Aurubis: Euro-zone Issues Not Enough To Justify Copper Slide
May 24 2012 - 6:00AM
Dow Jones News
The euro zone doesn't represent a significant enough demand
component of the copper market to justify such a large slide in
copper prices, Aurubis AG (NDA.XE) said Thursday.
According to Aurubis, the six core European Union countries with
annual copper demand of 200,000 metric tons or more--Germany,
Italy, Spain, Poland, Belgium and France--collectively only account
for 2.8 million tons of copper demand each year, or 14% of total
global demand.
"The demand dynamics of these countries have been rather
moderate in the past as well, especially compared to those of China
and other newly industrialized countries," Aurubis, Europe's
largest copper producer, said in a monthly report.
Demand from China, instead, is the key, said Aurubis.
"If a change in demand were to drive down the price, then it
would be here," it said.
The Chinese copper market will likely account for 8.4 million
tons of copper demand in 2012, following an 8% increase in demand
growth last year, said Aurubis.
Momentum is likely to ramp up in the construction sector this
year, as the Chinese government pushes infrastructure investments
in order to counteract the economic slow-down, it said.
"At this time, it would therefore be short-sighted to be guided
only by daily events and to look only at Europe. It is likely that
the copper prices will level off again," Aurubis said.
Euro-zone jitters have seen the price of copper tumble around
10% so far this month. In Wednesday's session alone, the London
Metal Exchange's three-month copper contract slid 3% to a 2012 low
at $7,503 a ton. At 0922 GMT Thursday, LME three-month copper was
up 0.7% on the day at $7,587.25/ton.
-By Francesca Freeman, Dow Jones Newswires; +44 (0)20 7842 9412;
francesca.freeman@dowjones.com
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