PNC Leads Strong First Quarter Results From Regional Banks
April 22 2010 - 2:53PM
Dow Jones News
Wall Street's impressive recovery has spread even to weak Main
Street regional banks.
Ohio-based Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), until recently swamped by
loan losses, on Thursday joined stronger rivals PNC Financial
Services Group Inc. (PNC) and BB&T Corp. (BBT) in posting the
latest round of strong regional bank earnings. The reports from all
three banks include still further evidence that borrowers of all
types--whether consumers or companies--are increasingly able to
re-pay their debts, helped in large part by an improving
economy.
Wall Street banks like Bank of America Corp. (BAC) and J.P.
Morgan Chase & Co. (JPM) suffered their worst losses at the
outset of the financial crisis, which began in earnest two years
ago. They held billions in mortgages and mark-to-market
investments, which were among the first assets to show damage from
the credit crisis.
Regional banks, by contrast, typically specialize in loans to
companies, which often show signs of losses on a much more delayed
basis than consumer loans and securities. Observers had worried
that regional lenders would face years of losses related to those
loans, but growing evidence suggests an improving economy will
cushion those losses.
Fifth Third posted a first quarter net loss of $10 million,
after earning $50 million a year ago, but the condition of its loan
portfolios improved sharply. During the credit boom, Fifth Third
issued billions in now-failing loans tied to commercial real
estate, but the bank's recovering from those bad bets faster than
many investors expected.
PNC and BB&T, by contrast, have used their healthier balance
sheets to purchase big troubled rivals during the crisis. Easing
loan problems helped their profits, too, and both banks are
beginning to show the growth opportunities that resulted from their
buying weaker competitors. PNC earned $671 million, up 26.6% over
last year's first quarter. BB&T earned $194 million, down 39%
over last year, with most of the decline tied to lower securities
gains.
Fifth Third's shares were recently down 2.6% to $14.75, in part
from investors taking profits. In the past 12 months, its shares
have roughly tripled. Stock in PNC was recently up 4.2% to $68.05,
while BB&T's stock was down 3.8% to $33.80.
Fifth Third's results follow Wednesday's reports from fellow
struggling regional lenders KeyCorp (KEY), SunTrust Banks Inc.
(STI) and Huntington Bancshares Inc. (HBAN), which all impressed
investors by showing their troubles with bad loans are easing.
The ongoing rally in regional bank stocks could soon prove a
conundrum for investors as they try and estimate how much further
the once-distressed shares could rise. Huntington's stock has
nearly doubled so far this year, while KeyCorp's shares are up more
than 60% and Fifth Third's are up 50%. All three lenders are based
in Ohio, which was hit hard by the post-crisis recession.
"The sector has been on fire all year," said Jeff Davis,
managing director at Guggenheim Partners. "We're due for some
profit-taking."
In fact, analysts have been downgrading some regional bank
shares because they see few reasons to justify further rallies.
Gerard Cassidy, analyst at RBC Capital Markets, wrote to clients
about KeyCorp's shares: "We believe the stock now fully reflects
the recent improvement in credit as well as the expected recovery."
He assigns a $9 price target to Key's stock. "There is limited
upside to the stock price at the current valuation."
KeyCorp's shares were recently up 1.5% to $9.07. Huntington was
recently up 5.5% to $6.95 and SunTrust stock was recently down 2.4%
to $29.02.
-By Marshall Eckblad, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2156;
marshall.eckblad@dowjones.com
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