By Chris Matthews and William Watts, MarketWatch
U.S. consumer prices edge up in June, but inflation still
muted
U.S. stocks advanced at the start of trade Thursday, attempting
to build on gains that saw the Nasdaq Composite index end in record
territory after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reinforced
expectations for an interest rate cut later this month.
Powell, who testified Wednesday before the House Financial
Services Committee, will appear before the Senate Banking Committee
on Thursday.
What are major benchmarks doing?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 74 points, or 0.2%, to
26,927, while the S&P 500 index was 5 points higher at 2,998, a
gain of 0.2%. The Nasdaq Composite index rose 11 points, or 0.1%,
to 8,214.
On Wednesday
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-futures-point-slightly-lower-ahead-of-testimony-by-feds-powell-2019-07-10),
the Nasdaq gained 60.80 points, or 0.8%, closing out the session at
a record 8,202.53. The Dow added 76.71 points, or 0.3%, to finish
at 26,860.20, while the S&P closed 13.44 points higher, up
0.5%, at 2,993.07.
The S&P 500 opened above its July 3 closing high of
2,995.82. The Dow remains within striking distance of its July 3
record of 26,966.
Read:S&P 500 index tops 3,000 for first time -- here's how
the stock market got here and what it means
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/sp-500-index-tops-3000-for-first-time-heres-what-it-means-and-how-the-stock-market-got-here-2019-07-10)
What's driving the market?
Investors cheered remarks Wednesday by Powell, who told House
lawmakers that uncertainty around trade policy tensions and the
global economic outlook
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-says-uncertainties-continue-to-weigh-on-us-economic-outlook-and-fed-stands-ready-to-act-2019-07-10),
has continued since the Fed's June policy meeting, while citing
persistently low inflation as a key reason to consider easing
policy. Powell's testimony was seen affirming expectations the
central bank will move to cut interest rates when policy makers
meet at the end of the month.
"Markets were in buoyant mood on Thursday as Fed Chairman Jerome
Powell gave his strongest indication yet that the Federal Reserve
will slash interest rates at the July 30-31 meeting," said Raffi
Boyadjian, senior investment analyst at XM, in a note.
Rex Nutting:Trump and the stock market are spooking Powell into
making this rookie mistake
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-and-the-stock-market-are-spooking-powell-into-making-this-rookie-mistake-2019-07-10)
Powell's remarks were followed by minutes of the Fed's June
policy meeting which showed that "many" officials had expressed
support for a future interest-rate cut if concerns about the
economic outlook continued.
An important reading of consumer price inflation
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-inflation-edges-up-01-in-june-cpi-shows-but-price-pressures-still-muted-2019-07-11)
rose
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/consumer-inflation-edges-up-01-in-june-cpi-shows-but-price-pressures-still-muted-2019-07-11)
0.1% in May, versus a 0.2% rise expected by economists polled by
MarketWatch, with core CPI, which strips out volatile food and
energy prices, rising 0.3%, above the consensus expectations of
0.2%, and the fastest monthly gain since January of 2018.
Year-over-year, CPI inflation fell to 1.6%, from 1.8% in April,
with core CPI rising to 2.1% in May, up from 2.0% in April. Though
not the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, the CPI
data should factor into how aggressive the Fed will be in cutting
interest rates in the coming months.
"It's a little higher than we thought but it seems like it's
going to take a lot more than a monthly data point to push Powell
away from his dovish stance," wrote Mike Loewengart, vice president
of investment strategy at E-Trade, in an email. "The Fed has pretty
much made it clear that the negatives of a cooling economy and
ongoing trade tensions outweigh the positives of a Goldilocks
inflation number and last week's solid jobs read."
Read:Fed minutes of June meeting bolster sense of imminent
interest-rate cut
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/minutes-of-feds-june-meeting-bolster-sense-of-imminent-interest-rate-cut-2019-07-10)
Investors will also continue to pay close attention to the
developments on the international trade front, with the Washington
Post reporting
(https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/trump-team-fears-new-face-on-china-trade-team-signals-tougher-stance/2019/07/10/5b6c24d2-a349-11e9-b732-41a79c2551bf_story.html?utm_term=.23a1dcb423e2)
that the Trump administration is growing concerned about prospects
for a trade deal with China.
Meanwhile, the Trump administration is launching an
investigation into France's proposed tax
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/trump-trade-representative-to-investigate-french-tech-tax-targeting-google-amazon-and-facebook-2019-07-11)
on internet giants like Google parent Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
(GOOGL), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) and Facebook Inc. (FB). U.S. Trade
Representative Robert Lighthizer's agency will investigate the tax
under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974, the same provision it
used last year to investigate China's technology policies, leading
to tariffs on $250 billion worth of Chinese imports, the Associated
Press reported.
Powell will have the opportunity to fine-tune his message when
he appears before the Senate panel at 10 a.m. Eastern Time.
Separately, Fed Vice Chairman Randal Quarles is set to take part in
a conversation at the Bipartisan Policy Center at 1:30 p.m.
Eastern, while New York Fed President John Williams is due to speak
at the University of Albany at the same time.
New applications for jobless benefits for the week ended July 6
fell to 209,000
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-jobless-claims-drop-to-3-month-low-of-209000-around-july-4-holiday-2019-07-11),
versus 221,000 the week prior.
Which stocks are in focus?
Cigna (CI) and CVSHealth (CVS) were up following news the Trump
adminisration is dropping a plan to curb rebates that drug
manufacturers pay to pharmacy-benefit managers such as Cigna's
Express Scripts
(http://www.marketwatch.com/articles/cigna-cvs-health-soar-as-dow-jones-industrial-average-rises-51562850268).
Shares of Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL) rose 0.2%, after the air
carrier reported
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/delta-boosts-profit-outlook-dividend-2019-07-11)
that second-quarter revenue rose 8.7% in the second-quarter from a
year ago, while revenue per mile per seat rose by 3.8%. and
earnings growth beat analysts projections.
Unlike its competitors, Delta does not own any of Boeing 737 MAX
jets which have been grounded for four months by the FAA. American,
Southwest and United have lost a combined 72 jets from their
fleets. While their shares have lagged behind the rest of the
market, Delta's have kept pace with it.
Bed Bath and Beyond Inc. (BBBY) reported large losses
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bed-bath-beyond-earnings-slammed-by-another-large-impairment-charge-2019-07-10)
due to impairment charges for a second consecutive quarter
Wednesday evening, though it beat analyst estimates for earnings
when adjusting for those costs. Shares in the home goods retailer
fell 6.3% early Thursday
Shares of Weight Watchers International Inc. (WW) rose 5.3%
before the bell Thursday, after J.P. Morgan analyst Christina
Brathwaite said she was no longer bearish
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/weight-watchers-stock-jumps-after-jp-morgan-backs-off-from-bearish-stance-2019-07-11)
on the weight management and wellness company, citing her belief
that subscriber trends have stabilized.
How are other markets trading?
The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note rose nearly 2 basis points 2.081%.
In Asia, stocks closed mostly higher
(http://www.marketwatch.com/story/asian-shares-rise-after-fed-signals-us-rate-cut-likely-2019-07-11),
with the Nikkei 225 adding 0.5%, while the Shanghai Composite index
rose 0.1% and Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 0.8%. European stocks
were also trading higher, with the Stoxx Europe 600 up 0.2%.
In commodities markets, the price of crude oil rose 0.2% and the
price of gold added 0.4%. The U.S. dollar fell 0.1% versus its
major rivals.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 11, 2019 09:41 ET (13:41 GMT)
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