TC PipeLines Misses Mark - Analyst Blog
October 28 2011 - 12:21PM
Zacks
Pipeline operator TC PipeLines L.P. (TCLP)
announced weak third-quarter 2011 results, reflecting lower equity
income from Great Lakes and Northern Border pipeline systems, as
well as higher financing charges. These were partially offset by
contributions from the recently acquired 25% interests in two other
major U.S. gas pipelines – Gas Transmission Northwest LLC and Bison
Pipeline LLC – bought from parent TransCanada
Corp. (TRP) in May.
The Calgary, Alberta-based master limited partnership (“MLP”) –
with stakes in 5,560 miles of federally regulated U.S. interstate
natural gas pipelines that cater to domestic and Eastern Canadian
markets – reported earnings per unit (EPU) of 75 cents, below the
Zacks Consensus Estimate of 81 cents and the year-ago profit of 82
cents.
Distribution & Cash flows
Prior to the earnings release, TC PipeLines announced its third
quarter 2011 cash distribution of 77 cents per unit ($3.08 per unit
annualized), representing a 2.7% increase over the year-earlier
quarter and equal to the second quarter 2011 distribution.
The cash distribution is the 50th consecutive quarterly
distribution paid by it. TC PipeLines’ new distribution is payable
on November 14 to unitholders of record as on October 31, 2011.
Total partnership cash flows during the quarter was down 5.1%
from the year-earlier level to $43.1 million, mainly due to higher
costs, somewhat negated by the increase in cash distributions from
Northern Border and the Great Lakes.
TC PipeLines paid distributions of $42.0 million during the
quarter, up 22.1% from the year-earlier level, driven by an
increase in the number of common units outstanding and a rise in
the quarterly distribution starting in the fourth quarter of
2010.
Pipeline Systems Performance
Great Lakes: The partnership’s equity income
from the Great Lakes decreased slightly (by 2.1%) year-over-year to
$14.3 million in the quarter, reflecting ongoing uncertainty
regarding future tolls for the upstream portion of the pipeline
system.
Northern Border Pipeline: Equity income from
Northern Border Pipeline (“NBPL”) was down 6.7% year over year from
$21.0 million to $19.6 million, primarily due to lower rates for
transportation services.
Other Pipes (Tuscarora & North Baja): Net
income from Other Pipes that include results from Tuscarora and
North Baja was up 9.7% year over year to $10.2 million, driven by
lower financial charges.
Liquidity
As of September 30, 2011, TC PipeLines had $67.0 million
outstanding on the $500.0 million revolver portion of its senior
credit facility and $300.0 million outstanding under the term loan
portion of the senior credit facility. In July, the partnership
amended and increased its revolving credit facility from $250.0
million to $500.0 million, while extending the tenure to July
2016.
Our Recommendation
TC PipeLines units currently retain a Zacks #3 Rank, which
translates into a short-term Hold rating. We are also maintaining
our long-term Neutral recommendation on the stock.
TC PIPELINES (TCLP): Free Stock Analysis Report
TRANSCDA CORP (TRP): Free Stock Analysis Report
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