Life Insurance Stocks May Be Due For A Cooling
September 23 2009 - 1:13PM
Dow Jones News
The run in life insurance stocks may be drawing to a close,
Morgan Stanley analysts said Wednesday.
The sector has surged 50% in the last three months, and shares
in companies including Allstate Corp. (ALL), Prudential Financial
Inc. (PRU) and Unum Group (UNM) have jumped from their March
lows.
By contrast, shares in publicly traded major life insurers were
trading at lower levels Wednesday, in line with a subdued market
awaiting news on interest rates from the Federal Reserve. Allstate
shares are up 1.4% to $30.63, Prudential's are down 1.5% to $51.24
and Unum's are off 1% to $22.23.
"From here, we expect appreciation to be more in line with the
broader market," Morgan Stanley analyst Nigel Dally wrote as he cut
the firm's view of life insurers from attractive to in-line.
Prudential, whose stock is up 72% this year, was singled out, in
part over commercial real-estate worries.
Challenges in commercial real estate are likely to hold earnings
back in both the company's investment portfolio and in asset
management over the next few quarters, the analysts predicted as
they cut their rating on Prudential's stock to equal weight from
overweight.
The analysts also cut Unum Group to underweight from equal
weight, "purely on relative valuation."
Officials at Prudential could not immediately be reached for
comment.
Nearly a month ago, Dally warned of "ratings migration" at life
insurers, as the companies are forced to hold more capital when the
bonds they hold are downgraded.
-By Brendan Conway, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2670;
brendan.conway@dowjones.com