Wheat Drops Amid Rain Forecasts for Major Growing Areas
October 22 2020 - 4:15PM
Dow Jones News
By Kirk Maltais
-- Wheat for December delivery fell 1.1% to $6.22 3/4 a bushel
on the Chicago Board of Trade Thursday in response to new forecasts
for rainfall in Russian and U.S. wheat-growing areas over the
weekend.
-- Soybeans for November delivery rose 0.2% to $10.73 3/4 a
bushel.
-- Corn for December delivery rose 0.6% to $4.16 1/4 a
bushel.
HIGHLIGHTS
Ready for Rain: Wheat futures dropped Thursday on wet weather
forecasts.
"U.S. wheat areas as well as Russian areas are expected to get
some rain, so sales or purchases of downside protection makes
sense," said Doug Bergman of RCM Alternatives.
Scattered showers are expected in Eastern Europe on Friday and
Saturday, and heavier rainfall is expected in the U.S. Plains next
week, according to agricultural weather firm DTN.
New Heights: Corn and soybean futures both charged to fresh
rally highs Thursday.
"An early break uncovered fresh fund buying as speculative longs
continue to pile into new length," said AgResource.
Corn futures hit a high of $4.19 per bushel intraday, the
highest they have traded since late July 2019.
Soybeans hit an intraday high of over $10.85 per bushel, their
highest level since July 2016. However, both corn and soybeans gave
back some of their gains upon Thursday's close.
INSIGHTS
'Immediate Upside': Goldman Sachs analysts think the commodity
sector has "immediate upside" due to the strong Chinese demand and
weather driven risks, "but they see that momentum fizzling in
2021," says Arlan Suderman of StoneX. With demand likely to slow
down for commodities, energy and metals are seen as more likely
areas of growth, according to the Goldman report.
Expectations Exceeded: Export sales of U.S. corn totaling 1.83
million metric tons exceeded the expectations of grains traders
surveyed by The Wall Street Journal this week. The total is up 21%
from corn's four-week average, led by sales to Japan, China and
Mexico.
Meanwhile, soybean sales totaled 2.23 million tons and wheat
totaled 367,500 tons. For soybeans, this week's figure is on the
high end of trader estimates, while wheat fell on the low end of
expectations.
Keep On Rollin': U.S. grain shipments are up this week,
according to data from the USDA. In its latest weekly grains
transportation report, the USDA says that U.S. Class I railroads
originated 27,434 grain carloads during the week ending Oct. 10, up
3% from last week and 31% more than last year. U.S. river barges
moved 1.12 million metric tons of grains, which is up 48% than the
previous week and 260% more than last year.
The movement of grain in the U.S. suggests a higher demand for
grains among U.S. consumers.
AHEAD:
-- The USDA is scheduled to release its monthly cattle on feed
report at 3 p.m. EDT Friday.
-- The CFTC is due to release its weekly commitments of traders
report at 3:30 p.m. EDT Friday.
-- The USDA is scheduled to release its weekly grain export
inspections data at 11 a.m. EDT Monday.
-- The USDA is due to release its weekly crop progress report
for the 2020-21 crop at 4 p.m. EDT Monday.
-- Beyond Meat Inc. is scheduled to release its third- quarter
earnings after the stock market closes Monday.
Write to Kirk Maltais at kirk.maltais@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 22, 2020 16:00 ET (20:00 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2020 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.