AIR Worldwide Estimates Industry Insured Losses for Typhoon Mangkhut Will be Between USD 1 Billion and USD 2 Billion
September 25 2018 - 5:22PM
For Immediate Release:
AIR Worldwide Estimates Industry Insured
Losses for Typhoon Mangkhut Will be Between USD 1 Billion
and USD 2 Billion
BOSTON, Sept. 25, 2018 - Catastrophe risk modeling firm AIR
Worldwide estimates that industry insured losses from Typhoon
Mangkhut in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau will be between
USD 1 billion and USD 2 billion. AIR Worldwide is a Verisk
(Nasdaq:VRSK) business.
After making landfall in the Philippines, Typhoon Mangkhut
doused a relatively less densely populated agricultural area of
Luzon with 300 mm (12 inches) of rain-with some regions receiving
700 mm (27 inches) of rain-as it trekked across the northern tip of
the island, weakening as it interacted with land. By the time it
had crossed Luzon into the South China Sea later that day,
September 15, Mangkhut had weakened to the intensity of a Category
3 storm.
"The storm continued northwestward across the South China Sea
over Sunday, September 16, with wind speeds of about 160 km/h (100
mph)," said Dr. Peter Sousounis, vice president and director of
meteorology, AIR Worldwide. "As it moved toward landfall in
mainland China, Mangkhut bypassed Hong Kong and Macau. The center
of the typhoon passed 130 km west of Hong Kong and 70 km west of
Macau, both of which felts its effects due to a massive wind field;
hurricane-force winds extended 160 km from its center and tropical
storm force winds extended 510 km from its center. Storm surge was
as high as 3.38 meters in Tai Po Kau, Hong Kong."
Mangkhut maintained its wind speed and made landfall in Taishan,
Guangdong Province, China, at around 08:00 UTC (4 p.m. local time)
on September 16 as a Category 3 hurricane, bringing heavy rain and
strong wind to the province before weakening to a tropical storm
and moving farther inland.
Record-breaking storm surges were recorded at Quarry Bay and at
Tai Po Kau of 2.35 meters and 3.38 meters, respectively, surpassing
the previous records of 1.77 meters in Quarry Bay from Typhoon
Wanda in 1962 and 3.23 meters at Tai Po Kau from Typhoon Hope in
1979. Heavy precipitation brought waist-high flooding to some
areas, inundating buildings.
Glass windows on commercial skyscrapers in Hong Kong were
shattered and contents were damaged; authorities said hundreds of
windows were smashed across the city. The storm tore off roofs,
downed trees, toppled signs, and produced wind-borne debris.
In the resort city of Macau, the largest gambling hub in the
world, all casinos were ordered to close for the first time ever.
Power was cut to about 20,000 households in low-lying areas and the
inner harbor. Extensive flooding impacted the area, rising above
head height in some locations and damaging buildings and
contents.
Along the coast of southern China, strong winds caused high
rises to sway and blew out windows. Heavy precipitation and storm
surge flooded coastal hotels and businesses; thousands of vehicles
also suffered flood damage.
AIR's modeled insured loss estimates include:
- Insured wind and precipitation-induced flood damage to property
(residential, commercial, industrial, and Construction All
Risks/Erection All Risks) for mainland China
- Insured wind, storm surge, and precipitation-induced flood
damage to property (residential, commercial, and agricultural,
including business interruption) for Hong Kong
- Insured wind and precipitation-induced flood damage to property
(residential, commercial, and agricultural, including business
interruption) for Macau
- Insured damage to automobiles for Hong Kong and Macau
- AIR's assumed take-up rates-that is, the percentage of
properties that are actually covered against wind and flood
damage
AIR's modeled insured loss estimates do not include:
- Losses to uninsured properties
- Losses in Guam, the Philippines, or any other territory outside
of mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau
- Landslide
- Losses to land
- Losses to infrastructure
- Losses to crops, livestock, aquaculture, and poultry
- Losses resulting from physical failure of flood defenses and
landslides
- Losses from storm surge in Macau and mainland China
- Losses to automobiles and losses from business interruption in
mainland China
- Losses from hazardous waste cleanup, vandalism, or civil
commotion, whether directly or indirectly caused by the event
- Demand surge
- Other non-modeled losses
About AIR WorldwideAIR Worldwide (AIR) provides risk
modeling solutions that make individuals, businesses, and society
more resilient to extreme events. In 1987, AIR Worldwide founded
the catastrophe modeling industry and today models the risk from
natural catastrophes, terrorism, pandemics, casualty catastrophes,
and cyber incidents. Insurance, reinsurance, financial, corporate,
and government clients rely on AIR's advanced science, software,
and consulting services for catastrophe risk management,
insurance-linked securities, longevity modeling, site-specific
engineering analyses, and agricultural risk management. AIR
Worldwide, a Verisk (Nasdaq:VRSK) business, is headquartered in
Boston, with additional offices in North America, Europe, and Asia.
For more information, please visit www.air-worldwide.com.
###
For more information, contact:Kevin LongAIR
Worldwide617-267-6645klong@air-worldwide.com
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