Moody's Cuts Rio Tinto's Credit Rating
February 24 2016 - 10:10PM
Dow Jones News
SYDNEY—Two weeks ago, Rio Tinto PLC Chief Executive Sam Walsh
outlined plans for the Anglo-Australian miner to cut capital
returns and costs to "defend our position of strength," but that
wasn't enough to safeguard its credit rating.
Moody's Investors Service lowered Rio Tinto's senior unsecured
ratings to Baa1 from A3, in line with recent ratings downgrades for
rival miners, which have been knocked down a notch or more amid a
deepening downturn in global commodity markets.
Rio Tinto has been an outlier in the mining sector in recent
times, investing in new projects and outperforming its rivals in
the stock market. Mr. Walsh said Rio Tinto had "worked miracles" to
cut business costs by more than US$6 billion in recent years.
But Moody's said it needed to adjust its credit rating—which can
affect company borrowing costs—to reflect the deteriorating outlook
for Rio Tinto's markets, particularly iron ore, which the miner
relies on for the bulk of its earnings. It is the world's largest
exporter of iron ore, recently overtaking rival Vale SA, but the
commodity is trading near a decade low on a global oversupply.
"There has been a fundamental downward shift in the mining
sector with the downturn being deeper and prospects for a recovery
extended," the ratings company said. This means "increased credit
risk and weaker metrics for Rio Tinto as well as the global mining
sector," it said.
Rio Tinto declined to comment. Its shares were down 2.1% in
Sydney on Thursday.
The company joins fellow major global mining companies BHP
Billiton Ltd., Glencore PLC, Vale and Anglo American PLC in having
its debt downgraded in the face of a prolonged commodities
downturn.
Moody's said it could downgrade Rio Tinto's rating again if its
debt-to-earnings ratio doesn't improve. It said the miner's
management could find it difficult to control debt this year and
doesn't expect an improvement in credit metrics until 2017.
Earlier this month, Rio's Mr. Walsh said "2016 is shaping up to
be even tougher" than last year.
In 2015, Rio Tinto swung to an annual net loss of US$866 million
from a US$6.53 billion profit in the preceding year.
Rio Tinto said net debt increased 10% to US$13.78 billion and
that its gearing widened to 24% from 19%. The miner abandoned its
policy of promising stable or rising annual payouts to shareholders
and said it would spend less than anticipated on projects this year
and next.
In January, it had told workers there would be a global freeze
on wages.
Moody's said it has factored in Rio Tinto's moves to rein in
capital expenditure and dividend expenses, but fears slowing
economic growth in China will weigh on prices for metals, coal and
iron ore.
China, which demanded massive quantities of natural resources as
its economy expanded at breakneck speed, posted its weakest
economic growth in a quarter century last year. At the same time,
new mines planned when prices were booming have led to sharp
increases in global commodity stockpiles.
"Supply imbalances, particularly in iron ore, the major earnings
and cash flow driver for Rio Tinto, will maintain pressure on
prices for several years," Moody's said.
Rio Tinto has spent billions of dollars expanding its mines but,
because of weak iron ore prices, could earn less from that business
this year than it did in 2006, Citi said.
Earlier this month, Standard & Poor's Ratings Services cut
Anglo-Australian rival BHP Billiton's rating, as analysts raised
concerns about mining companies' generous dividend policies and
ability to generate cash.
Standard & Poor's also downgraded Glencore's
investment-grade credit rating to just one notch above junk status,
and cut Anglo American to junk.
Rio Tinto's shares are down roughly 40% over the past year,
versus a 55% fall in BHP's and Vale's stock, a 60% decline in
Glencore and nearly 70% slump for Anglo American.
Write to Rhiannon Hoyle at rhiannon.hoyle@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
February 24, 2016 21:55 ET (02:55 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2016 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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