers with additional information to evaluate the Company's
performance, but should not be relied upon for comparative
purposes. Management uses oil and gas metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures
to compare Prairie Provident's operations over time. Readers are
cautioned that the information provided by these metrics, or that
can be derived from the metrics presented in this news release,
should not be relied upon for investment or other purposes.
Finding and Development Costs (“F&D
costs”)
The Company calculates F&D costs by dividing
the sum of exploration and development capital for the period, plus
the change in estimated FDC required to bring the reserves within
the specified reserves category on production, by the change in
reserves relating to discoveries, infill drilling, improved
recovery, extensions and technical revisions. F&D costs have
been presented in this news release because acquisitions and
dispositions can have a significant impact on Prairie Provident’s
ongoing reserves replacement costs and excluding these amounts
could result in an inaccurate portrayal of its cost structure.
Management uses F&D as measure of its ability to execute its
capital programs (and success in doing so) and of its asset
quality.
Reserve Life Index (“RLI”)
The Company calculates RLI based on the
estimated reserves amount as at December 31, 2020 for the relevant
reserves category, as evaluated by Sproule, divided by 2020 annual
production.
Forward-looking statements
This news release contains certain statements
("forward-looking statements") that constitute forward-looking
information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities
laws. Forward-looking statements relate to future performance,
events or circumstances, and are based upon internal assumptions,
plans, intentions, expectations and beliefs, and are subject to
risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results or events to
differ materially from those indicated or suggested therein. All
statements other than statements of current or historical fact are
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are
typically, but not always, identified by words such as "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "project",
"should", "believe", "plan", "intend", "budget", "potential",
"aim", "target" and similar words or expressions suggesting future
outcomes or events or statements regarding an outlook.
In particular, but without limiting the
foregoing, this news release contains forward-looking statements
pertaining to: estimated volumes of Prairie Provident's oil and gas
reserves and their categorization; estimated net present values of
future net revenue associated with evaluated reserves; budgeted
capital activity for 2021 (including allocation of budgeted capital
expenditures) and related expectations for targeted average annual
and exit production rates; anticipated capital projects in 2021,
including drilling, completion and facilities plans; anticipated
ARO spending in 2021 and expected coverage under the
government-sponsored Site Rehabilitation Program (SRP); forecast
operating expenses and G&A costs for 2021; the Company's
ability to fund its capital budget from funds flow and available
liquidity under its revolving note facility; and estimates of
future oil and natural gas prices.
Forward-looking statements are based on a number
of material factors, expectations or assumptions of Prairie
Provident which have been used to develop such statements but which
may prove to be incorrect. Although the Company believes that the
expectations and assumptions reflected in such forward-looking
statements are reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on
forward-looking statements, which are inherently uncertain and
depend upon the accuracy of such expectations and assumptions.
Prairie Provident can give no assurance that the forward-looking
statements contained herein will prove to be correct or that the
expectations and assumptions upon which they are based will occur
or be realized. Actual results or events will differ, and the
differences may be material and adverse to the Company. In addition
to other factors and assumptions which may be identified herein,
assumptions have been made regarding, among other things: future
commodity prices and currency exchange rates, including consistency
of future prices with current price forecasts; the economic impacts
of the COVID-19 pandemic; results from drilling and development
activities, and their consistency with past operations; the quality
of the reservoirs in which Prairie Provident operates and continued
performance from existing wells, including production profile,
decline rate and product type mix; the continued and timely
development of infrastructure in areas of new production; the
accuracy of the estimates of Prairie Provident's reserves volumes;
operating and other costs, including the ability to achieve and
maintain cost improvements; continued availability of external
financing and cash flow to fund Prairie Provident's current and
future plans and expenditures, with external financing on
acceptable terms; the impact of competition; the general stability
of the economic and political environment in which Prairie
Provident operates; the general continuance of current industry
conditions; the timely receipt of any required regulatory
approvals; the ability of Prairie Provident to obtain qualified
staff, equipment and services in a timely and cost efficient
manner; drilling results; the ability of the operator of the
projects in which Prairie Provident has an interest in to operate
the field in a safe, efficient and effective manner; field
production rates and decline rates; the ability to replace and
expand oil and natural gas reserves through acquisition,
development and exploration; the timing and cost of pipeline,
storage and facility construction and expansion and the ability of
Prairie Provident to secure adequate product transportation; the
regulatory framework regarding royalties, taxes and environmental
matters in the jurisdictions in which Prairie Provident operates;
and the ability of Prairie Provident to successfully market its oil
and natural gas products.
Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of
future performance or promises of future outcomes, and should not
be relied upon. Such statements, including the assumptions made in
respect thereof, involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and
other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ
materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking
statements including, without limitation: changes in realized
commodity prices; changes in the demand for or supply of Prairie
Provident's products, the early stage of development of some of the
evaluated areas and zones; the potential for variation in the
quality of the geologic formations targeted by Prairie Provident’s
operations; unanticipated operating results or production declines;
changes in tax or environmental laws, royalty rates or other
regulatory matters; changes in development plans of Prairie
Provident or by third party operators; increased debt levels or
debt service requirements; inaccurate estimation of Prairie
Provident's oil and gas reserves volumes; limited, unfavourable or
no access to capital markets; increased costs; a lack of adequate
insurance coverage; the impact of competitors; and such other risks
as are detailed from time-to-time in Prairie Provident's public
disclosure documents (including, without limitation, those risks
identified in this news release and Prairie Provident's current
Annual Information Form).
The forward-looking statements contained in this
news release speak only as of the date of this news release, and
Prairie Provident assumes no obligation to publicly update or
revise them to reflect new events or circumstances, or otherwise,
except as may be required pursuant to applicable laws. All
forward-looking statements contained in this news release are
expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
Barrels of oil equivalent
The oil and gas industry commonly expresses
production volumes and reserves on a “barrel of oil equivalent”
basis (“boe”) whereby natural gas volumes are converted at the
ratio of six thousand cubic feet to one barrel of oil. The
intention is to sum oil and natural gas measurement units into one
basis for improved analysis of results and comparisons with other
industry participants. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic
feet to one barrel of oil is based on an energy equivalency
conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip. It does
not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead nor at the plant
gate, which is where Prairie Provident sells its production
volumes. Boes may therefore be a misleading measure, particularly
if used in isolation. Given that the value ratio based on the
current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is
significantly different from the energy equivalency ratio of 6:1,
utilizing a 6:1 conversion ratio may be misleading as an indication
of value.
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