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 TUI AG (TUI) 
TUI AG: Annual Financial Report - Part 1 
 
13-Dec-2018 / 08:00 CET/CEST 
Dissemination of a Regulatory Announcement, transmitted by EQS Group. 
The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. 
 
            13 December 2018 
 
      TUI GROUP 
 
      Full year results to 30 September 2018 
 
HIGHLIGHTS 
 
  ? Fourth consecutive year of double-digit earnings growth post-merger, 
  with 10.9% increase in underlying EBITA1 and continued strong ROIC 
  performance. 
 
  ? TUI's sustained strong performance in a challenging market environment 
  demonstrates its successful transformation as an integrated provider of 
  holiday experiences, with strong strategic positioning and double 
  diversification across destinations and markets. 
 
  ? Looking ahead, we continue to expect to deliver superior annual earnings 
  growth with improved seasonality, strong cash conversion and strong ROIC 
  performance. This will be driven by the benefits of our digitalisation 
  efforts, efficiency measures and differentiation strategy through the 
  disciplined expansion of own hotel and cruise offering, plus destination 
  experience content. 
 
  ? Based on our growth strategy, we reiterate our guidance of at least 10% 
  CAGR in underlying EBITA for the three years to FY201,2. In the nearer 
  term, we expect to deliver at least 10% underlying EBITA growth in 
  FY191,3, with growth from investments, digitalisation and efficiency, as 
  well as our double-diversified business model, helping to mitigate market 
  challenges. 
 
            KEY FINANCIALS 
 
Year ended 
30 
September 
EURm             2018      2017                 Change  Constant 
                                                        currency 
                                                         change1 
Turnover       19,524    18,535                  +5.3%     +6.3% 
Underlying      1,147     1,102                  +4.1%    +10.9% 
EBITA4 
Reported        1,060     1,027                  +3.3%    +10.4% 
EBITA5 
Underlying       1.17      1.14                  +2.6%    +10.5% 
earnings 
per share6 
Earnings          972     1,080                 -10.0%     -3.7% 
before tax7 
Group             732       645                 +13.6%    +22.7% 
profit 
attributabl 
e to 
shareholder 
s of TUI AG 
Leverage    2.7 times 2.5 times             -0.2 times       n/a 
ratio8 
Return on       23.0%     23.6%           -0.6% points       n/a 
invested 
capital 
(ROIC)9 
Dividend      EUR0.72   EUR0.65                 +10.9%       n/a 
per share 
 
            1 Based on constant currency growth 
 
            2 Three year CAGR from FY17 base to FY20 
 
  3 The FY18 base for underlying EBITA guidance is EUR1,187m, which excludes 
 EUR40m adverse impact from the revaluation of Euro loan balances in Turkish 
            hotel entities. 
 
        4 Underlying EBITA has been adjusted for gains/losses on disposal of 
 investments, restructuring costs according to IAS 37, ancillary acquisition 
costs, conditional purchase price payments under purchase price allocations, 
      amortisation of intangibles from purchase price allocations, and other 
            expenses and income from one-off items 
 
  5 Reported EBITA comprises earnings before net interest result, income tax 
 and impairment of goodwill and excluding the result from the measurement of 
            interest hedges 
 
  6 For calculation of underlying earnings per share please refer to page 39 
            of the Annual Report 
 
     7 For reconciliation of earnings before tax to underlying EBITA, please 
            refer to page 65 of the Annual Report 
 
    8 Leverage ratio is calculated as the ratio of gross debt (including net 
   pension liabilities and discounted value of operating leases) to reported 
            EBITDAR 
 
9 ROIC (return on invested capital) is calculated as the ratio of underlying 
 EBITA to the average for invested interest bearing capital for the Group or 
            relevant segment 
 
            Annual Report and Investor & Analyst Presentation and Webcast 
 
     A full copy of our Annual Report can be found on our corporate website: 
 http://www.tuigroup.com/en-en/investors [1]. A presentation and webcast for 
  investors and analysts will take place today at 09:30 GMT / 10:30 CET. The 
  presentation will be made available via our website beforehand. Details of 
     the webcast, which will be available for replay, will also be available 
            there. 
 
FY18 RESULTS 
 
? We have delivered a fourth consecutive year of strong earnings growth, 
with underlying EBITA increasing to EUR1,147m, up 10.9% on prior year at 
constant currency rates. This sustained strong performance demonstrates 
TUI's successful transformation as an integrated provider of holiday 
experiences, with strong strategic positioning and double diversification 
across markets and destinations. 
 
                                            In EURm 
Underlying EBITA FY17                               1,102 
Holiday Experiences                                 +176 
Markets & Airlines (formerly Sales & Marketing)      -44 
All other segments                                   -22 
Riu gains on hotel disposals (net of lost earnings)  +43 
Niki bankruptcy                                      -20 
Airline disruption                                   -13 
Underlying EBITA FY18 excluding FX translation      1,222 
Foreign exchange translation10                       -75 
Underlying EBITA FY18                               1,147 
Rebase for Turkish revaluations                      +40 
FY18 rebased for FY19 guidance                      1,187 
 
10 Includes EUR40m adverse non-cash impact from the revaluation of Euro loan 
balances within Turkish hotel entities. The adverse impact was driven by the 
weaker Turkish Lira. The FY18 base for underlying EBITA guidance is 
EUR1,187m, which excludes this impact 
 
? The significant growth in underlying EBITA was driven by a strong 
Holiday Experiences performance, with continued high demand for our 
portfolio of hotels and clubs, cruises and destination experiences. 
Markets & Airlines delivered 4.7% growth in customers, further increases 
in direct and online distribution, and with all markets now successfully 
rebranded as TUI. As previously flagged in our Q3 results and pre-close 
trading statement, the ability of Markets & Airlines to outperform was 
limited by the prolonged hot weather this Summer in Northern Europe and 
significant levels of airline disruption, in what continues to be a 
challenging market environment. 
 
Underlying     FY18 at   FY17   Variance at FY18 at  Variance at 
EBITA in EURm  constant          constant    actual    actual 
               currency          currency    rates      rates 
                rates1             rates 
Hotels &        494.5    356.5    +138.0     425.7      +69.2 
Resorts 
Cruises         324.6    255.6     +69.0     324.0      +68.4 
Destination      46.9    35.1      +11.8      44.7      +9.6 
Experiences 
Holiday         866.0    647.2    +218.8     794.4     +147.2 
Experiences 
Northern        251.1    345.8     -94.7     254.1      -91.7 
Region 
Central Region   89.4    71.5      +17.9      89.1      +17.6 
Western Region  109.3    109.2     +0.1      109.3      +0.1 
Markets &       449.8    526.5     -76.7     452.5      -74.0 
Airlines 
All other       -94.1    -71.6     -22.5     -99.9      -28.3 
segments 
Total TUI      1,221.7  1,102.1   +119.6    1,147.0     +44.9 
Group 
 
? Hotels & Resorts delivered strong earnings growth, with segmental ROIC 
increasing to 14.5% (versus segmental WACC of 7.9%). 
 
? Our portfolio strategy continues to pay off - the increase in earnings 
(excluding net gains on disposals) was driven by a significant 
improvement in earnings in our Turkish and North African hotels, as 
demand increased significantly, as well as strong demand for Greece and 
continued high demand for the Caribbean. Spain remains a key 
destination, with demand normalising as expected in FY18. 
 
? Occupancy rate increased from 79% to 83%, and average rate per bed by 
2%. 
 
? ROIC increased for the fourth successive year to 14.5%, demonstrating 
the attractiveness of our portfolio of hotel and club brands across 
multiple destinations, the benefit of having high levels of our own 
distribution, and our disciplined approach to investment. 
 
? We have opened 44 hotels since merger. Around 60% of these openings 
are lower capital intensity (management contracts and 50% of owned 
hotels due to joint venture structures). We remain on track to open 
around 60 new hotels by the end of FY19. 
 
? For further commentary on Hotels & Resorts, please see page 68 of the 
Annual Report. 
 
? Cruise delivered another year of strong growth, with record ROIC of 
22.8% (versus segmental WACC of 6.2%). 
 
? Growth was driven by new ship launches in Germany and UK, with 
continued high occupancy and average daily rates across the fleets. 
 
? Average daily rates increased across all three fleets, despite the 
increase in capacity, demonstrating the strength of demand for our 
brands. 
 
? Segmental ROIC grew to a record 22.8%, reflecting our equity 
participation in TUI Cruises as well as strong performances by our 
Marella Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises subsidiaries. 
 
? For further commentary on Cruise, please see page 69 of the Annual 
Report. 
 
? Destination Experiences delivered a significant increase in underlying 
EBITA, with a strong ROIC of 26%. 
 
? Performance was driven by higher volumes in Turkey, Greece and North 
Africa, efficiencies in Spain, Portugal and Greece, and the inclusion of 
earnings of Destination Management following completion of the 
acquisition from Hotelbeds in August 2018. 
 
? For further commentary on Destination Experiences, please see page 70 
of the Annual Report. 
 
? Markets & Airlines (formerly Sales & Marketing) delivered further growth 
in customer volumes, as well as growth in earnings in several source 
markets, in a challenging market environment. 
 
? Despite the Summer heatwave and airline disruption, we delivered 
earnings growth in several source markets, as well as an overall 4.7% 
increase in customer volumes. 
 
? Direct and online distribution mix increased to 74% (from 73%) and 48% 
(from 46%) respectively, and the TUI rebrand has now been successfully 
completed in all relevant markets. 
 
? Continued high net promoter score of 50, demonstrating the strength of 
our customer offer and focus on their holiday experience. 
 
? We are focused on delivering further efficiency improvements through 
the harmonisation of our three regional businesses, as well as the 
benefits of digitalisation. Having successfully delivered the TUI 
rebranding, we now have one common Markets & Airlines CEO, and have 
identified further potential for harmonisation in business processes and 
overheads. In addition, we will continue to expand the synergies from 
One Aviation. 
 
? For further commentary on Markets & Airlines please refer to page 70 
of the Annual Report. 
 
? The underlying EBITA result for All Other Segments reflects the impact 
of a planned airline maintenance event at the start of the year, and an 
aircraft towing incident in Q4, both in Corsair. 
 
? Reported EBITA increased significantly, by 10.4% at constant currency 
rates, as a result of the strong underlying performance and disciplined 
management of separately disclosed items (SDIs). For further detail on 
Adjustments, please refer to page 66 of the Annual Report. In order to 
deliver further business harmonisation and efficiency in Markets & 
Airlines, we expect an elevated level of Adjustments in FY19 of 
approximately EUR125m. 
 
? Underlying EPS increased to EUR1.17, or 10.5% growth at constant 
currency rates. This was driven by a strong earnings performance, the 
effect of more efficient financing, and continued low underlying effective 
tax rate of 20%. For the calculation of underlying EPS, please refer to 
page 39 of the Annual Report. 
 
? The year on year reduction in EBT relative to the strong EBITA 
performance reflects the inclusion in prior year EBT of EUR172m gain on 
disposal of shares in Hapag-Lloyd AG, partly offset by lower net financing 
costs. 
 
? We operate within a clearly defined and disciplined capital allocation 
framework. Our strong cash generation allows us to invest, pay dividends 
and strengthen the balance sheet. Since the merger, we have generated 
around EUR2 billion of disposal proceeds, which we have reinvested 
primarily into our higher margin, lower seasonality and better quality 
Holiday Experiences business, with a ROIC hurdle rate for growth 
investments of at least 15% on average. We also invest via ring-fenced 
joint ventures, make use of highly efficient asset finance and other 
finance instruments, as well as more "asset light" hotel management 
contracts, to optimise the cash flow available to shareholders. Finally, 
we have a clear financial policy to ensure balance sheet stability, 
targeting a leverage ratio of 3.0 times to 2.25 times and coverage ratio 
of 5.75 times to 6.75 times. 
 
            DIVID 
 
   We remain committed to delivering attractive returns to our shareholders, 
   with a proposed dividend which has grown in line with underlying EBITA at 
  constant currency rates. The Executive Board and the Supervisory Board are 
   recommending a dividend of 72 cents per share in respect of the financial 
 year 2018. Subject to approval at the Annual General Meeting on 12 February 
      2019, shareholders who held relevant shares at close of business on 12 
  February 2019 will receive the dividend on 15 February 2019 and holders of 
       depositary instruments will receive the dividend on 26 February 2019. 
  Looking forward to FY19, we remain committed to growing dividend per share 
            in line with underlying EBITA1,3. 
 
            FUEL/FOREIGN EXCHANGE 
 
           Our strategy of hedging the majority of our jet fuel and currency 
 requirements for future seasons, as detailed below, remains unchanged. This 
   gives us increased certainty of costs when planning capacity and pricing. 
The following table shows the percentage of our forecast requirement that is 
  currently hedged for Euros, US Dollars and jet fuel for our Markets, which 
            account for over 90% of our Group currency and fuel exposure. 
 
                      Winter 2018/19 Summer 2019 Winter 2019/20 
Euro                       96%           72%          38% 
US Dollars                 90%           76%          42% 
Jet Fuel                   92%           87%          56% 
As at 6 December 2018 
 
            OUTLOOK AND EXPECTED DEVELOPMENT 
 
   In FY18 we delivered the fourth consecutive year of double digit earnings 
    growth since the merger, with a continued strong ROIC performance. TUI's 
            sustained strong performance in a challenging market environment 
     demonstrates its successful transformation as an integrated provider of 
  holiday experiences, with strong strategic positioning and diversification 
         across destinations and markets. Looking ahead, we expect growth to 
  continue, driven by the benefits of our digitalisation efforts, efficiency 
  measures and differentiation strategy through the disciplined expansion of 
            our own hotel, cruise and destination experience content. 
 
    In Hotels & Resorts, our diversified portfolio means we will continue to 
           benefit from growth in demand for Turkey and North Africa, with a 
      normalisation in demand for Spain, including the Canaries. Demand also 
remains strong for our year round destinations such as Mexico, the Caribbean 
  and Cape Verde. We will continue to develop our portfolio of destinations, 
    with a strong pipeline of own hotel openings for FY19 and beyond, and we 
  remain on track to open approximately 60 additional hotels since merger by 
            the end of FY19. 
 
 We will also launch three ships for our cruise brands in FY19. Bookings for 
 the new ships and the existing fleet are progressing well, with a continued 
   strong yield performance. Two ships exited our fleets (Marella Spirit and 
 Hapag-Lloyd Cruises' Hanseatic) in Autumn 2018. Five further new builds are 
  on order for TUI Cruises and Hapag-Lloyd Cruises, for delivery between end 
 of 2019 and FY26, as we continue to build on our leadership position in the 
            German-speaking cruise market. 
 
  We are re-shaping our Destination Experiences business based on the recent 
acquisitions of Destination Management and Musement, from 23 to 49 countries 
  and from an off-line to fully digitalised business. We are also developing 
    our tailored TUI Tours offer. In order to achieve these strategic goals, 
    some additional investment into the digital platform (as operating cost) 
            will be required in FY19. 
 
In Markets & Airlines, we are focussed on delivering business harmonisation, 
  especially in terms of business processes, overheads and aviation, and the 
 benefits of digitalisation. We expect the challenging market environment to 
     continue, and that this will be evident in our Q1/Q2 FY19 results. This 
 reinforces the importance of TUI's transformation away from the traditional 
            tour operator space, to become an integrated provider of holiday 
       experiences, and which helps to mitigate continued market challenges. 
 Currently Winter 2018/19 bookings are down 1% versus prior year and average 
     selling prices are down 2% versus prior year, with 60% of the programme 
     sold, two percentage points behind prior year11. As outlined above, the 
         programme to North Africa and Turkey has been expanded, offset by a 
reduction in the programme to the Canaries. Flight capacity from Nordics has 
been proactively reduced, with the planned closure of three airport bases as 
     we continue to drive efficiency in our airlines, and also following the 
  prolonged hot weather this Summer which has continued to subdue demand. We 
       have also reduced our flight capacity from Germany, as we continue to 
 improve our flight plan efficiency following the bankruptcies of Air Berlin 
 and Niki. Bookings for next Summer 2019 are at a very early stage. Only the 
       UK is more than 20% booked, and at this stage bookings are up 5% with 
            average selling price down 1%. 
 
 11 These statistics are up to 2 December 2018, shown on a constant currency 
            basis and relate to all customers whether risk or non-risk 
 
  With regard to the UK's exit from the EU in 2019, the main concern remains 
   whether our airlines will continue to have access to EU airspace. We will 
   continue to address the importance of there being a special agreement for 
   aviation to protect consumer choice with the relevant UK and EU ministers 
         and officials, and are in regular exchange with relevant regulatory 
authorities. We are currently developing scenarios and mitigating strategies 
 for various outcomes, including a "hard Brexit", depending on the political 
   negotiations, with a focus to alleviate any potential impacts from Brexit 
            for the Group. 
 
Based on our growth strategy, we reiterate our guidance of at least 10% CAGR 
  in underlying EBITA for the three years to FY201,2. In the nearer term, we 
     expect to deliver at least 10% underlying EBITA growth in FY191,3, with 
      growth from investments, digitalisation and efficiency, as well as our 
   double-diversified business model, helping to mitigate market challenges. 
  Further detail on FY19 expected development is set out in the table below. 
 
                         FY19 guidance1              FY18 
Turnover12               Around 3% growth            EUR19,524m 
Underlying EBITA         At least 10% growth         EUR1,187m1 
rebased13                                            3 
Adjustments              EUR125m                    EUR87m 
Net capex &              EUR1.0bn-1.2bn             EUR0.8bn 
investments14 
 
Leverage ratio           3.0 times to 2.25 times     2.7 times 
Dividend per share       Growth in line with         EUR0.72 
                         underlying EBITA rebased13 
 
12 Excluding cost inflation relating to currency movements 
 
13 Rebased to take into account EUR40m impact of revaluation of Euro loan 
balances within Turkish Lira entities in FY18 
 
14 Including PDPs, excluding aircraft assets financed by debt or finance 
leases 
 
            ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING AND Q1 FY19 
 
TUI Group will hold its Annual General Meeting and issue its Q1 FY19 Report 
on 12 February 2019. 
 
ANALYST & INVESTOR ENQUIRIES 
 
     Peter Krueger, Member of the Group Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1440 
 Executive Committee, Group Director of 
   Strategy, M&A and Investor Relations 
 
 Contacts for Analysts and Investors in UK, Ireland and Americas 
Sarah Coomes, Head of Investor          Tel: +44 (0)1293 645 827 
Relations 
Hazel Chung, Senior Investor Relations  Tel: +44 (0)1293 645 823 
Manager 
 
Contacts for Analysts and Investors in Continental Europe, 
Middle East and Asia 
Nicola Gehrt, Head of Investor          Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1435 
Relations 
Ina Klose, Senior Investor Relations    Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1318 
Manager 
Jessica Blinne, Junior Investor         Tel: +49 (0)511 566 1425 
Relations Manager 
 
ISIN:          DE000TUAG000 
Category Code: ACS 
TIDM:          TUI 
LEI Code:      529900SL2WSPV293B552 
Sequence No.:  6873 
EQS News ID:   757475 
 
End of Announcement EQS News Service 
 
 
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