Allegheny Misses, Cuts Sales View - Analyst Blog
October 24 2012 - 8:19AM
Zacks
Specialty metals company Allegheny Technologies
Inc. (ATI) reported third-quarter 2012 earnings of 32
cents per share, down from 56 cents (or 63 cents excluding
acquisition related charges) recorded a year ago. The results
missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7 cents. Profit slid 43%
year over year to $35.3 million on lower sales.
Revenues dipped 9.8% year over year to $1,220.5 million, also
falling behind the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1,297 million.
Sales fell as lower revenues across Engineered Products and
Flat-Rolled Products segments more than offset a modest growth in
the High Performance Metals division.
Sluggish economic conditions led to lower demand for the
company’s products across several end markets, including nuclear
energy, chemical processing and jet engine, in the quarter.
Operating profit slipped 26% year over year to $119.5 million
with operating margin declining to 9.8% from 12% a year ago.
Segment Highlights
Sales in the High Performance Metals segment inched up 1% year
over year to $539.3 million. Shipments of nickel-based and
specialty alloys jumped 11% due to higher demand from the aerospace
market while titanium and titanium alloys mill products shipments
fell 2% given a weak jet engine market.
Lower demand from nuclear energy and chemical processing
markets affected the shipment of zirconium and related
alloys in the quarter
Average selling prices for nickel-based and superalloys,
specialty alloys, and titanium and titanium alloys fell 6%, 4% and
1%, respectively, mainly due to lower raw material
surcharges.
Flat-Rolled Products segment revenues tumbled 18.8% to $560.2
million on account of reduced raw material surcharges and lower
pricing. Shipments of high-value products fell 3% year over year,
while those of standard stainless products (sheet and plate)
increased 10%. Average selling prices for standard stainless
products and high-value products fell 19% and 21%,
respectively.
Sales in the Engineered Products division fell 5.7% to $121
million, hurt by lower demand for tungsten-based products. The
company witnessed weak demand from the oil and gas and cutting tool
markets.
Financial Position
Allegheny ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of
$281 million, down 35% year over year. Total debt of roughly $1.5
billion represents around 9% year over year decline. Net debt as a
percentage of total capitalization rose to 31.2% from 30.3% a year
ago. Total debt-to-capital ratio was 35.9% as of September 30,
2012, compared with 37.2% as of September 30, 2011.
Outlook and Recommendation
Factoring in the current soft macroeconomic scenario,
sustained weak demand for its products and aggressive inventory
managements by its customers, Allegheny has reduced its sales
forecast for 2012 to a band of $5 billion to $5.1 billion from its
earlier view of $5.3 billion to $5.4 billion. Segment operating
margin is expected to be 10.5% for the full year.
Allegheny anticipates the business environment to remain
challenging in the fourth quarter and results are expected to be
lower sequentially. Nevertheless, the company expects to continue
to benefit from its new alloys and products, diversified global
growth markets and differentiated product mix. It envisions strong
growth in its key end markets such as commercial aerospace and oil
and gas over the long term.
Allegheny, which competes with Carpenter Technology
Corp. (CRS), currently retains a Zacks #5 Rank, reflecting
a short-term (1 to 3 months) Strong Sell rating. We have a
long-term (more than 6 months) Underpeform recommendation on the
stock.
ALLEGHENY TECH (ATI): Free Stock Analysis Report
CARPENTER TECH (CRS): Free Stock Analysis Report
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