Interim Management Statement
February 11 2011 - 9:52AM
UK Regulatory
TIDMEGP
The Egypt Trust
Interim Management Statementfor the quarter ended 31 December
2010
The Egypt Trust Fund (the "Fund"), is publishing this Interim
Management Statement in accordance with DTR 4.3 of the FSA
Handbook.
This interim management statement has been produced solely to
provide additional information to shareholders as a body to meet
the relevant requirements of the UK Listing Authority's Disclosure
and Transparency Rules. It should not be relied upon by any other
party or for any other purpose.
This interim management statement relates to the period from 1
October 2010 to 31 December 2010, and contains information that
covers this period, and up to the date of publication of this
interim management statement.
The Fund seeks to achieve medium to long-term capital
appreciation through investments, principally in equities, listed
on the Egyptian Stock Exchanges (EGX). The fund's investment
strategy is to invest in undervalued assets with a tangible
discount to their fair value on a relative basis.
Highlights:
Over the 3 month period from 1 October 2010 to 31 December
2010:
-- The Fund's net asset value (NAV) grew by 8.52% to US$33.72 compared to
an increase of 6.24% in the benchmark index (IFC Investable
Egypt in
USD).
-- During the same period the Fund's share price fell by 2.73%.
-- By the end of the quarter, the Fund was trading at a -13.8% discount
compared to a discount of -3.83% the previous quarter.
Politics was the key word in the Egyptian market during the
fourth quarter of 2010 as the country went to the polling stations
to elect a new parliament in November. Despite claims of foul play
by the opposition, the elections saw the confirmation of the ruling
national Democratic Party in power with over 90% of the seats. A
late rally in the quarter helped the market to end the quarter in
positive territory.
While the rally coincided with the end of the election, it was
more related to a rally in the emerging markets at large that left
Egyptian equities trading at a discount to emerging markets.
Third quarter earnings reports provided a mixed picture as some
market leaders like CIB and OCI were slightly on the disappointing
side while others like Orascom Telecom Holding, National Societe
Generale Bank and Palm HillsDevelopment results were above
expectations.
The macro picture remained largely unchanged with budget
deficit, current account, and CPI all being in line with
expectations. Core inflation (which excludes volatile and price
controlled items) and is the measure more closely followed by the
Central Bank, edged higher by the end of the year raising concerns
that the Central Bank might be inclined to tighten in 2011.
Long Term Performance (Annualized):
1-Year 3-Year 5-Year Inception
Net Asset Value +15.97% -8.61% +7.11% +10.38%
S&P IFCI Egypt +12.90% -12.47% +2.38% +6.60%
Top Ten Holdings:
31/12/10 30/9/10
National Société Générale Bank 6.60% 7.73%
Telecom Egypt 5.92% 6.23%
Egyptian Intl Pharma Industries Co 5.59% 6.33%
Orascom Construction Industries 5.42% 5.15%
Orascom Telecom Holding 4.90% 7.15%
Citadel Capital 4.61% 3.89%
Talaat Moustafa Group Holding 4.34% 4.81%
EFG-Hermes Holding 4.27% 3.99%
Alexandria Mineral Oils (AMOC) 3.87% 3.17%
Sidi Krir Petrochemicals 3.63% 3.55%
Sector Allocation
31/12/10 30/9/10
Financial 20.98% 21.33%
Real Estate 15.49% 13.59%
Materials 13.36% 14.37%
Telecom 12.89% 15.04%
Consumer Discretionary 7.85% 7.62%
Petrochemicals 7.51% 7.46%
Industrial 7.18% 6.76%
Healthcare 6.02% 7.18%
Other 8.72% 6.65%
Material Transactions and Events:
On 5 January 2011 the Fund announced that valid redemptions
requests representing 202,948 shares in the capital of the Fund had
been received in accordance with its quarterly redemption facility.
These shares were redeemed at a price of US$ 32.03 per share (net
of redemption fees).
On 25 January 2011, an anti-government demonstration demanding
the resignation of the Egyptian President, Hosni Mubarak, rocked
the entire country. On 28 January 2011, a curfew was announced in
four major cities including the capital Cairo. As a result, the
stock market remained closed from that date until the writing of
this report on 7 February 2011. As a consequence, on 4 February
2011, the Fund released an announcement to the market confirming
the Fund intended to defer publication of its weekly net asset
value until further notice. As at 27 January 2011, prior to the
close of the Egyptian Stock Exchange, the Fund reported a net asset
value of US$28.60 per share.
The Board of Directors is not aware of any other significant
events or transactions other than those previously disclosed, that
have occurred between 1 October 2010 and the date of this interim
management statement that would have a material impact on the
financial position or performance of the Company.
For further information please contact:
The Egypt Trust
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