UPDATE: ConAgra 3Q Net Down, Tops Street Views
March 26 2009 - 12:07PM
Dow Jones News
ConAgra Foods Inc.'s (CAG) on Thursday said its third-quarter
profit exceeded analyst projections, but volumes for its packaged
foods fell and the company lowered prices in some segments like
cooking oil to compete better with private label products.
ConAgra said that it expects its overall volumes to improve
sequentially as it benefits from improved marketing for key brands
like Healthy Choice ready meals. Shares of the maker of Chef
Boyardee pasta, Hunt's ketchup and Peter Pan peanut butter were
recently up 4.7%.
ConAgra's results highlight both the benefits and the pressures
that the packaged food makers are seeing in the recession. Most
packaged food makers have stayed resilient in recent quarters as
they steadily hiked prices and as consumers cut back on eating out.
ConAgra's overall sales rose 6% in the latest quarter aided in part
by recent price increases it has taken in many parts of its
business.
But as the slump in consumer spending has deepened and as
retailers push manufacturers for more promotions or even possible
price cuts, the outlook for the industry has dimmed. In particular,
growing sales of cheaper private label - or generic store brands -
are taking a toll on the big national brands.
"I think that the environment is getting more challenging
despite the benefit from people eating at home. Consumers are much
more volume conscious," said Soleil Securities analyst Ed Roesch,
noting that prices have already come down in some commoditized food
categories like cheese.
Investors are concerned that a widespread rollback of prices
would hurt the profit margins of the big brands.
ConAgra benefited overall from pricing in the quarter, with
prices in its consumer segment rising 10%. The company said that it
has worked to reduce the price gaps with private label in
categories like cooking oil, where these cheaper brands have a
bigger penetration.
According to Nielsen data from the Private Label Manufacturers
Association, private-label sales of food and other grocery products
in the U.S. grew 10.3% to $82.9 billion for the twelve months ended
in November from $75.1 billion a year ago.
In the latest quarter, ConAgra benefited from new products and
efforts to revitalize some of its frozen food brands like Banquet
and Healthy Choice. "Maybe they are going on the offense and they
should see the benefits," said Roesch.
The company did not make significant comments about pension
contributions, an issue that has hurt many large manufacturing
companies across the U.S. and one that ConAgra likely faces as
well. The packaged food company cut its outlook for fiscal-year
capital spending by $25 million to $450 million.
ConAgra's fiscal third-quarter net income fell 37% on
year-earlier gains from discontinued operations as this year's
results were absent the trading operations sold last year.
The packaged food maker's fiscal third-quarter net income fell
37% on year-earlier gains from discontinued operations as this
year's results were absent the profitable commodity trading and
merchandising operations it sold last year.
For the period ended Feb. 22, ConAgra posted net income of
$193.2 million, or 43 cents a share, down from $309.1 million, or
63 cents a share, a year earlier. The company said earnings from
continuing operations, excluding hedging and recall impacts, rose
to 40 cents from 34 cents a year ago.
Net sales increased 6.1% to $3.13 billion and the company
reaffirmed its fiscal-year earnings outlook.
Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expected earnings, excluding
items, of 37 cents on revenue of $3.11 billion. Roesch said that
ConAgra benefited partly from low expectations in the Street going
into the quarter.
Consumer-foods sales rose 4.8% despite a 4% volume drop thanks
to price increases, while earnings increased 12%. The company said
some of those declines were due to volume woes for Peter Pan peanut
butter, stemming in part from a prior-year sales boost from
promotional activity. Industrywide peanut-butter sales have also
been weak amid from the recent recall by Peanut Corp. of America,
although ConAgra hasn't been affected by this recent recall.
Sales in the company's commercial foods segment rose 8% compared
with a year earlier, primarily reflecting higher sales at its Lamb
Weston business, which supplier frozen potatoes and vegetable
products.
In recent days some analysts have turned more cautious on the
packaged food industry. Earlier this week Credit Suisse Group (CS)
lowered its earnings projections for Kraft Foods Inc. (KFT),
Kellogg Co. (K), ConAgra and Hershey Co. (HSY) and analyst Robert
Moskow also predicted another 5% to 7% decline in packaged food
stocks due to weak volume growth.
Kraft Foods has said it expects its sales volumes for the first
quarter to be down as much as 5% as retailers and consumers cut
back. Kraft, the nation's largest packaged food maker, has been
hurt by inventory reductions as retailers across the board,
including world's largest retailer Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (WMT), cut
stocks. General Mills Inc. (GIS), which had been viewed as one of
the strongest performers in the packaged food industry, earlier in
March reported third quarter earnings below Wall Street's
estimates.
-Anjali Cordeiro; Dow Jones Newswires; 201-938-2408;
anjali.cordeiro@dowjones.com