CORRECT:Concerns Over McKesson Rite Aid Exposure Being Lifted
June 24 2009 - 4:19PM
Dow Jones News
Investor concerns about the risks to drug distributor McKesson
Corp. (MCK) from struggling customer Rite Aid Corp. (RAD) appear to
have dissipated, helped by the retail pharmacy chain's recent debt
refinancing.
Wall Street had been concerned earlier this year that McKesson
faced risk from debt-laden drug store operator Rite Aid, its
second-largest customer and previously the subject of bankruptcy
speculation. Moody's Investors Service in March named Rite Aid a
"bottom rung" company likely to default on its debt.
Easing credit markets, however, are working in Rite Aid's favor,
with the retailer recently refinancing about $1.9 billion of debt,
including a major portion of its September 2010 maturities. That
gives Rite Aid more time to improve operations, as its next major
debt maturities are more than five years away.
Rite Aid shares, changing hands at $1.25 on Wednesday after the
company posted its eight straight quarterly loss amid higher
same-store sales, are trading at more than six times their all-time
low of 20 cents on Feb. 23.
McKesson shares, at $43.58, are up nearly 16% since May 1,
trading roughly in the middle of their 52-week range. The Standard
& Poor's 500 index is up only 3.4% since May 1.
While McKesson and its peers are not free from industry and
economic pressures, including some margin erosion in customer
pricing, the company's Rite Aid exposure no longer appears to be a
big worry for investors.
"It's a different place since Moody's put Rite Aid on its
bottom-rung list of companies at risk for default on their debts,"
Wall Street Strategies analyst Brian Sozzi said.
The recent rally in Rite Aid shares reflects a reduced concern
in the market about funding, and "by extension, the pressure on
McKesson shares have eased. The debt refinancing is in fact a
positive for McKesson in that Rite Aid slipping into default is
temporarily removed from the equation," he said.
"Now, I do think McKesson will have to work with the company
very closely on contract pricing, which may correlate to lower
margins on the deal structure. This would be consistent with what
we have seen across the drug distributor sector during the
recession ... which is greater price concessions," Sozzi said.
"But McKesson is a trusted partner of Rite Aid, and its ability
to stick with the company through such a difficult time suggests to
me a contract worth north of 10% of total revenue is not in danger
of disappearing, especially in light of the debt financing," he
said.
While the default risk has abated, McKesson could see some
weakening in its Rite Aid account as the chain closes stores in its
effort to find firmer footing. Rite Aid closed 86 stores and opened
10 in its fiscal first quarter, and has plans to close more stores
this year.
Sanford Bernstein analyst Helene Wolk, who covers McKesson and
not Rite Aid, agreed that the debt refinancing removes a near-term
risk. Longer term, possible operating difficulties or market share
erosion for Rite Aid pose modest, manageable risk for McKesson,
"and I believe this issue is well appreciated by investors," she
said.
Robert W. Baird analyst Eric Coldwell, who had considered
earlier market concern over a possible Rite Aid bankruptcy to be
overdone, said this week that he sees no remaining Rite Aid
overhang for McKesson.
Meanwhile, McKesson and competitor Cardinal Health Inc. (CAH)
are expected to make price concessions as they work to renew
contracts this year with their mutual largest customer, drug store
chain and pharmacy benefits manager CVS Caremark Corp. (CVS). A
Cardinal executive this month said his company was at "very late
stages" of negotiations with CVS Caremark.
-By Dinah Wisenberg Brin, Dow Jones Newswires, 215-656-8285;
dinah.brin@dowjones.com