Bank of Canada Chief Says Significant Stimulus Needed to Rebuild Economy
May 25 2020 - 3:49PM
Dow Jones News
By Paul Vieira
OTTAWA -- The Bank of Canada anticipates providing the economy
with sizable stimulus for the foreseeable future to help the
country rebuild from the damage caused by the pandemic, Governor
Stephen Poloz said Monday.
He said he believes Canada's economy is in a position to "shake
off" the worst from the virus, as it was in a healthy position
before the pandemic. To contain the spread of the new coronavirus,
authorities here and elsewhere imposed restrictions on economic
activity. The ranks of the unemployed have swelled, and data this
week are expected to show Canada's gross domestic product shrank by
an estimated 10% in the first three months of the year.
"Obviously, the economy will need significant monetary stimulus
in the rebuilding stage," said Mr. Poloz, according to prepared
remarks he was scheduled to deliver via videoconferencing to an
event in Edmonton, Alberta. In response, Canada's central bank cut
its benchmark interest rate to near zero from 1.75%, and has
engaged in large-scale asset purchases, or quantitative easing, to
ensure financial markets operate smoothly. To date, the approach
appears to have worked, he said.
The size of the central bank's balance sheet has ballooned since
mid-March, to over 400 billion Canadian dollars ($285 billion) from
roughly C$120 billion.
Mr. Poloz said the policy responses meant to avoid a
virus-fueled depression will lead to higher levels of debt,
especially in the government sector. "Getting the economy back onto
its growth track -- which is what is required if we are to hit our
inflation target -- is the surest means of servicing those debts
over time," he said.
It is unclear how long the Bank of Canada will need to offer
accommodative policy, he said, given the uncertainty surrounding
the virus -- including the possibility of a second wave of Covid-19
cases. Mr. Poloz, whose term as governor ends June 2, said he
reckons policy makers will rely heavily on assumptions to guide
their decisions.
In remarks last week to journalists, Mr. Poloz said he believed
the economy is on track for the central bank's best-case scenario
for a recovery, although it may take a year or longer for growth to
return to the trend it was on before the coronavirus pandemic
began. He reiterated this Monday. "We are going to be on the top
end of the range of outcomes that people are talking about," he
said in a response to a question.
The central bank's main task is to set interest rates at a level
to achieve and maintain 2% inflation. Data for April indicate
Canada was the first major economy to be hit with deflation, as
consumer prices retreated 0.2% year-over-year.
Write to Paul Vieira at
paul.vieira@wsj.com<mailto:paul.vieira@wsj.com>
Write to Paul Vieira at paul.vieira@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 25, 2020 15:34 ET (19:34 GMT)
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