MARKET WRAPS
Stocks:
European stocks rose Wednesday as investors continue to monitor
concern over the fast-spreading delta variant.
The pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 advanced, extending gains
after notching record closing levels for two days in a row.
Purchasing managers' surveys showed an expansion in activity in the
eurozone's manufacturing and services industries in July, albeit at
a slower pace than the previous month.
The euro fell after the IHS Markit eurozone services purchasing
managers' index for July was revised lower. The PMI was revised to
59.8 from an initial estimate of 60.4. However, it was higher than
June's reading of 58.3 and above the 50 level that separates an
expansion from a contraction in sector activity.
Services growth was "slightly less marked" than the earlier
estimate due to worries about the spread of the Delta coronavirus
variant, Markit economist Chris Williamson said.
Among equities, Commerzbank declined 5% after it swung to a loss
in the second quarter. Dutch coffee company JDE Peet's jumped over
5% after its profit more than tripled.
Investors continue to weigh up concerns over the fast-spreading
delta variant that has swept across the globe, and is now
compelling many U.S. companies to require proof of vaccination as
several parts of the country reinstate indoor mask rules. Some are
also worried that a wave of delta infections could impact economic
recoveries.
Fresh worries have also centered on China, which is testing all
11 million people in the city of Wuhan, the epicenter of the
original outbreak a year and a half ago. A cluster of cases has
also spread to Beijing, and the country has been imposing a wave of
travel restrictions.
U.S. Markets:
Stock futures wobbled ahead of more earnings reports and data on
the services sector that would provide fresh insights into the pace
of the economic recovery.
Stocks have ground higher this week amid strong earnings reports
and signs that the economic rebound remains under way, albeit at a
slower pace than in recent months. But the spread of the Delta
variant of Covid-19 and a slowdown in the rate of vaccinations is
prompting some concern that authorities may reimpose or tighten
restrictions on social activity and travel.
"We're entering a stage where growth is still strong, but not as
strong as the initial stage of the recovery," said Sebastian
Mackay, multiasset fund manager at Invesco. "The implications for
markets would be if earnings fail to sustain the very strong
performance they have been reporting. Are we entering a stage of
the cycle where earnings are still reasonably robust, but the
recovery is difficult to sustain?"
A purchasing managers' survey for the U.S. services sector in
July is set to be released at 10 a.m. ET. Economists are expecting
the data will show an increase as Americans shifted from spending
on goods to in-person activities amid vaccinations and relaxed
Covid-19 restrictions.
A report from ADP on employment levels in the private sector is
also scheduled for 8:15 a.m., acting as a precursor to Friday's
highly-anticipated jobs report from the government. Federal Reserve
policy makers have said the recovery of the labor market is a key
factor in monetary policy decisions.
Drugstore chain CVS Health, food and beverage giant Kraft Heinz,
private-equity firm Apollo Global Management and auto maker General
Motors are slated to report earnings ahead of the opening bell.
Ride hailing giant Uber Technologies and Costco Wholesale are
scheduled to report after markets close.
Forex:
Strong ADP private payrolls data due at 1215 GMT could raise
prospects of strong nonfarm payrolls data Friday. If combined with
some indication on "the start and end" of tapering of asset
purchases in a speech by Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard
Clarida, this could lift U.S. short rates and the dollar, ING
said.
Dollar strength would be mainly against the low-yielding euro
and Japanese yen, however, ING said.
ADP private payrolls are forecast to rise by 653,000 in July,
according to a WSJ poll of economists.
The European Central Bank's looser-for-longer policy stance has
driven the Swiss franc's recent gains against the euro, Commerzbank
said.
"After the last ECB meeting, the market is additionally tending
towards the assumption that monetary policy in the euro-area will
remain expansionary for a long time even after the pandemic, which
in turn is weighing on the EUR/CHF rate," Commerzbank's Thu Lan
Nguyen said.
That may not be reflected in EUR/USD as the Federal Reserve's
strategy also allows for prolonged expansionary policy, she
said.
Once the pandemic eases, the safe haven franc's declines versus
the euro might be limited, she says.
EUR/CHF rose 0.1% to 1.0736, having reached its lowest level
since November at 1.0719 overnight, according to FactSet.
Bonds:
Ten-year U.S. Treasury yields might have more room to fall than
their German peers, said ING's rates strategists. The bottom could
be 1% for 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, while German Bund yields
are probably closer to the bottom, they think.
Rates are on autopilot, trying to find the bottom of this year's
trading range, while the main catalyst for a change in the current
market dynamics would be bumper U.S. nonfarm payroll data on
Friday, said ING's rates strategists.
Danske Bank lowers its forecasts for five-year eurozone
government bond yields for the next 12 months because it no longer
expects markets to price early interest rate rises by the ECB, said
Danske's chief analyst Arne Lohmann Rasmussen.
The lower forecasts for five-year bond yields also feed into
Danske's 10-year yield outlook for the eurozone, he said.
Accordingly, Danske expects the 10-year German Bund yields to
rise to -0.25% by the end of the year and to 0.1% on a 12-month
horizon, compared with the bank's previous forecasts of 0% and
0.3%, respectively.
Commodities:
Oil prices rose after both benchmarks ended Tuesday less than 1%
down after at one point losing 3% each.
This week's volatility has come as "worries continue to grow
over the spread of the delta variant in China," said ING's Warren
Patterson.
With a number of cities now in lockdown and travel restrictions
newly imposed, demand worries have weighed on oil prices.
Prices rebounded after suspected Iranian gunmen hijacked a
tanker off the coast of the UAE. That follows an attack on an
Israeli-operated tanker that the U.S. and U.K. blamed on Iran.
EMEA HEADLINES
Eurozone Retail Sales Recovery Continued in June
Eurozone retail sales grew in June, signaling that the reopening
of non-essential shops in several countries is helping to drive the
region's economic recovery.
The European Union's statistics agency said Wednesday that the
volume of retail sales rose 1.5% in June compared with May, in line
with the forecasts of economists polled by The Wall Street
Journal.
Commerzbank Swung to 2Q Loss Hit by One-Offs
Commerzbank AG swung to a loss in the second quarter hit by
one-off costs such as those related to its restructuring.
The German bank said Wednesday that the net loss for the period
was 527 million euros ($625.7 million) compared with a profit of
EUR183 million a year earlier.
Hugo Boss Aims to Double Sales by 2025; to Focus on Online,
China
Hugo Boss AG aims to sharply increase its revenue within the
next five years, with a focus on digital sales and Chinese
consumers, the German premium-fashion company said Wednesday.
Setting out its strategy to 2025, Hugo Boss said it is targeting
revenue of 4 billion euros ($4.75 billion) by 2025. In 2020, the
company made sales of EUR1.95 billion, though this was sharply down
from the previous year's figure of EUR2.9 billion. As for profit,
the company is aiming for a margin of earnings before interest and
taxes of around 12% within the same timeframe.
Facebook Acquisition Review Shows EU's New Antitrust Power
BRUSSELS-Facebook Inc. has hit a new obstacle in Europe in its
planned takeover of a small New York-based startup, showing how
antitrust muscle-flexing is increasingly affecting deals an ocean
away.
With a new interpretation of an old law, European Union
competition regulators have given themselves sweeping authority to
review merger cases that previously would have escaped their
notice, sparking outcry from companies and their lawyers that the
change will cause confusion in deal-making.
PAI Makes North American Splash With Pepsi Deal
PAI Partners' roughly $4.5 billion beverage-brand joint venture
with PepsiCo Inc. might be the European private-equity firm's first
large platform investment in the U.S. market, but it is unlikely to
be its last.
"We are excited to bring our consumer and partnership expertise
onto this side of the Atlantic," said Maud Brown, a partner who
joined the Paris-based firm in 2019 to lead its expansion in North
America as head of its New York office. "One of the strengths of
the U.S. market is the size."
How Long Can BMW Resist Tesla's Pull?
One of the less discussed ways in which Tesla's Elon Musk has
changed the automotive industry concerns financial communication:
Underpromising in order to overdeliver is out, advertising
expensive growth plans is in.
One car maker that hasn't fallen into line is BMW. The German
luxury brand posted strong second-quarter results Tuesday but
didn't raise its full-year profit guidance the way most of its
peers have. It cited the familiar risks posed for the second half
by the semiconductor shortage and inflation in raw-material prices.
Its shares fell about 5%.
EU's New Weapon in Rule-of-Law Battle With Poland, Hungary:
Money
BRUSSELS-The European Union has begun withholding funds from
Poland and Hungary, escalating the battle over democratic standards
that is deepening the East-West divide in the bloc.
The EU and most governments in its Western region are concerned
about legal changes by Poland and Hungary that they think are
eroding the rule of law, weakening judicial independence, and
breaching human rights. They are particularly alarmed by an effort
by Warsaw to assert the primacy of Polish law over EU law and court
decisions.
A Year After Beirut Explosion, Lebanese Are Still Seeking
Justice
BEIRUT-Demonstrations against Lebanon's political elite are set
to be held on Wednesday as civil-society groups demand justice for
the deadly explosion in Beirut a year ago, which they blame on
their leaders.
An investigation into the port blast on Aug. 4 last year has so
far failed to provide accountability for one of the biggest
nonnuclear explosions in history. The explosion killed more than
200 people, injured some 7,000 and devastated some of the Lebanese
capital's liveliest residential and commercial areas.
Ship Seized in Gulf of Oman Amid Rising Tensions With Iran Is
Let Go
A tanker ship in the Gulf of Oman was seized Tuesday by
suspected Iranian gunmen, Western officials said, amid rising
regional tensions following a fatal drone attack on another vessel
that the U.S. and its allies have blamed on the Islamic
Republic.
The tanker was boarded near the port of Fujairah in the United
Arab Emirates, according to the U.K. Maritime Trade Operations,
which is affiliated with the British Defense Ministry.
Belarusian Activist Vitaly Shyshov's Death Is Investigated in
Ukraine as Homicide
MOSCOW-A Belarusian activist who headed a group in Ukraine that
helps Belarusians escape repression in their homeland was found
dead a day after disappearing near his home in Kyiv, an incident
that comes amid an intensifying crackdown on Belarusian
activists.
Ukrainian authorities said Tuesday they were investigating the
death of Vitaly Shyshov, who was found hanged in a park not far
from his residence, as a homicide. All scenarios would be
investigated, including the possibility of murder disguised as
suicide, police said.
Deutsche Bank Set to Resume Sponsoring Hong Kong IPOs After
Filling Staffing Gap
Deutsche Bank AG is set to regain its ability to sponsor Hong
Kong initial public offerings, after losing the capability
temporarily in June when it failed to line up replacements in time
for two departing staffers.
Sponsors take a senior role in an IPO in Hong Kong, conducting
due diligence on companies that are preparing to go public and
helping guide the companies through the listing process. Banks and
brokerage companies that act as sponsors need to have at least two
experienced individuals serving as IPO principals who have been
approved by the city's Securities and Futures Commission.
GLOBAL NEWS
China Services-Sector Gauge Rebounded in July
A private gauge of China's services sector unexpectedly
rebounded in July after slipping to a 14-month low in June, as new
orders picked up.
However, China's recent resurgence of Covid-19 cases since late
July is set to overshadow its services sector and weaken the
economic outlook, as local governments have imposed stringent
lockdown and quarantine measures to stop the spread of the
virus.
Tencent Selloff Shows Deep Scar Tissue in Chinese Markets
China's recent crackdown on education companies has left scars
that could be long in healing.
Putting the fear of God into investors may help Beijing direct
capital more easily into areas it prefers, but also risks
magnifying volatility and complicating corporate-investment plans,
as every regulatory blip is seen as a possible death sentence.
Crypto 'Wild West' Needs Stronger Investor Protection, SEC Chief
Says
WASHINGTON-The Securities and Exchange Commission will regulate
cryptocurrency markets to the maximum extent possible using its
existing authority, Chairman Gary Gensler said Tuesday, while also
calling on Congress to grant the agency more scope and resources to
oversee the sector.
Calling the asset class rife with "fraud, scams and abuse," Mr.
Gensler signaled the SEC is likely to become more active in
policing crypto trading and lending platforms, as well as so-called
stablecoins.
Australia Faces a Deep Third-Quarter GDP Contraction, RBA Board
Member Says
SYDNEY-A deep contraction in Australia's economy in the third
quarter looks unavoidable, and significant uncertainty hangs over
the fourth quarter due to lengthening lockdowns across major
cities, said Ian Harper, dean of Melbourne Business School, and
Reserve Bank of Australia board member.
Still, surging vaccination rates offer hope of a rebound in
growth that could be more powerful than anything yet seen during
the pandemic, he said
Florida Battles Record Covid-19 Hospitalizations, as Delta
Variant Surges
Covid-19 hospitalizations in Florida have reached a record high,
federal data show, as the state battles a surge in cases brought on
by the highly contagious Delta variant.
There were 11,515 confirmed Covid-19 hospitalizations in the
state, according to data released Tuesday by the U.S. Department of
Health and Human Services.
Write to sarka.halas@wsj.com
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(END) Dow Jones Newswires
August 04, 2021 06:01 ET (10:01 GMT)
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