3rd UPDATE: AGL 1st Half Profit Below Estimates, Keeps Fiscal Year Guidance
February 25 2009 - 1:45AM
Dow Jones News
AGL Energy Ltd. (AGK.AU) Wednesday posted an underlying profit
below analysts expectations, stuck to its annual earnings guidance
and wouldn't rule out raising additional debt or equity to fund
acquisitions.
Proceeds from asset sales helped the integrated energy company
book a A$1.65 billion net profit for the six months to Dec.31,
turning around an interim loss last year.
But a more modest rise in underlying profit missed analysts'
expectations, and AGL held its interim dividend steady at 26 cents
a share.
The company's shares didn't take a big beating, falling 1.2% to
A$13.25 compared to a 0.1% fall in the broader market after rising
as high as A$14.15 in early trade.
"In a market where 20%-50% downgrades are the norm, maintaining
guidance does tend to stand out," E.L & C Baillieu analyst Ivor
Ries said.
"The really big question now is what they do with their pristine
balance sheet."
After recently acquiring Sydney Gas Ltd. and other coal seam gas
fields in New South Wales state, AGL Chief Executive Michael
Fraser, reiterated that the company will look at buying the state's
retail energy assets if they are privatized by lawmakers as
expected.
AGL is also conducting due diligence on CSG and generation
assets owned by BG Group, for which it has an exclusive option to
acquire before it expires in April.
Fraser said that AGL could buy both the BG assets and NSW retail
power assets, rather than having to choose between one or the
other.
"We're not going to sit around and wait for the NSW government,"
Fraser told Dow Jones Newswires in an interview.
"So if (both acquisition opportunities) make sense for our
shareholders, and we've got the capacity to do it at the time, then
that's what we'll do."
Fraser said AGL would consider how to fund an acquisition of the
NSW state power assets when the government makes up its mind.
"If it came to the point where we actually needed to raise
additional debt or equity in order to fund the NSW purchase I think
we'd be well supported in the market," Fraser said.
AGL's net profit for the six months to Dec. 31 jumped to A$1.65
billion from a A$22.9 million net loss after it sold its stakes in
the PNG LNG liquefied natural gas project, liquefied petroleum gas
business Elgas and Queensland Gas Company Ltd.
Underlying profit, which removes those gains, rose 5.3% to
A$192.5 million from A$182.8 million a year earlier, which missed
the A$211.7 million average forecast of five analysts polled by Dow
Jones Newswires.
AGL maintained its full year underlying earnings guidance for a
net profit of A$370 million-A$400 million, up from last year's
underlying profit of A$355.5 million.
About 90% of AGL's gross margin is generated in the mass market,
which, unlike the corporate market, has been more impacted by
weather outcomes than the global economic downturn, Fraser
said.
E.L & C Baillieu's Ries said AGL will be "very relaxed"
about meeting its guidance.
"The first half qualitatively was probably A$15 million-A$20
million better than it looked," Ries said.
First-half earnings were hit by the planned shutdown of the
Townsville Power Station in Queensland for routine maintenance, and
lower pool prices at the Loy Yang Power Station in Victoria, where
weather conditions were, on average, milder than usual.
Fraser said AGL continued to perform well in the second half of
the 2009 financial year, with extreme weather in Victoria and South
Australia in late January and early February triggering "very high
demand for electricity".
First half group revenue rose 5.1% to A$2.98 billion from A$2.83
billion.
By Ross Kelly, Dow Jones Newswires; 61-2-8235-2957;
ross.kelly@dowjones.com