EARNINGS PREVIEW:US Media Cos Likely To See Better Bottom Lines
April 26 2011 - 4:07PM
Dow Jones News
TAKING THE PULSE: Media companies are likely to keep riding the
wave of increased advertising revenue as they report their most
recent quarter of earnings, with analysts mostly expecting results
to improve. Many still are pushing to increase subscription
businesses. Moody's earlier this month noted that the earthquake
and tsunami that rocked Japan last month would likely cut into some
North American media companies' revenue, though not enough to
damage their ratings. Meanwhile, companies still are looking at
trying to monetize online programming.
COMPANIES TO WATCH:
Viacom Inc. (VIA, VIAB) - reports Thursday
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters
expect the company to post earnings of 61 cents and $3 billion of
revenue. A year earlier, Viacom earned 40 cents on $2.79
billion.
Key Issues: The operator of Paramount films and channels such as
MTV and Comedy Central has continued to benefit from strength in
its cable business, though its filmed-entertainment business has
seen declines off year-earlier comparisons that were boosted by
blockbuster films. The company also in February announced a $500
million note buyback, which it later boosted by 15%, as it planned
to slate more cash toward reducing its debt.
CBS Corp. (CBS, CBSA) - reports May 3
Wall Street Expectations: Wall Street projects 19 cents a share
of earnings on $3.46 billion in revenue, compared with a
year-earlier 4 cents--including a net 1 cent of charges such as
restructuring costs--and $3.53 billion in revenue.
Key Issues: The broadcasting and outdoor-advertising company's
results have improved as it has seen broad strength across its
business segments, and ad revenue has improved. The company in
mid-February pulled the plug on television's No. 1 prime-time
sitcom, "Two and a Half Men," after lead actor Charlie Sheen's
public outbursts--that could mean a ratings hit for CBS, which
could cramp ad revenue.
Time Warner Inc. (TWX) - reports May 4
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts most recently forecast
earnings of 57 cents a share on $6.49 billion in revenue. A year
ago, the company posted 62 cents of earnings--or 61 cents when
adjusted for one-time items--and a top line of $6.32 billion.
Key Issues: Time Warner has displayed strength lately, helped by
a rebound in advertising. Its results are lending credibility to
the company's restructuring efforts over the past two years, as
well as its focus on cash flows and shareholder returns. Earlier
this month, Fitch boosted its outlook on Time Warner, saying its
performance during the downturn and subsequent recovery had
exceeded the ratings firm's expectations.
News Corp. (NWS, NWSA) - reports May 4
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts forecast 27 cents of earnings
and $8.42 billion of revenue. A year earlier, the company reported
32 cents of earnings and $8.79 billion of revenue.
Key Issues: News Corp., which owns Dow Jones, publisher of this
newswire, has seen its profit increase sharply lately, helped by
strong increases in advertising at its cable networks and TV
stations, though its movie business has seen declines. The company
was recently reported to still be in the process of trying to sell
its MySpace social media and entertainment site.
Walt Disney Co. (DIS) - reports May 10
Wall Street Expectations: Analysts expect earnings of 56 cents
and earnings of $9.13 billion, compared with 48 cents and $8.58
billion a year earlier.
Key Issues: The company is still benefiting from an ad rebound,
its media networks have flexed their muscles of late and its
theme-parks division has benefited from higher attendance and
spending. Disney was one of the companies Moody's singled out when
talking about a potential Japan impact, noting that it generates
more than $1 billion of yearly revenue in the country, although the
sum likely to be affected by the disaster is a small part of total
revenue.
(The Thomson Reuters estimates and year-earlier figures may not
be comparable due to one-time items and other adjustments.)
-By Nathan Becker, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2855; nathan.becker@dowjones.com
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