As the global economy continues to slowly improve, many
investors are trending back into emerging market equities for
exposure. Funds following broad developing market regions are
seeing increased inflows while prices of these securities have also
risen, helping to erase the memories from the slump of 2011. Yet,
unfortunately for many investors, there are still a number of risks
in these markets, despite the solid performance to start the
period.
High oil prices could crush some of the less commodity dependent
nations while a reversal in Europe or North America would
definitely hurt the more export-focused emerging markets.
Additionally, unrest is beginning to plague some of the more
volatile regions, although it still remains muted in many of the
larger nations in the world. However, this trend could become a
bigger issue as inflation is still a problem that is lurking behind
the scenes. This will be especially true if high rates of price
increases force more unrest, potentially derailing growth in many
markets as the year stretches on.
On the other hand, emerging markets still represent one of the
last few high growth regions of the world, suggesting that
investors would be remiss to avoid obtaining any exposure to the
area. After all, growth in the U.S. is still shaky—especially with
current energy prices—and Europe is always teetering on the brink
of a recession. Thanks to this potent combination of risks and
growth, it may be ideal to play the markets via developed nations
in the region, specifically by taking a look at Australia (see
Australia Bond ETF Showdown).
Australia remains an intriguing choice for investors looking to
gain exposure to a commodity-focused developed market that is
increasing its integration with surging emerging Asian markets.
Additionally, and probably more importantly given the current
investment climate, the country has a robust economy that often
puts it head and shoulders above other OECD member states. In fact,
Australia has an unemployment rate of about 5.0%, a reasonable
budget deficit of just 2.5%, and a low public debt of just 30%.
This suggests a sovereign crisis will not hit Australia’s shores
anytime soon and that the economy is already moving along at a
decent speed. Furthermore, given the country’s relatively high
discount rate, further policy options are at the nation’s disposal,
implying that even if there is a slowdown Australia should be
better prepared than most.
Yet, looking past the country’s broad strengths, one finds a
nation that is increasing tied to the health of emerging markets,
especially commodity hungry countries in Asia. These markets are
swallowing up Australia’s exports in a variety of industries both
in manufactured goods but also in raw materials too. For example,
Australia is now the number one coal exporter in the world, while
basic metals and coal are also helping to power the country’s
robust export economy (See Three Construction ETFs For An Economic
Recovery).
Of particular concern to Australia is the health of China and
its demand for commodities. Since the nation looks poised to avoid
a hard landing, prospects are looking up for Australia in terms of
export growth for the foreseeable future. Recent reports by some
analysts suggest that increased Chinese demand will help total
Aussie exports grow by about 7% for the next five years. This looks
to be driven by double digit growth in iron ore and coal exports,
both of which are key commodities to China’s growing economy,
helping Australia to export close to $28 billion a month.
Beyond China, a number of smaller markets in the Asia-Pacific
region are also surging higher, becoming important trading partners
with Australia in their own right. Specifically, countries in
Southeast Asia, such as Malaysia, Thailand, and Indonesia, are all
gaining in importance as their economies continue to industrialize
and demand more raw materials. In fact, Thailand looks to become
the second fastest-growing export partner, while growth with the
quasi emerging market of North Asia’s South Korea looks to rise by
about 7% a year for the next five years (see What Bubble? China
ETFs Soaring To Start 2012).
For investors intrigued by these trends and Australia’s growing
dependence on Asian trade, there are a number of ETFs that offer
exposure to the nation. They could make for interesting picks for
those who want more emerging market access but would prefer to do
it in a way that gives a greater focus on safety. Below, we
highlight the four pure play options that investors have when
looking at the Australia ETF space. While they all have
similarities, investors should note the key differences between
these solid options below:
iShares MSCI Australia Index Fund
(EWA)
The gold standard in Australia ETFs, this fund has amassed close
to $3 billion in AUM, trading close to four million shares a day.
The fund focuses in on large cap stocks and has a portfolio of
about 70 securities in total, charging investors 52 basis points a
year in fees. However, investors should note that EWA does pay out
a pretty robust 4.6%, representing a solid yield for a
country-specific fund (see Top Three High Yield Real Estate
ETFs).
Financials dominate the holdings of EWA making up 37% of the
total exposure although basic materials account for another 27% as
well. Although the fund only puts 14% of its assets in anything
besides large caps (all in mid caps) it does have a nice breakdown
between value and growth with both accounting for at least 40% of
assets in the product. Current top holdings include BHP
Billiton (BHP),
Commonwealth Bank of Australia, and Westpac Banking Corp
(WBK). EWA has added
about 10.6% so far this year, erasing much of last year’s 13.2%
slump.
First Trust Australia AlphaDEX Fund
(FAUS)
For investors looking for a slightly more ‘active’ approach in
Australian investments, FAUS could be worth a closer look. The
product utilizes a number of growth and value factors in order to
determine the stocks that should be included in the product,
eliminating the worst rated and giving higher weights to those that
are top rated securities. In total, 40 firms are selected for
inclusion, which are then broken into quintiles and are weighted
equally among the five groups. Thanks to this, the fund has a large
expense ratio, coming in at 80 basis points a year.
Currently, financials and materials both account for 29% and
26%, respectively, occupying the top two spots in the ETF. Beyond
these sectors, industrials also make up about 18% while the rest of
the sectors do not account for more than 7% of the total. In terms
of top holdings, Campbell Brothers, Caltex Australia, Dexus
Property, and Tatts Group, are the only four to make up at least 4%
of assets. In terms of performance, the fund is too new to compare
to the others on the list. It debuted in mid-February of 2012 and
thus has no real performance history to speak of.
IQ Australia Small Cap ETF
(KROO)
If investors are looking for a small cap tilt in their
investment, KROO is the longest running choice. The product targets
the IQ Australia Small Cap Index, focusing in on companies that
make up the smallest 15% of the market cap in the nation.
Currently, the portfolio consists of about 100 securities while
charging investors 69 basis points a year in fees. However, the
product is still somewhat unpopular with many investors as it has
less than $20 million in AUM and sees volume of just over 10,000
shares a day. Despite this, the fund does have an annual yield
exceeding 7.5%, suggesting it could be top destination for current
income (see For Japan ETFs, Think Small Caps).
In terms of sector exposure, the fund is quite different from
its large cap counterpart, EWA. The fund puts its top weightings to
basic materials (30%), industrials (26%), and cyclical consumer
(17%) stocks. Additionally, it should be noted that the fund puts
about 34% of its assets in mid caps and 1% in micro caps, giving
the fund a heavy focus on small cap securities. From an individual
holding perspective, industrial companies take up many of the top
spots, although no one company makes up more than 2.5% of total
assets. For performance, KROO has surged in 2012, adding nearly
18.8% in the year so far, helping to, in part, erase last year’s
nearly 30.6% collapse.
iShares MSCI Australia Small Cap Index Fund
(EWAS)
For investors searching for another small cap play in the
Australia space, the recently debuted EWAS could be another option.
The fund holds about 206 securities and charges investors 59 basis
points a year in fees for its services. Yield information is
currently unavailable as the product has yet to pay out a
distribution since it just was released on 1/26/12. Thanks to this,
the product is still light in volume and assets, having amassed
just $2.6 million while trading about 1,250 shares change hands a
day in its still short time on the market.
The sector holdings of EWAS are comparable to KROO although
there are a few differences. With that being said, the top three
sectors are the same in both products although EWAS appears to be
slightly less concentrated in these markets. Additionally, EWAS
puts close to 45% of its assets in companies that do not fall into
the small cap segment, possibly in part thanks to the fund’s
inclusion of twice as many companies as its IndexIQ counterpart.
However, this also means that the fund is less concentrated as no
one firm accounts for more than 2% of the assets in the ETF, a
marginal decrease from KROO and its 2.5% top weighting.
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