Time to Buy This China ETF? - ETF News And Commentary
September 19 2013 - 8:05AM
Zacks
China, the world’s second largest economy, faced difficult times in
2012, which continued through the first two quarters of 2013 as
well. The slowdown in the Chinese economy came in the wake of a
number of issues plaguing the developing nations. China has now
become a flashpoint for the global economy where events could
either promote global stability, or plunge other markets into a
crisis.
Beyond global issues and taper talk, a domestic leadership
transition and a lower GDP growth rate also impacted the economic
health of the once economic all-star (read: China ETF Investing
101).
However, the good news is that the Chinese economy is gaining some
strength now. This came on the back of improved manufacturing
activity in the country, which is reported to be at a 16-month high
(See: Is This China ETF About To Surge?).
The Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI), as stated by the National
Bureau of Statistics and China Federation of Logistics in Beijing,
was at 51.0. A PMI reading above 50 indicates expanding activity,
while a reading below 50 points to a contraction.
Meanwhile, growth levels are also picking up while cars sales are
solid. This suggests that the consumer remains on track in the
country, meaning that the nation has a well-rounded growth
outlook.
Given these fundamentals, the country seems to be slowly
rebounding. At this time some daring investors could take advantage
of the situation.
Though the space is a bit risky and has been overlooked for some
time, one should know that with more risk can come more gains. For
now, we have selected a buy ranked ETF which could prove beneficial
in such a situation. In fact, ETFs have often proved to be a safe
haven compared to investing in individual stocks (See: Winning ETF
Strategies for the Second Half of 2013).
About the Zacks ETF Rank
The Zacks ETF Rank provides a recommendation for the ETF in the
context of our outlook for the underlying industry, sector, style
box, or asset class. Our proprietary methodology also takes into
account the risk preferences of investors. ETFs are ranked on a
scale of 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) while they also receive
one of three risk ratings, namely, Low, Medium, or High.
The aim of our models is to select the best ETFs within each risk
category. We assign each ETF one of five ranks within each risk
bucket. Thus, the Zacks Rank reflects the expected return of an ETF
relative to other products with a similar level of risk.
For investors seeking to apply this methodology to their portfolio
in the small-cap segment of China, we have taken a closer look at
the buy ranked HAO below:
Guggenheim China Small Cap ETF
(
HAO)
Launched in Jan 2008, HAO taps the small cap securities in the
Chinese market that have a market capitalization of a maximum of
$1.5 billion and a minimum of $200 million. HAO provides investors
a broad exposure to the small cap securities of China and since its
inception has amassed $183.8 million in assets.
The fund holds a basket of 251 securities of which 54% are mid caps
and 39% are small caps. This indicates that the fund does not offer
a pure play in small cap securities and has exposure to some larger
firms.
HAO has a diversified offering with just 12.48% of the asset base
invested in the top 10 holdings. Among individual holdings, Youku
Tudou takes the top spot, followed by Tsingtao Brewery and Sino
Biopharmaceutical (read Try Small Cap ETFs to Gain from Chinese
Domestic Demand).
Among sector holdings, Industrials (18.56%), Financials (14.84%),
Consumer Discretionary (14.83%), Information Technology (12.35%)
and Materials (12.31%) take the top 5 positions, while Consumer
Staples, Healthcare, Utilities and Energy make a combined
contribution of 24%.
The product is a costlier choice in its space and charges investors
75bps in fees. In terms of performance, the product has given
returns of 23.4% for the trailing one-year period.
However, on a year-to-date basis, the fund has negative returns of
more than 0.4%, though the product has a decent yield of 1.34%. We
believe that brighter days are ahead for this ETF, and that a focus
on the small cap segment of this huge market can be a winning
strategy for the months ahead. This is especially true given
the weakness in other emerging markets, meaning that HAO might be
worth a closer look at this time.
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ISHARS-CHINA LC (FXI): ETF Research Reports
GUGG-CHINA SC (HAO): ETF Research Reports
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