2 ETFs Leading the Aerospace and Defense Sector Higher - ETF News And Commentary
December 16 2013 - 10:00AM
Zacks
It seems there is no looking back for the U.S. Aerospace and
Defense sector. So far this year, the sector has weathered
sequestration, defense budget cuts, and cancellation of big-ticket
program but it still holds its head
high.
Why the Sector is Soaring Higher?
Growing commercial opportunities thanks to an improving global
economy, a pickup in defense spending in certain other countries
and technological innovations and acquisitions actually made up for
the military budget cuts. Meanwhile, from the civilian side, the
commercial aircraft fleet is also aging fast which is spurring many
companies to upgrade their fleets.
As per Boeing (BA), as much as 41% of the total new deliveries over
the long haul will be just to replace the older fleet thus honing
the sector’s growth.
Strategic alliances with foreign nations often have the
U.S. share its military technology, and supply weapons, to its
allies which in turn boost the sector’s revenues (read:
Aerospace and Defense ETF Investing 101).
Lower energy prices in the U.S. is another driver for the sector
owing to higher production and lower imports. Overall oil
production is booming in North America. According to the EIA, U.S.
crude oil production may increase from 6.5 million barrels per day
produced in 2012 to 8.5 million barrels a day in 2014.
This means that the U.S. is fast catching up with Russia to be the
world’s biggest producer of oil within two years. This bullish data
is definitely backing the Aerospace boom (read: Play the U.S. Oil
Boom with These Energy ETFs).
Aerospace, which accounts for a very little of the S&P 500
index, just 1.5% in fact, has delivered double-digit earnings
growth this season and is poised for decent growth in the coming
quarter as well. Approximately three-fourth of the total number of
companies in the space has beaten the earnings expectation while
62.5% surpassed the top line.
Most of the funds tracking the sector rewarded investors with
almost double the gain than what was offered by the broader market
fund
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) in the last one-year
period. Given this surprisingly bullish tone, there could still be
plenty of time to look at the aerospace and defense stocks to take
advantage of the strong trends in the space.
Below we have highlighted two options that can offer solid exposure
to the segment in basket form, and may be great picks for investors
seeking allocations to this strong trend:
iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF
(ITA
)
This ETF follows the Dow Jones U.S. Select Aerospace & Defense
Index, giving exposure to about 39 companies. The ETF is pretty
popular in the space, with nearly $286 million in AUM and average
daily volume of about 40,000 shares a day.
The product has a pretty reasonable cost from an industrial
equities point of view, charging investors 48 basis points a
year.
ITA is a concentrated choice with about 56% shares invested in the
top 10 holdings. Boeing (9.7%), United Technologies (8.9%) and
Precision Castparts (6.2%) are the top three choices in the basket.
Aerospace takes about 55% of the asset base while Defense accounts
for the rest.
The fund gained a handsome 49.1% in the year-to-date frame (as of
December 3, 2013). ITA has a Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy), and a
‘low’ risk outlook.
SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
(XAR
)
This product looks to track the S&P Aerospace and Defense
Select Industry index, which is a modified equal weight index. This
one is not a very popular choice as the product has attracted AUM
of $28.9 million so far. Holding 36 securities in its basket, the
product invests around 45% of assets in the top 10 holdings.
Its 35-basis point charge is even lower than the iShares product
discussed above. Spirit AeroSystems Holdings (5.09%), Alliant
Techsystems (4.76%) and The Boeing Co (4.54%) are the top three
holdings.
The fund returned as much as 53.5% in the YTD frame. XAR also
carries a Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy) with a ‘low’ risk
outlook.
Bottom Line
While the sector is surging, we still foresee budget cut or
sequestration looming large next year. Though the nation has
averted another government shutdown for the next year through the
latest budget deal, the defense industry might have to bear the
brunt of spending cuts for the sake of the country’s
creditworthiness.
This would impact some biggies including
Lockheed
Martin (LMT),
Raytheon (RTN) and
Northrop Grumman (NOC) as sales of these companies
are largely vulnerable to U.S. defense spending. Till then,
investors can ride the recent surge in the U.S. Aerospace and
Defense sector easily with the aforementioned ETFs.
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BOEING CO (BA): Free Stock Analysis Report
ISHARS-US AEROS (ITA): ETF Research Reports
LOCKHEED MARTIN (LMT): Free Stock Analysis Report
RAYTHEON CO (RTN): Free Stock Analysis Report
SPDR-SP AER&DEF (XAR): ETF Research Reports
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