Bitcoin To Bottom Around $70,000? Arthur Hayes Says Correction ‘Very Normal’ In A Bull Market
March 12 2025 - 2:30AM
NEWSBTC
According to crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes, Bitcoin (BTC) is
likely to bottom around $70,000, marking a 36% correction from its
latest all-time high (ATH) of $108,786. Hayes stated that such
corrections are “very normal” in a bull market. Bitcoin To Dip
Further? Yesterday, Bitcoin hit a four-month low of $76,606 as both
the global cryptocurrency and stock markets tumbled amid rising
fears of an economic recession. For context, the S&P 500 (SPX)
has dropped nearly 8% over the past month. Related Reading: Bitcoin
Slips Under 200-Day Moving Average – Will The Downtrend Continue?
Latest data from predictions market platform Polymarket assigns a
39% chance of a US recession in 2025. On February 28, the platform
gave a 23% probability of a US recession this year. Despite these
economic concerns, Hayes advises crypto investors to remain
patient. In an X post published yesterday, the former BitMEX CEO
stated that BTC will likely find a bottom around $70,000,
completing a routine 36% correction from its ATH in January. Hayes
further noted that once BTC hits $70,000, traditional financial
markets – including the S&P 500 (SPX) and Nasdaq (NDX) – would
need to experience a sharp decline, accompanied by failures in
major financial institutions. This, in turn, would prompt
central banks like the US Federal Reserve (Fed), the European
Central Bank (ECB), and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to initiate
quantitative easing (QE), creating an optimal buying opportunity.
He added: Then you load up the truck. Traders will try to buy the
dip, if you are more risk averse wait for the central banks to ease
then deploy more capital. You might not catch the bottom but you
also won’t have to mentally suffer through a long period of
sideways and potential unrealised losses. Historical data suggests
that QE has been highly beneficial for BTC’s price. During the last
QE period, from March 2020 to November 2021 – amid the COVID
pandemic – BTC surged from $6,000 to as high as $69,000, marking an
astonishing 1,050% gain. Similarly, crypto analyst Michael van de
Poppe shared the following chart, noting that BTC likely completed
a double-bottom re-test and experienced a strong bounce after
yesterday’s potential low. He further suggested that if BTC breaks
past $83,500, it could see an even stronger move to the upside.
Data Points Toward BTC Trend Reversal While Hayes predicts that BTC
has yet to bottom, several indicators suggest the flagship
cryptocurrency may soon witness a trend reversal. For instance,
BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at its lowest
level since August 2024, signaling that a potential recovery may be
imminent. Related Reading: Bitcoin Fills CME Gap Between $78,000
and $80,000 – Is A Reversal Around The Corner? Additionally, the US
dollar index (DXY) recently experienced one of its largest weekly
declines since 2013, raising hopes for a rally in risk-on assets
like Bitcoin. At press time, BTC is trading at $80,008, up 0.1% in
the past 24 hours. Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and
TradingView.com
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