TIDMLRE
RNS Number : 1933O
Lancashire Holdings Limited
03 November 2016
LANCASHIRE HOLDINGS LIMITED
GROWTH IN FULLY CONVERTED BOOK VALUE PER SHARE, ADJUSTED FOR
DIVIDS, OF 3.1% IN Q3 2016 AND 10.5% YEAR TO DATE
COMBINED RATIO OF 73.8% IN Q3 2016, 75.6% YEAR TO DATE
SPECIAL DIVID OF $0.75 PER COMMON SHARE
FULLY CONVERTED BOOK VALUE PER SHARE OF $6.55 AS AT 30 SEPTEMBER
2016
3 November 2016
London, UK
Lancashire Holdings Limited ("Lancashire" or "the Group") today
announces its results for the third quarter of 2016 and the nine
months ended 30 September 2016.
Financial highlights
30 September 30 September
2016 2015
------------
Fully converted book value
per share $6.55 $6.78
Return on equity(1,2) -
Q3 3.1% 2.6%
Return on equity(1,2) -
YTD 10.5% 9.3%
Return on tangible equity
(3) - Q3 3.7% 2.9%
Return on tangible equity
(3) - YTD 12.2% 7.6%
Operating return on average
equity - Q3 3.1% 2.7%
Operating return on average
equity - YTD 7.6% 9.0%
Special dividends per common
share(4) $0.75 $0.95
------------------------------ ------------ ------------
(1) Return on equity is defined as growth in fully converted
book value per share, adjusted for dividends.
(2) Return on equity including warrant exercises was 2.6% for
the third quarter of 2015 and 7.2% for the first nine months of
2015. All remaining outstanding warrants were exercised during 2015
and there is therefore no impact of warrants on the 2016 return on
equity.
(3) Return on tangible equity excludes goodwill and other
intangible assets but includes warrant exercises.
(4) See "Dividends" below for Record Date and Dividend Payment
Date.
Financial highlights:
Three months ended Nine months ended
30 September 30 September 30 September 30 September
2016 2015 2016 2015
--------------
Highlights ($m)
Gross premiums written 108.2 120.4 538.8 544.0
Net premiums written 92.0 110.1 370.6 394.4
Profit before tax 42.9 32.9 99.5 121.5
Profit after tax(1) 42.9 34.1 102.7 126.7
Comprehensive income(1) 41.6 30.3 123.3 124.8
Net operating profit(1) 40.1 37.1 98.1 127.6
Per share data
Diluted earnings
per share $0.21 $0.17 $0.51 $0.64
Diluted earnings
per share -
operating $0.20 $0.18 $0.49 $0.65
Financial ratios
Total investment
return including
internal currency
hedging 0.6% (0.2%) 2.2% 0.8%
Total investment
return excluding
internal currency
hedging 0.5% (0.3%) 2.2% 0.5%
Net loss ratio 25.3% 26.4% 28.0% 30.2%
Combined ratio 73.8% 70.2% 75.6% 73.5%
Accident year loss
ratio 29.6% 47.2% 45.0% 50.6%
------------------------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
(1) These amounts are attributable to Lancashire and exclude
non-controlling interests.
Alex Maloney, Group Chief Executive Officer, commented:
"The Group's results for the third quarter have once again been
strong. Our RoE of 3.1% for the quarter and 10.5% for the year to
date demonstrate our ability to deliver excellent results through
the insurance cycle and during challenging market conditions. These
results are a tribute to the quality of our people throughout the
Group and an illustration of the fruits of disciplined underwriting
and prudent risk selection.
In early October 2016 (and therefore not within this financial
reporting period) Hurricane Matthew ripped through the Caribbean
and onwards to impact Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas. The
terrible toll of lives, principally in Haiti, was a further
reminder of the devastating power of the forces of nature. On these
occasions our thoughts go out to those personally affected by such
tragedies. However, as an insured event affecting the US, the level
of insured damage was less than it might have been in other
circumstances. Matthew is an attritional loss for the insurance
sector as a whole, certainly not of a size to constitute the
"market moving event" which sooner or later will occur. However, it
is a timely reminder of the volatility and unpredictability of loss
events in our industry and will contribute to the further erosion
of margins and profitability across the sector.
These results and the salutary lesson of Matthew demonstrate the
value of our strategy of managing the insurance cycle, which during
the current soft market phase demands that we maintain a core book
of business. Our strategy is unchanged as we are working to
maintain our long term profitable underwriting relationships whilst
managing our outwards exposure through the purchase of well-priced
targeted reinsurance."
Elaine Whelan, Group Chief Financial Officer, commented:
"With limited loss activity in the quarter, we have produced
another strong result with a return on equity of 3.1%, bringing us
to 10.5% for the year to date. Our net loss ratio was 25.3%. Given
the continued heightened volatility in the investment markets, we
were pleased with our investment return of 0.6%, or 2.2% for the
year to date.
Our outlook for 2017 is a continuation of current market trends.
However, we expect to be able to maintain our core book and
consequently operate at a similar capital level to this year. We
are therefore returning approximately $150.0 million of capital via
a special dividend. That represents 121.7% of comprehensive income
for the year to date. We have now returned $2.7 billion, or 104.9%
of total comprehensive income, since inception."
Renewal Price Index for major classes
The Renewal Price Index ("RPI") is an internal methodology that
management uses to track trends in premium rates on a portfolio of
insurance and reinsurance contracts. The RPI is calculated on a per
contract basis and reflects our assessment of relative changes in
price, terms, conditions and limits on like for like renewals only,
and is weighted by premium volume (see "Note Regarding RPI
Methodology" at the end of this announcement for further guidance).
The RPI does not include new business, to offer a consistent basis
for analysis. The following RPIs are expressed as an approximate
percentage of pricing achieved on similar contracts written in
2015, with our Lloyd's segment shown separately in order to aid
comparability:
RPI Lancashire (excluding Lloyd's segment)
Class YTD 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016
--------------------------- ---------- --------- --------- ---------
Aviation (AV52) 90% 88% 90% 90%
Gulf of Mexico energy 94% 88% 94% 86%
Energy offshore worldwide 87% 84% 86% 87%
Marine 89% 91% 82% 92%
Property retrocession
and reinsurance 88% 77% 90% 93%
Terrorism 87% 89% 89% 86%
Lancashire, (excluding
Lloyd's segment) 89% 81% 90% 90%
--------------------------- ---- --- ---- ---- ----
RPI (Lloyd's segment)
Class YTD 2016 Q3 2016 Q2 2016 Q1 2016
----------------------- ---------- --------- --------- ---------
Aviation 97% 99% 98% 97%
Energy 89% 90% 90% 86%
Marine 96% 95% 98% 97%
Property retrocession
and reinsurance 95% 97% 93% 94%
Terrorism 97% 93% 99% 91%
Lloyd's segment 94% 96% 93% 95%
----------------------- ---- --- ---- ---- ----
Underwriting results
Gross premiums written
Q3 YTD
2016 2015 Change Change 2016 2015 Change Change
$m $m $m % $m $m $m %
---------- ----- ----- ------ ------ ----- ----- ------ --------
Property 39.7 40.8 (1.1) (2.7) 190.4 169.4 21.0 12.4
Energy 14.1 18.9 (4.8) (25.4) 102.4 97.0 5.4 5.6
Marine 4.9 4.7 0.2 4.3 32.4 38.4 (6.0) (15.6)
Aviation 11.0 9.3 1.7 18.3 28.2 27.0 1.2 4.4
Lloyd's 38.5 46.7 (8.2) (17.6) 185.4 212.2 (26.8) (12.6)
-----
Total 108.2 120.4 (12.2) (10.1) 538.8 544.0 (5.2) (1.0)
---------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Gross premiums written decreased by 10.1% in the third quarter
of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015. In 2016 to date, gross
premiums written decreased by 1.0% compared to the first nine
months of 2015. The Group's five principal segments, and the key
market factors impacting them, are discussed below.
Property gross premiums written decreased by 2.7% for the third
quarter of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015 and increased
by 12.4% in the first nine months of 2016 compared to the first
nine months of 2015. For the quarter, although the dollar movement
was small, it included reductions in the political risk book which
were partly offset by an increase in the property catastrophe
excess of loss book. While we continued to see good new business
flow in the political risk book, there was less new business than
the same quarter in the prior year. Business flow in the political
risk class is generally less predictable than other classes of
business due to the lead time and specific nature of each deal. The
increase in the property catastrophe excess of loss book in the
quarter was driven by the timing of renewal of non-annual deals.
For the year to date, the majority of the increase was driven by
new business in the political risk and property catastrophe excess
of loss classes, partly offset by reductions in the terrorism class
due to the impact of non-annual policies. Rates continued to
experience pressure in the property catastrophe excess of loss
class, but the majority of that book has now renewed for the
year.
Energy gross premiums written decreased by 25.4% for the third
quarter of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015 and increased
by 5.6% in the first nine months of 2016 compared to the first nine
months of 2015. The worldwide offshore book was responsible for the
decrease in the quarter. Continuing exposure reductions, due to the
low oil price and timing of non-annual contracts, contributed to
the decrease. The Gulf of Mexico book was responsible for most of
the increase in the year to date. Some new business was added in
this class, but the vast majority of the increase is driven by the
timing impact of multi-year deals written in 2014, plus the
cancellation and replacement of certain contracts. Year on year,
the variability in the Gulf of Mexico gross premiums written has a
less significant impact on gross premiums earned for that class.
For the year to date, the worldwide offshore book continued to
experience price and exposure reductions due to the relatively low
oil price, offset somewhat by the timing of renewal of non-annual
deals.
Marine gross premiums written increased by 4.3% for the third
quarter of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015 and decreased
by 15.6% in the first nine months of 2016 compared to the first
nine months of 2015. The dollar movement in the quarter is
negligible. The majority of the year to date decrease is driven by
the timing of non-annual renewals together with a reduction in
prior underwriting year risk-attaching business, due to changes in
the underlying exposure.
Aviation gross premiums written increased by 18.3% for the third
quarter of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015 and increased
by 4.4% in the first nine months of 2016 compared to the first nine
months of 2015. The third quarter is not a major renewal period for
the aviation segment. The dollar increases for both the quarter and
year to date are not significant.
In the Lloyd's segment gross premiums written decreased by 17.6%
for the third quarter of 2016 compared to the same period in 2015
and decreased by 12.6% in the first nine months of 2016 compared to
the first nine months of 2015. There were reductions across all
lines of business, for both the quarter and year to date, with
rates continuing to come under pressure due to over-capacity in the
market.
*******
Ceded reinsurance premiums increased by $5.9 million, or 57.3%,
for the quarter, and increased by $18.6 million, or 12.4%, for the
nine months ended 30 September 2016, in each case compared to the
same periods in 2015. Favourable conditions in the reinsurance
market have generally allowed both Lancashire and Cathedral to buy
more reinsurance limit, by adding new layers and attaching at lower
loss levels for around the same outlay. The increased spend for the
quarter and year to date is largely due to higher cessions to
various outwards facilities and additional reinstatement
premiums.
*******
Net premiums earned as a proportion of net premiums written was
118.8% in the third quarter of 2016 compared to 126.0% for the same
period in 2015 and 97.1% in the nine months to 30 September 2016
compared to 110.6% in the same period in 2015. The reduced earnings
percentages are due to an increase in longer tenor business written
plus increased reinsurance spend.
*******
The Group's net loss ratio for the third quarter of 2016 was
25.3% compared to 26.4% for the same period in 2015 and 28.0% for
the nine months ended 30 September 2016 compared to 30.2% for the
same period in 2015. The accident year loss ratio for the third
quarter of 2016, including the impact of foreign exchange
revaluations, was 29.6% compared to 47.2% for the same period in
2015 and 45.0% for the nine months ended 30 September 2016 compared
to 50.6% for the same period in 2015. There were no significant net
losses in the third quarter of either year. Similarly, there were
no significant net losses in the first nine months of 2016 and
2015, although both years included some mid-sized energy losses.
Attritional losses have otherwise been low.
Prior year favourable development for the third quarter of 2016
was $4.9 million, compared to favourable development of $29.9
million for the third quarter of 2015. Favourable development was
$61.9 million for the nine months to 30 September 2016, compared to
favourable development of $91.1 million for the same period in
2015. While there was some adverse development on one specific
marine loss this quarter, the overall net favourable development in
all periods was primarily due to general IBNR releases across most
lines of business due to a lack of reported claims. The first
quarter of 2015 also included a recovery on our 2011 Thai flood
loss on the settlement of a claim.
The table below provides further detail of the prior years' loss
development by class, excluding the impact of foreign exchange
valuations.
Q3 YTD
2016 2015 2016 2015
$m $m $m $m
---------- ------------- -------- ---------- ------------
Property 9.0 3.4 30.6 31.1
Energy 3.0 9.3 20.7 26.7
Marine (8.0) 3.6 1.3 10.7
Aviation 0.8 2.5 3.2 2.3
Lloyd's 0.1 11.1 6.1 20.3
---------
Total 4.9 29.9 61.9 91.1
---------- --------- -------- ---------- ----------
Note: Positive numbers denote favourable development.
Excluding the impact of foreign exchange revaluations, previous
accident years' ultimate losses developed as follows during 2016
and 2015:
Nine months Nine months
ended ended
30 September 30 September
2016 2015
$m $m
-------------------- --------------- ---------------
2006 accident year 0.2 0.9
2007 accident year (0.9) 0.9
2008 accident year 1.1 (2.4)
2009 accident year 0.4 3.8
2010 accident year 1.8 (2.2)
2011 accident year 8.2 23.2
2012 accident year 4.8 4.9
2013 accident year (4.8) 28.4
2014 accident year 13.7 33.6
2015 accident year 37.4 -
-----------
Total 61.9 91.1
-------------------- ----------- -----------
Note: Positive numbers denote favourable development.
The ratio of IBNR to total net loss reserves was 37.0% at 30
September 2016 compared to 35.4% at 30 September 2015.
Investments
Net investment income, excluding realised and unrealised gains
and losses, was $7.0 million for the third quarter of 2016, a
decrease of 10.3% from the third quarter of 2015. Net investment
income was $23.0 million for the first nine months of 2016, an
increase of 2.7% compared to the same period in 2015. Total
investment return, including net investment income, net other
investment income, net realised gains and losses, impairments and
net change in unrealised gains and losses, was a gain of $11.6
million for the third quarter of 2016 compared to a loss of $3.7
million for the third quarter of 2015, and a gain of $41.6 million
for the first nine months of 2016 compared to a gain of $17.4
million for the corresponding period in 2015.
The investment portfolio returned 0.6% during the third quarter
of 2016. Despite the increase in treasury yields, the Group's high
quality fixed maturity portfolio produced a positive return, driven
by narrowing credit spreads plus coupons received. The portfolio
also benefited from strong returns in our bank loan, hedge fund and
equity portfolios, as those portfolios performed well in the
risk-on tone during the quarter. During the third quarter of 2015 a
small loss of 0.2% on the portfolio was driven by heightened market
volatility.
For the year to date, the investment portfolio has returned 2.2%
driven by the performance of the Group's high quality fixed
maturity, bank loan and equity portfolios. The portfolio has
benefited from a notable decline in treasury yields and narrowing
of credit spreads in 2016. During the first nine months of 2015 the
portfolio returned 0.8%, driven by the positive returns in the
fixed maturity and bank loan portfolios. While both periods
benefited from a decline in treasury yields, the prior year to date
return was dampened by widening credit spreads in the fixed
maturity portfolios.
The corporate bond allocation represented 30.7% of managed
invested assets at 30 September 2016 compared to 31.3% at 30
September 2015.
The managed portfolio was as follows:
As at As at As at
30 September 31 December 30 September
2016 2015 2015
------------------- -------------- ------------- --------------
Fixed maturity
securities 82.4% 81.6% 83.8%
Cash and cash
equivalents 9.1% 9.6% 7.7%
Hedge funds 6.8% 8.0% 7.8%
Equity securities 1.7% 0.8% 0.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
------------------- --------- -------- ---------
Key investment portfolio statistics were:
As at As at As at
30 September 31 December 30 September
2016 2015 2015
Duration 1.7 years 1.5 years 1.5 years
Credit quality AA- AA- AA-
Book yield 1.7% 1.6% 1.6%
Market yield 1.5% 1.9% 1.6%
---------------- -------- --- ------- --- -------- ---
Lancashire Third Party Capital Management
The total contribution from third party capital activities
consists of the following items:
Q3 YTD
2016 2015 2016 2015
$m $m $m $m
------------------------------ ----------- -------- ---------- ------------
Kinesis underwriting fees 2.2 2.6 3.3 4.1
Kinesis profit commission - 1.9 3.2 7.2
Lloyd's managing agency
fees & profit commission 0.8 0.6 3.7 3.6
------------------------------ ----------- -------- ---------- ----------
Total other income 3.0 5.1 10.2 14.9
------------------------------ ----------- -------- ---------- ----------
Share of profit of associate 2.7 2.7 4.4 4.3
------------------------------ ----------- -------- ---------- ----------
Total third party capital
managed income 5.7 7.8 14.6 19.2
------------------------------ ----------- -------- ---------- ----------
The lower Kinesis profit commission during the third quarter and
first nine months of 2016 compared to the same periods in 2015 is
due to the timing of confirmation of loss quantum and the resulting
retention of some collateral held. The share of profit of associate
reflects Lancashire's 10% equity interest in the Kinesis
vehicle.
Other operating expenses
Other operating expenses consist of the following items:
Q3 YTD
2016 2015 2016 2015
$m $m $m $m
----------------------------- ---------- --------- ---------- ------------
Employee remuneration costs 14.7 15.3 46.8 44.3
Other operating expenses 9.2 9.8 28.3 31.6
Total 23.9 25.1 75.1 75.9
----------------------------- ---------- --------- ---------- ----------
Employee remuneration costs for the third quarter of 2016 were
largely flat compared to the same period in the prior year. For the
first nine months of 2016 employee remuneration costs increased by
$2.5 million compared to the corresponding period of 2015,
primarily due to a slight increase in headcount plus variability
around incentive pay. As reported in the first quarter, costs were
also incurred in relation to the departure of the previous Active
Underwriter of Cathedral.
Other operating expenses were lower in the third quarter and
first nine months of 2016 compared to the same periods in the prior
year primarily due to lower consulting costs, lower IT project
expenses and a benefit from the reduction in Sterling.
Equity based compensation
Equity based compensation was $1.7 million in the third quarter
of 2016 compared to $7.4 million in the same period last year and
$10.1 million for the first nine months of 2016 compared to $12.2
million in the same period last year. The decrease in the quarter
compared to the prior year to date was primarily due to the lapsing
of restricted share scheme awards of former employees of Cathedral
on their departure from the Group. The charge for the third quarter
2015 was also higher than normal due to an increase in performance
expectations during that quarter. Cathedral award lapses also
impacted the decrease in the year to date compared to 2015, offset
to a degree by increased performance assumptions.
Capital
At 30 September 2016, total capital available to Lancashire was
$1.644 billion, comprising shareholders' equity of $1.321 billion
and $323.4 million of long-term debt. Tangible capital was $1.490
billion. Leverage was 19.7% on total capital and 21.7% on total
tangible capital. Total capital and total tangible capital at 30
September 2015 were $1.684 billion and $1.530 billion
respectively.
The Group will continue to review the appropriate level and
composition of capital for the Group with the intention of managing
capital to enhance risk-adjusted returns on equity.
Dividends
During the third quarter of 2016, the Lancashire Board of
Directors declared an interim dividend in respect of 2016 of $0.05
(GBP0.03) per common share. The dividend payment, totalling $10.0
million, was paid on 31 August 2016 to shareholders of record on 5
August 2016.
Lancashire announces that its Board of Directors has declared a
special dividend for 2016 of $0.75 per common share (approximately
(GBP0.61) per common share at the current exchange rate), which
will result in an aggregate payment of approximately $150.0
million. The dividend will be paid in Pounds Sterling on 14
December 2016 (the "Dividend Payment Date") to shareholders of
record on 18 November 2016 (the "Record Date") using the GBP / $
spot market exchange rate at 12 Noon London time on the Record
Date.
Shareholders interested in participating in the dividend
reinvestment plan ("DRIP") or other services including
international payment, are encouraged to contact the Group
registrars, Capita Registrars for more details at:
http://www.capitaassetservices.com
Financial information
Further details of our 2016 third quarter results can be
obtained from our Financial Supplement. This can be accessed via
our website www.lancashiregroup.com.
Analyst and Investor Earnings Conference Call
There will be an analyst and investor conference call on the
results at 1:00pm GMT time / 9:00am EDT on Thursday 3rd November
2016. The conference call will be hosted by Lancashire
management.
The call can be accessed by dialling +44(0)20 3427 1909 (Local -
London, UK) +0800 279 5004 (National free phone - UK) / +1 212 444
0896 (Local - New York, USA) +1 877 280 1254 (National free phone -
USA) with the confirmation code 6993693. The call can also be
accessed via webcast, please go to our website
(http://www.lancashiregroup.com/en/investors.html) to access.
A webcast replay facility will be available for 12 months and
accessible at
http://www.lancashiregroup.com/en/investors/results-reports-and-presentations.html
For further information, please contact:
Lancashire Holdings Limited
Christopher Head +44 20 7264 4145
chris.head@lancashiregroup.com
Jonny Creagh-Coen +44 20 7264 4066
jcc@lancashiregroup.com
Haggie Partners +44 20 7562 4444
David Haggie (David Haggie mobile
+44 7768332486)
About Lancashire
Lancashire, through its UK and Bermuda-based operating
subsidiaries, is a global provider of specialty insurance and
reinsurance products. The Group companies carry the following
ratings:
Financial Financial Long Term
Strength Strength Issuer
Rating (1) Outlook(1) Rating (2)
A.M. Best A (Excellent) Stable bbb
S&P Global Ratings A- Positive BBB
Moody's A3 Stable Baa2
------------------- -------------- ------------ ------------
(1) Financial Strength Rating and Financial Strength Outlook
apply to Lancashire Insurance Company Limited and Lancashire
Insurance Company (UK) Limited.
(2) Long Term Issuer Rating applies to Lancashire Holdings
Limited.
Cathedral benefits from Lloyd's ratings: A.M. Best: A
(Excellent); S&P Global Ratings: A+ (Strong); and Fitch: AA-
(Very Strong).
Lancashire has capital in excess of $1.5 billion and its common
shares trade on the premium segment of the Main Market of the
London Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol LRE. Lancashire has
its corporate headquarters and mailing address at 29th Floor, 20
Fenchurch Street, London EC3M 3BY, United Kingdom and its
registered office at Power House, 7 Par-la-Ville Road, Hamilton HM
11, Bermuda.
For more information on Lancashire and Lancashire's subsidiary
and Lloyd's segment, Cathedral Capital Limited ("Cathedral"), visit
Lancashire's website at www.lancashiregroup.com
The UK Prudential Regulation Authority ("PRA") is the Group
Supervisor of the Lancashire Group.
Lancashire Insurance Company Limited is regulated by the Bermuda
Monetary Authority ("BMA") in Bermuda.
Lancashire Insurance Company (UK) Limited is authorised by the
PRA and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority ("FCA") and
the PRA in the UK.
Kinesis Capital Management Limited is regulated by the BMA in
Bermuda.
Cathedral Underwriting Limited is authorised by the PRA and
regulated by the FCA and the PRA in the UK. It is also authorised
and regulated by Lloyd's.
This release contains information, which may be of a price
sensitive nature, that Lancashire is making public in a manner
consistent with the EU Market Abuse Regulation and other regulatory
obligations. The information was submitted for publication, through
the agency of the contact persons set out above, at 07.00 GMT on 3
November 2016.
NOTE REGARDING RPI METHODOLOGY
LANCASHIRE'S RENEWAL PRICE INDEX ("RPI") IS AN INTERNAL
METHODOLOGY THAT ITS MANAGEMENT USES TO TRACK TRS IN PREMIUM RATES
OF A PORTFOLIO OF INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE CONTRACTS. THE RPI
WRITTEN BY THE LANCASHIRE COMPANIES IN THE RESPECTIVE SEGMENTS IS
CALCULATED ON A PER CONTRACT BASIS AND REFLECTS LANCASHIRE'S
ASSESSMENT OF RELATIVE CHANGES IN PRICE, TERMS, CONDITIONS AND
LIMITS AND IS WEIGHTED BY PREMIUM VOLUME. THE CALCULATION INVOLVES
A DEGREE OF JUDGEMENT IN RELATION TO COMPARABILITY OF CONTRACTS AND
THE ASSESSMENT NOTED ABOVE. TO ENHANCE THE RPI METHODOLOGY,
MANAGEMENT OF LANCASHIRE MAY REVISE THE METHODOLOGY AND ASSUMPTIONS
UNDERLYING THE RPI, SO THE TRS IN PREMIUM RATES REFLECTED IN THE
RPI MAY NOT BE COMPARABLE OVER TIME. CONSIDERATION IS ONLY GIVEN TO
RENEWALS OF A COMPARABLE NATURE SO IT DOES NOT REFLECT EVERY
CONTRACT IN LANCASHIRE'S PORTFOLIO. THE FUTURE PROFITABILITY OF THE
PORTFOLIO OF CONTRACTS WITHIN THE RPI IS DEPENT UPON MANY FACTORS
BESIDES THE TRS IN PREMIUM RATES.
NOTE REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS:
CERTAIN STATEMENTS AND INDICATIVE PROJECTIONS (WHICH MAY INCLUDE
MODELED LOSS SCENARIOS) MADE IN THIS RELEASE OR OTHERWISE THAT ARE
NOT BASED ON CURRENT OR HISTORICAL FACTS ARE FORWARD-LOOKING IN
NATURE INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, STATEMENTS CONTAINING THE
WORDS "BELIEVES", "ANTICIPATES", "PLANS", "PROJECTS", "FORECASTS",
"GUIDANCE", "INTS", "EXPECTS", "ESTIMATES", "PREDICTS", "MAY",
"CAN", "LIKELY", "WILL", "SEEKS", "SHOULD", OR, IN EACH CASE, THEIR
NEGATIVE OR COMPARABLE TERMINOLOGY. ALL SUCH STATEMENTS OTHER THAN
STATEMENTS OF HISTORICAL FACTS INCLUDING, WITHOUT LIMITATION, THE
GROUP'S FINANCIAL POSITION, LIQUIDITY, RESULTS OF OPERATIONS,
PROSPECTS, GROWTH, CAPITAL MANAGEMENT PLANS AND EFFICIENCIES,
ABILITY TO CREATE VALUE, DIVID POLICY, OPERATIONAL FLEXIBILITY,
COMPOSITION OF MANAGEMENT, BUSINESS STRATEGY, PLANS AND OBJECTIVES
OF MANAGEMENT FOR FUTURE OPERATIONS (INCLUDING DEVELOPMENT PLANS
AND OBJECTIVES RELATING TO THE GROUP'S INSURANCE BUSINESS) ARE
FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS. SUCH FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS INVOLVE
KNOWN AND UNKNOWN RISKS, UNCERTAINTIES AND OTHER IMPORTANT FACTORS
THAT COULD CAUSE THE ACTUAL RESULTS, PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS OF
THE GROUP TO BE MATERIALLY DIFFERENT FROM FUTURE RESULTS,
PERFORMANCE OR ACHIEVEMENTS EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED BY SUCH
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS.
THESE FACTORS INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO: THE GROUP'S
ABILITY TO INTEGRATE ITS BUSINESSES AND PERSONNEL; THE SUCCESSFUL
RETENTION AND MOTIVATION OF THE GROUP'S KEY MANAGEMENT; THE
INCREASED REGULATORY BURDEN FACING THE GROUP, THE NUMBER AND TYPE
OF INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE CONTRACTS THAT THE GROUP WRITES OR MAY
WRITE; THE GROUP'S ABILITY TO IMPLEMENT SUCCESSFULLY ITS BUSINESS
STRATEGY DURING 'SOFT' AS WELL AS 'HARD' MARKETS; THE PREMIUM RATES
WHICH MAY BE AVAILABLE AT THE TIME OF SUCH RENEWALS WITHIN THE
GROUP'S TARGETED BUSINESS LINES; THE POSSIBLE LOW FREQUENCY OF
LARGE EVENTS; POTENTIALLY UNUSUAL LOSS FREQUENCY; THE IMPACT THAT
THE GROUP'S FUTURE OPERATING RESULTS, CAPITAL POSITION AND RATING
AGENCY AND OTHER CONSIDERATIONS MAY HAVE ON THE EXECUTION OF ANY
CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INITIATIVES OR DIVIDS; THE POSSIBILITY OF
GREATER FREQUENCY OR SEVERITY OF CLAIMS AND LOSS ACTIVITY THAN THE
GROUP'S UNDERWRITING, RESERVING OR INVESTMENT PRACTICES HAVE
ANTICIPATED; THE RELIABILITY OF, AND CHANGES IN ASSUMPTIONS TO,
CATASTROPHE PRICING, ACCUMULATION AND ESTIMATED LOSS MODELS;
INCREASED COMPETITION FROM EXISTING ALTERNATIVE CAPITAL PROVIDERS,
INSURANCE LINKED FUNDS AND COLLATERALISED SPECIAL PURPOSE INSURERS
AND THE RELATED DEMAND AND SUPPLY DYNAMICS AS CONTRACTS COME UP FOR
RENEWAL; THE EFFECTIVENESS OF THE GROUP'S LOSS LIMITATION METHODS;
THE POTENTIAL LOSS OF KEY PERSONNEL; A DECLINE IN THE GROUP'S
OPERATING SUBSIDIARIES' RATING WITH A.M. BEST, STANDARD &
POOR'S, MOODY'S OR OTHER RATING AGENCIES; INCREASED COMPETITION ON
THE BASIS OF PRICING, CAPACITY, COVERAGE TERMS OR OTHER FACTORS; A
CYCLICAL DOWNTURN OF THE INDUSTRY; THE IMPACT OF A DETERIORATING
CREDIT ENVIRONMENT FOR ISSUERS OF FIXED INCOME INVESTMENTS; THE
IMPACT OF SWINGS IN MARKET INTEREST RATES, CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATES
AND SECURITIES PRICES; CHANGES BY CENTRAL BANKS REGARDING THE LEVEL
OF INTEREST RATES; THE IMPACT OF INFLATION OR DEFLATION IN RELEVANT
ECONOMIES IN WHICH WE OPERATE; THE EFFECT, TIMING AND OTHER
UNCERTAINTIES SURROUNDING FUTURE BUSINESS COMBINATIONS WITHIN THE
INSURANCE AND REINSURANCE INDUSTRIES; THE IMPACT OF TERRORIST
ACTIVITY IN THE COUNTRIES IN WHICH WE WRITE RISKS; A RATING
DOWNGRADE OF, OR A MARKET DECLINE IN, SECURITIES IN ITS INVESTMENT
PORTFOLIO; CHANGES IN GOVERNMENTAL REGULATIONS OR TAX LAWS IN
JURISDICTIONS WHERE THE GROUP CONDUCTS BUSINESS; ANY OF THE GROUP'S
BERMUDIAN SUBSIDIARIES BECOMING SUBJECT TO INCOME TAXES IN THE
UNITED STATES OR THE UNITED KINGDOM; THE INAPPLICABILITY TO THE
GROUP OF SUITABLE EXCLUSIONS FROM THE UK CFC REGIME; ANYCHANGE IN
UK GOVERNMENT POLICY WHICH IMPACTS THE CFC REGIME OR OTHER TAX
CHANGES; AND THE IMPACT OF THE "BREXIT" VOTE AND FUTURE
NEGOTIATIONS REGARDING THE U.K'S RELATIONSHIP WITH THE E.U. IN THE
RECENT IN-OR-OUT REFERUM ON OUR BUSINESS, REGULATORY RELATIONSHIPS,
UNDERWRITING PLATFORMS OR THE INDUSTRY GENERALLY.
ALL FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS IN THIS RELEASE SPEAK ONLY AS AT
THE DATE OF PUBLICATION. LANCASHIRE EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ANY
OBLIGATION OR UNDERTAKING (SAVE AS REQUIRED TO COMPLY WITH ANY
LEGAL OR REGULATORY OBLIGATIONS INCLUDING THE RULES OF THE LONDON
STOCK EXCHANGE) TO DISSEMINATE ANY UPDATES OR REVISIONS TO ANY
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS TO REFLECT ANY CHANGES IN THE GROUP'S
EXPECTATIONS OR CIRCUMSTANCES ON WHICH ANY SUCH STATEMENT IS
BASED.
Consolidated statement of comprehensive income
(Unaudited)
Q3 Q3 YTD YTD
2016 2015 2016 2015
$m $m $m $m
------------------------------- --------- --------- ------------ ------------
Gross premiums written 108.2 120.4 538.8 544.0
Outwards reinsurance
premiums (16.2) (10.3) (168.2) (149.6)
Net premiums written 92.0 110.1 370.6 394.4
------------------------------- ----- ----- -------- --------
Change in unearned premiums 48.9 58.7 (48.2) 7.6
Change in unearned premiums
on premiums ceded (31.6) (30.1) 37.5 34.3
Net premiums earned 109.3 138.7 359.9 436.3
------------------------------- ----- ----- -------- --------
Net investment income 7.0 7.8 23.0 22.4
Net other investment
income (losses) 4.0 (5.3) 3.5 (1.1)
Net realised gains (losses)
and impairments 1.9 (2.4) (5.5) (2.0)
Share of profit of associate 2.7 2.7 4.4 4.3
Other income 3.0 5.1 10.2 14.9
Net foreign exchange
gains (losses) 0.8 (2.0) 3.5 (5.0)
Total net revenue 128.7 144.6 399.0 469.8
------------------------------- ----- ----- -------- --------
Insurance losses and
loss adjustment expenses 43.9 38.2 178.8 153.4
Insurance losses and
loss adjustment expenses
recoverable (16.2) (1.6) (78.1) (21.7)
Net insurance acquisition
expenses 29.1 35.7 96.1 113.1
Equity based compensation 1.7 7.4 10.1 12.2
Other operating expenses 23.9 25.1 75.1 75.9
Total expenses 82.4 104.8 282.0 332.9
------------------------------- ----- ----- -------- --------
Results of operating
activities 46.3 39.8 117.0 136.9
Financing costs 3.4 6.9 17.5 15.4
Profit before tax 42.9 32.9 99.5 121.5
Tax credit 0.1 1.4 3.4 5.7
Profit after tax 43.0 34.3 102.9 127.2
--------
Non-controlling interests (0.1) (0.2) (0.2) (0.5)
Profit after tax attributable
to Lancashire 42.9 34.1 102.7 126.7
------------------------------- ----- ----- -------- --------
Net change in unrealised
gains/losses on investments (1.3) (3.7) 21.2 (1.9)
Tax provision on net
change in unrealised
gains/losses on investments - (0.1) (0.6) -
Other comprehensive (loss)
income (1.3) (3.8) 20.6 (1.9)
------------------------------- ----- ----- -------- --------
Total comprehensive income
attributable to Lancashire 41.6 30.3 123.3 124.8
------------------------------- ----- ----- -------- --------
Net loss ratio 25.3% 26.4% 28.0% 30.2%
Net acquisition cost
ratio 26.6% 25.7% 26.7% 25.9%
Administrative expense
ratio 21.9% 18.1% 20.9% 17.4%
Combined ratio 73.8% 70.2% 75.6% 73.5%
------------------------------- ----- ----- -------- --------
Basic earnings per share $0.22 $0.17 $ 0.52 $ 0.65
Diluted earnings per
share $0.21 $0.17 $ 0.51 $ 0.64
Change in fully converted
book value per share 3.1% 2.6% 10.5% 9.3%
(*) Return on equity including warrant exercises was 2.6% for
the third quarter of 2015 and 7.2% for the first nine months of
2015, all remaining outstanding warrants were exercised during 2015
and there is therefore no impact of warrants on 2016 return on
equity.
Consolidated balance sheet
(Unaudited)
As at As at As at
30 September 30 September 31 December
2016 2015 2015
$m $m $m
------------------------------------- ------------ ------------ -------------
Assets
Cash and cash equivalents 289.8 251.1 291.8
Accrued interest receivable 6.6 7.5 6.5
Investments 1,842.9 2,007.4 1,773.3
Inwards premiums receivable
from insureds and cedants 315.0 307.6 253.7
Reinsurance assets
- Unearned premiums on premiums
ceded 67.7 59.0 30.2
- Reinsurance recoveries 149.9 87.9 83.9
- Other receivables 15.0 3.4 2.7
Other receivables 41.2 24.1 37.8
Investment in associate 26.5 28.2 47.5
Property, plant and equipment 5.8 7.6 7.2
Deferred acquisition costs 93.2 98.0 87.2
Intangible assets 153.8 153.8 153.8
Total assets 3,007.4 3,035.6 2,775.6
------------------------------------- ----------- ----------- ----------
Liabilities
Insurance contracts
- Losses and loss adjustment
expenses 708.7 697.8 671.0
- Unearned premiums 447.4 471.5 399.2
- Other payables 38.9 42.4 36.2
Amounts payable to reinsurers 64.2 39.0 26.6
Deferred acquisition costs
ceded 0.7 0.7 0.3
Other payables 71.6 61.1 67.0
Corporation tax payable 3.2 5.0 1.8
Deferred tax liability 21.1 27.2 25.6
Interest rate swap 7.0 6.5 4.8
Long-term debt 323.4 323.4 322.3
Total liabilities 1,686.2 1,674.6 1,554.8
------------------------------------- ----------- ----------- ----------
Shareholders' equity
Share capital 100.7 100.2 100.7
Own shares (24.8) (24.9) (30.4)
Other reserves 882.4 872.4 880.8
Accumulated other comprehensive
income (loss) 10.1 (1.1) (10.5)
Retained earnings 352.6 413.9 279.7
Total shareholders' equity
attributable to equity
shareholders of LHL 1,321.0 1,360.5 1,220.3
------------------------------------- ----------- ----------- ----------
Non-controlling interest 0.2 0.5 0.5
Total shareholders' equity 1,321.2 1,361.0 1,220.8
Total liabilities and shareholders'
equity 3,007.4 3,035.6 2,775.6
------------------------------------- ----------- ----------- ----------
Basic book value per share $6.64 $6.88 $6.16
Fully converted book value
per share $6.55 $6.78 $6.07
Consolidated statements of cash flows
(Unaudited)
Nine Nine Twelve
months months Months
2016 2015 2015
$m $m $m
-------------------------------------- ------- ------- ----------
Cash flows from operating activities
Profit before tax 99.5 121.5 171.7
Tax (paid) refunded (1.3) 4.4 4.4
Depreciation 1.7 1.5 1.9
Interest expense on long-term
debt 12.2 11.2 15.1
Interest and dividend income (29.1) (31.0) (40.9)
Net amortisation of fixed maturity
securities 3.9 6.6 8.1
Equity based compensation 10.1 12.2 15.8
Foreign exchange (gains) losses (1.4) 16.6 10.8
Share of profit of associate (4.4) (4.3) (4.1)
Net other investment (income)
losses (3.5) 1.1 1.3
Net realised losses (gains)
and impairments 5.5 2.0 2.8
Net unrealised losses (gains)
on interest rate swaps 2.2 1.6 (0.1)
Changes in operational assets
and liabilities
- Insurance and reinsurance
contracts (62.7) (53.3) (71.0)
- Other assets and liabilities 7.8 (10.4) (17.7)
Net cash flows from operating
activities 40.5 79.7 98.1
-------------------------------------- ------ ------ -------
Cash flows from investing activities
Interest and dividends received 29.0 31.2 42.1
Net purchase of property, plant
and equipment (0.3) - -
Investment in associate 25.4 28.8 9.3
Purchase of investments (992.8) (776.0) (990.8)
Proceeds on sale of investments 940.1 737.1 1,173.5
Net cash flows from investing
activities 1.4 21.1 234.1
-------------------------------------- ------ ------ -------
Cash flows used in financing
activities
Interest paid (13.5) (13.1) (15.2)
Dividends paid (29.8) (128.9) (317.5)
Dividend paid to minority interest
holders (0.5) (0.5) (0.6)
Distributions by trust (2.9) (4.4) (4.7)
Net cash flows used in financing
activities (46.7) (146.9) (338.0)
-------------------------------------- ------ ------ -------
Net decrease in cash and cash
equivalents (4.8) (46.1) (5.8)
Cash and cash equivalents at
the beginning of year 291.8 303.5 303.5
Effect of exchange rate fluctuations
on cash and cash equivalents 2.8 (6.3) (5.9)
Cash and cash equivalents at
end of year 289.8 251.1 291.8
-------------------------------------- ------ ------ -------
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
END
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November 03, 2016 03:00 ET (07:00 GMT)
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