TUI AG (TUI) TUI AG: Q4 Pre-Close Trading Update 20-Sep-2022 /
08:00 CET/CEST Dissemination of a Regulatory Announcement,
transmitted by EQS Group. The issuer is solely responsible for the
content of this announcement.
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20 September 2022
TUI GROUP
Q4 Pre-Close Trading Update
Prior to entering its close period ahead of reporting its full
year results for the twelve months ending 30 September 2022 in
December, TUI Group announces the following trading update.
Summer 2022 set to close in line with our expectations, later
booking pattern continues into Winter with strong ASP
-- Q4 expected to deliver further strong progress - Hotels &
Resorts set to deliver its 5th consecutivepositive quarter. Cruise
and TUI Musement with significant improvement. Markets &
Airlines significantly profitabledespite airport disruptions
Market & Airlines
-- Overall Summer 2022 programme^1 totals 12.9m bookings, an
increase of 1.4m since Q3 update, with bookingsat 91% of Summer
2019 levels. The key departure months of July and August closed at
94% of Summer 2019 levels
-- ASP continues to hold up strongly at +18% versus Summer 2019,
which will help to soften the impact fromthe current higher
inflationary environment
-- UK Summer 2022 cumulative bookings remain +4% ahead of Summer
2019, with booking momentum in Germany andNetherlands well ahead of
Summer 2019 levels since our Q3 update
-- Flight disruption costs remain at elevated levels but
continued to improve through Q4
-- Winter 2022/23 bookings^1 are at an early stage and our
current assumption is for a Winter programmeclose to normalised
pre-pandemic levels with the option to flexibly adjust capacity in
line with customer demand.We will leverage our flexible and
integrated business model to ensure we provide our customers not
only with thebest winter holiday experience but also the assurance
that TUI remains the best choice for holiday travel
-- Against this background, Winter 2022/23 bookings^1 stand at
78% of Winter 2018/19 levels with the neardeparture months of
November and December at 81%. To date Winter ASP is higher at
26%
-- As usual, the UK, with 36% of the programme sold, is the most
advanced booked at +9% and ASP up +22%versus Winter 2018/19
-- Q1 bookings, which represent a mix of late Summer and early
Winter, are 54% sold compared to around 60%in a normalised year
-- As in Summer, we continue to see a trend towards a higher
share of short-term bookings for Winter andstrong pricing,
confirming solid customer demand for holiday travel
Holiday Experiences
-- Hotels & Resorts continues to perform strongly in Q4,
with July and August occupancies broadly in linewith and average
rates above pre-pandemic levels, highlighting the strength of our
integrated business model andour strong distribution power. We
expect to see continued strong demand for Winter 2022/23 especially
in theCanaries and the Caribbean
-- Cruises continues to recover in Q4, with occupancies building
strongly and rates achieving 2019 levels.Winter 2022/23 occupancies
are developing in line with our expectations at rates above 2019
levels. Short-termbookings continue to represent a large proportion
of overall bookings, however, the proportion of mid-term bookingsis
increasing as customer confidence returns
-- TUI Musement has significantly increased the sale of tours
and activities to 6.3m year-to date (1.2myear-to-date prior
year)
TUI Group
-- For financial year 2022, we re-confirm our expectations to
return to significant positive underlying EBIT^2 and also remain
committed to deliver our mid-term ambitions: underlying EBIT to
significantly build on FY19^3,driven by both top line growth and
GRP4 benefits and to return to a gross leverage ratio5 of less than
3.0x
-- ESG Update: Sustainability and ambitious ESG standards are a
very high priority for the Board and GroupExecutive Committee. The
criteria and approaches of the Global Sustainable Tourism Council
(GSTC) are ouraspiration and the benchmark for our actions in more
and more areas. We are taking a new approach to applying theGSTC
sustainability standards to our excursion portfolio. Our aim is to
create a broad offer for our customers andlead them to more
sustainable excursions. TUI is also pursuing ambitious climate
targets to make the agreements ofthe Paris Climate Agreement and
the EU Green Deal a success. TUI has submitted its emissions
reduction targets tothe Sciene Based Targets Initiative (SBTi) and
will transparently document its targets, actions and timeline
toSBTi. The sustainability agenda is to be presented after
confirmation of the targets by SBTi
-- TUI Group will issue its Annual Report on Wednesday 14
December 2022 and hold a presentation forinvestors and analysts on
the same day. Further details will follow
^1 These statistics are up to 11th September 2022, shown on a
constant currency basis and relate to all customers whether risk or
non-risk
^2 In view of the ongoing COVID 19 pandemic and the war in
Ukraine, the assumptions for underlying EBIT are subject to
considerable uncertainty. The greatest area of uncertainty will be
the impact on consumer confidence, should travel restrictions be
reintroduced, should there be further cost inflation volatility
and/or an escalation of the war in Ukraine
^3 FY19A underlying EBIT of EUR893m excluding EUR293m Boeing MAX
cost impact
^4 Global Realignment Programme
^5 Defined as gross debt (Financial liabilities incl. lease
liabilities & net pension obligations) divided by underlying
EBITDA/R
Chief Executive Officer of TUI Group, Fritz Joussen, and CFO,
Sebastian Ebel, commented:
"In 2022, we see a strong travel summer almost at the same level
as summer 2019. We confirm our guidance and will successfully close
the 2022 financial year with a significantly positive underlying
EBIT. In the UK, bookings continue to be well above pre-crisis
levels at +4% and bookings in Germany and the Netherlands have also
been above pre-crisis levels in recent weeks. The trend has been
towards higher value or longer holidays with a higher overall
holiday budget. This is encouraging and shows the current
importance of holidays and travel experiences in the post-Corona
era. Our strong brand, exclusive product portfolio with proprietary
holiday experiences at hotels, clubs and cruise ships, and strong
presence in destinations are competitive advantages that will
continue to pay off and that we are building on. Through the
efficiency programmes successfully implemented during the pandemic,
we have also significantly and sustainably reduced our cost
structure. We are leaner, more digital and more efficient. This
gives us the freedom to invest in the customer and the holiday
experience: Quality, service and sustainability are our focus."
Current Trading
Overall Summer 2022 programme1 now totals 12.9m bookings, an
increase of 1.4m since our August update, with bookings currently
at 91% of Summer 2019 levels. Overall ASP continues to hold up
strongly at +18% versus Summer 2019, reflecting a higher mix of
package products and the popularity of our summer holidays which
will help to soften the impact from the current higher inflationary
environment. Over 5.3m customers departed for their TUI holiday
during the main Summer months of July and August, doubling the 2.6m
customers who travelled in July and August last year and closed at
94% of Summer 19 levels. The UK continues to remain our most
advanced market in terms of bookings, with cumulative volumes
remaining ahead of Summer 2019 at +4%. In particular, we see strong
booking momentum in Germany and Netherlands since the Q3 update,
with bookings up +13% and +16% respectively against Summer 2019
levels. The Canaries, the Balearics, Greece and Turkey continue to
be popular Summer destinations for customers. We are pleased to see
flight disruption, predominately experienced in the UK throughout
May & June, improve through Q4, although still at elevated
levels.
Winter 2022/23 bookings1 are at an early stage and our current
assumption is for a Winter programme close to normalised
pre-pandemic levels with the option to flexibly adjust capacity in
line with customer demand. We will leverage our flexible and
integrated business model to ensure we provide our customers not
only with the best winter holiday experience but also the assurance
that TUI remains the best choice for holiday travel. At this early
stage 26% of the programme has been sold, with bookings at 78% and
the near departure months of November and December at 81% of Winter
2018/19 levels. Winter ASPs to date are higher at 26%. As usual,
the UK, with 36% of the programme sold, is the most advanced booked
at +9% and ASP up +22% versus Winter 2018/19. The Canaries, Mexico,
Egypt and Cape Verde are likely to form a key part of our holiday
offer this upcoming winter. Q1 bookings, which represent a mix of
late Summer and early Winter, are 54% sold compared to around 60%
in a normalised year. As in Summer, we continue to see a trend
towards a higher share of short-term bookings for Winter and strong
pricing, confirming solid customer demand for holiday travel.
In Hotels & Resorts, as of the end of August, 350 hotels
were in operation across key destinations such as the Canaries, the
Balearics, Greece and Turkey for both Markets & Airlines and
third-party customers. Hotels & Resorts continues to perform
strongly in Q4, with July and August occupancies broadly in line
and average rates above pre-pandemic levels, highlighting the
strength of our integrated business model and our strong
distribution power. For Winter 2022/23, we expect to see continued
strong demand for year-round destinations such as the Canaries and
the Caribbean with occupancies and average rates developing
strongly, however, with the short-term booking environment to
remain.
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