Natural Gas Prices Rise as Coal-to-Gas Switching Expected
April 24 2019 - 3:54PM
Dow Jones News
By Dan Molinski
--Natural-gas prices rose slightly from three-year lows
Wednesday as the low prices increased the possibility the power
sector will begin using more gas and less coal.
--Natural gas for May delivery ended 0.3% higher at $2.4620 a
million British thermal units on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Prices fell 2.7% on Tuesday to $2.4550/mmBtu, the lowest since June
3, 2016.
HIGHLIGHTS
Gas Vs Coal: Gas prices have fallen 17% this year, and that may
be encouraging electricity generating plants to start favoring a
higher mix of gas and reduced usage of coal, thus boosting gas
prices, or at least perhaps preventing further declines.
"U.S. natural gas is now cheaper than Powder River Basin (PRB)
coal. Historically, these low price levels have led to higher gas
burns from the power sector," said analysts at Bank of America
Merrill Lynch in a research note. "PRB coal prices should provide
temporary floor to U.S. nat gas despite the recent sell off."
Storage: Any hopes for a stronger rebound in gas prices
Wednesday were hurt by expectations that weekly storage data
Thursday will show another larger-than-normal increase in domestic
gas inventories as production remains strong and comfortable spring
weather keeps demand low. Analysts surveyed by The Wall Street
Journal said they expect the Energy Information Administration will
report an 89-billion-cubic-feet increased in storage for the week
ended April 19, compared with an average increase of 47 bcf for
that period.
INSIGHT
Sub-Zero: While the main, Henry Hub gas prices are at three-year
lows below $2.50/mmBtu, prices paid for gas in the Permian Basin of
west Texas and New Mexico have continued to fall well below zero,
and Apache Corp. said this week it has began deferring natural gas
production in the Permian as a result.
Apache, which is developing a new gas field in the area, said it
expects local gas prices to be volatile until Kinder Morgan's Gulf
Coast Express pipeline begins operating later this year.
"This is the proper approach from both an environmental and
economic perspective relative to other industry practicessuch as
flaring or selling associated gas at a negative or unprofitable
price," Chief Executive John Christmann said. He added that Apache
would pick up production again "as soon as practical."
AHEAD
--The EIA is scheduled to release its weekly report on gas
storage Thursday at 10:30 a.m. ET.
Rebecca Elliott contributed to this report.
Write to Dan Molinski at dan.molinski@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
April 24, 2019 15:39 ET (19:39 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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