The Aerospace and Defense industry depends largely on the
spending pattern of government departments for growth, with the
U.S. defense budget having a direct bearing on the sector. While
U.S. defense spending has been affected by the Budget Control Act
of 2011 in recent times, several other opportunities of growth have
kept the sector afloat.
As a background, the sequester, put into effect in March 2013,
resulted in broad budget cuts (at least to the rate of growth in
most segments). These were, however, made in an even manner between
the defense and non-defense categories.
This slowdown in defense spending compels companies to often
fall back on joint ventures, strategic alliances and big
international orders to pool their resources, allowing them access
to new markets (Read: Can The Defense ETFs Soar Despite
Headwinds?).
In fact, the impact of budget sequestration proved to be
less-than-feared. This has led to a rally in the Defense and
Aerospace securities across the board.
A pick up in defense spending in certain other countries such as
India, Japan, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Brazil is
also opening up business doors to the U.S. – the global leader in
the Aerospace and Defense sector (Read: Time to Buy This Aerospace
and Defense ETF?).
Strategic alliances with other foreign nations often entail the
U.S. to share its military technology and supply weapons to its
allies which in turn boost the sector’s revenues.
Commercial opportunities as well
On the other hand, commercial orders are also increasing. There
is a significant visibility in aerospace volume growth over the
next several years based on the commercial airplane backlog.
According to Aerospace Industries Association (AAI), the U.S.
aerospace and defense industry recorded a massive $99 billion in
net exports in 2012. This is quite above president Obama’s goal of
doubling exports by 2015, at least for this sector. The data
ensures that the sector is not that hurt by the uncertainty related
to sequestration.
Further, contracts with Defense Advanced Research Projects
Agency (DARPA) – which develops new technologies for military and
restructuring activities within companies that reduce workforce and
increase productivity – are the major tailwinds in the sector.
However, the picture isn’t entirely rosy. Sequestration still
remains an overhang both on the civil and military sectors. Also,
the companies with limited international exposure might fall into
trouble in a tight-budget U.S. environment.
That is why finding a top ranked pick in this segment is so
important. In order to do this, investors can look to the Zacks ETF
Rank in order to help them find a top notch aerospace and defense
ETF.
About the Zacks ETF Rank
The Zacks ETF Rank provides a recommendation for the ETF in the
context of our outlook for the underlying industry, sector, style
box or asset class (Read: Zacks ETF Rank Guide). Our proprietary
methodology also takes into account the risk preferences of
investors. ETFs are ranked on a scale of 1 (Strong Buy) to 5
(Strong Sell) while they also receive one of three risk ratings,
namely Low, Medium or High.
The aim of our models is to select the best ETFs within each
risk category. We assign each ETF one of the five ranks within each
risk bucket. Thus, the Zacks Rank reflects the expected return of
an ETF relative to other products with a similar level of risk (see
more in the Zacks ETF Center).
For investors seeking to apply this methodology to their
portfolio in the Defense and Aerospace sector, we have taken a
closer look at the top ranked PPA. This ETF has a Zacks ETF Rank of
1 or ‘Strong Buy’ (see the full list of top ranked ETFs) and
details about it are highlighted below:
PowerShares Aerospace & Defense Fund
(PPA)
Launched in October 2005, the PowerShares Aerospace &
Defense Fund (PPA) – is a passively managed ETF designed to provide
broad exposure to the US defense, homeland security and aerospace
sector. PPA tracks the SPADE Defense Index, and has amassed a net
asset base of $58.6 million.
Holding 48 stocks in its basket, the fund is moderately
diversified across individual securities. The product puts more
than 50% of its total assets in the top 10 holdings, suggesting
that company-specific risk is higher.
The Boeing Co. (BA), Lockheed Martin
Corp (LMT) and Honeywell International
Inc (HON) are its top three holdings with a respective
weight of 7.23%, 6.49% and 6.31%. These companies are offering
strong growth prospects at the current level. The sector breakdown
for this fund is 81.9% industrial, 15% information technology and
3.1% materials.
While this choice is an expensive one in the U.S. aerospace
& defense space with around 66 bps of annual fees, its daily
trading volume of 15,000 is low, but is still higher than the two
other choices– iShares Dow Jones US Aerospace & Defense
ETF (ITA) and SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense
ETF (XAR) – in this space.
The fund structure calls for a value tilt for the product, along
with a focus on large cap securities. Mid cap securities are also
substantial in the ETF, occupying one third of the fund. The focus
on value and large cap securities makes this fund a low-risk
opportunity.
PPA started the year 2013 on a solid note thanks to the optimism
surrounded by the improving US economic indicators and
better-positioning of the defense sector. It has returned about
17.6% for the one-year period ending Mar 31, 2013 and about 17.8%
in the year-to-date time frame.
The product also pays an annual dividend yield of 1.76%. PPA has
hit a low of $18.20 and a high of $25.27 in the last one year. The
fund is currently hovering near its 52-week high price. PPA is
strongly correlated with the S&P 500 index as indicated by an
R-Squared value of 81.6%.
Should current trends continue in the market, PPA could remain a
solid pick for investors seeking to make a play on the space.
Budget fears have turned out to be overblown, and both aerospace
and defense products are in demand across the globe, suggesting a
decent outlook for PPA ahead.
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BOEING CO (BA): Free Stock Analysis Report
ISHARS-DJ AEROS (ITA): ETF Research Reports
LOCKHEED MARTIN (LMT): Free Stock Analysis Report
PWRSH-AERO&DEF (PPA): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP AER&DEF (XAR): ETF Research Reports
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