|
|
|
Further, on April 17, 2019, the BCRA issued Communication A 6680, which sets the maximum term
for entities to credit the vendor or affiliated merchant account for the amount of each sale paid in a payment through the use of credit cards and / or purchase issued by them, at 10 business days from the date of purchase, and prohibits charging
interest or commission for that settlement period.
|
|
|
|
Additionally, on the same date, the BCRA issued Communication A 6691 prohibiting the of collection of
commissions for cash deposits in pesos in account whose holders are individuals or legal entities who have the status of micro-, small- and
medium-size
companies (MiPyMEs).
|
Economic Environment
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Quarter ended
|
|
Main Macroeconomic figures
|
|
03-31-19
|
|
|
12-31-18
|
|
|
03-31-18
|
|
GDP
|
|
var % y/y
|
|
|
n/d
|
|
|
|
-6.2
|
%
|
|
|
-4.1
|
%
|
Inflation End of period
|
|
var % y/y
|
|
|
54.7
|
%
|
|
|
47.6
|
%
|
|
|
25.4
|
%
|
|
|
var % q/q
|
|
|
11.8
|
%
|
|
|
11.5
|
%
|
|
|
6.7
|
%
|
CER
|
|
Quarterly adjustment
|
|
|
9.3
|
%
|
|
|
16.3
|
%
|
|
|
7.0
|
%
|
Exchange Rate
|
|
Pesos x US$
|
|
|
43.35
|
|
|
|
37.81
|
|
|
|
20.14
|
|
Reserves
|
|
US$
|
|
|
66,187
|
|
|
|
65,806
|
|
|
|
61,726
|
|
Fiscal Balance
|
|
Primary - billion of $
|
|
|
10,347
|
|
|
|
(185,672
|
)
|
|
|
(31,001
|
)
|
Trade Balance
|
|
US$ (billion)
|
|
|
2,015
|
|
|
|
2,631
|
|
|
|
(2,373
|
)
|
Total Private Loans
|
|
var % q/q
|
|
|
3.5
|
%
|
|
|
-4.3
|
%
|
|
|
9.2
|
%
|
|
|
var % y/y
|
|
|
26.2
|
%
|
|
|
33.1
|
%
|
|
|
56.7
|
%
|
Total Private Deposits
|
|
var % q/q
|
|
|
11.1
|
%
|
|
|
11.2
|
%
|
|
|
3.4
|
%
|
|
|
var % y/y
|
|
|
73.7
|
%
|
|
|
61.7
|
%
|
|
|
31.3
|
%
|
Interest rate
|
|
Monetary policy (eop)
|
|
|
68.2
|
%
|
|
|
59.3
|
%
|
|
|
27.3
|
%
|
|
|
Badlar (weighted avg. quarterly)
|
|
|
41.7
|
%
|
|
|
50.2
|
%
|
|
|
22.8
|
%
|
From August 8, 2018, the reference rate of the monetary policy
is the one of the Leliq rate. From October 1, 2018, the reference rate is defined as the average rate resulting from daily operations of Leliq with financial institutions.
Argentine economic activity, measured by GDP, fell 2.5% in 2018. This situation was mainly attributed to the poor harvest, caused by the severe drought
occurred at the beginning of the year, and followed by the local FX crisis. During the fourth quarter of 2018, GDP showed a yearly decrease of 6.2%
year-to-year.
The
Monthly Estimator of Economic Activity (EMAE) with data up to February increased 0.2%, (seasonally adjusted series) monthly.
In line with the decline in
activity, the unemployment rate climbed to 9.1% in the fourth quarter of 2018 from 7.2% in the same period of previous year.
During the first quarter of
2019 the primary fiscal surplus accumulated AR$ 10.3 billion, improving 130% annually from de deficit of AR$ 30.1 billion recorded in the same period of 2018. From January to March 2019, the public debt interest payment has accumulated AR$
125.1 billion, an increase of 106.7% compared to the same period of 2018.
In the first quarter of 2019, inflation registered 11.8% mainly due to the
pass-through effect of the currency devaluation to prices, the annual variation reached 54.7%.
In the external sector, the accumulated trade surplus
reached USD 2.0 billion during the first quarter of 2019, in contrast with a deficit of USD 2.4 billion in the same period of the previous year. The performance of the trade balance is the result of total exports in the period USD
14.2 billion
(-2.3%
y/y) and total imports of USD 12.2 billion
(-28.0%).
In the FX market, the exchange rate (BCRA reference rate) closed at AR$ 43.5 per U.S. dollar on March 31, 2019, increasing 14.7% compared to the AR$ 37.8
rate registered at the end of December 2018 and 115.2% from the same period of the previous year. The international reserves increased by USD 381 million in the first quarter of 2019 reaching USD 66.2 billion.
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