CALGARY and HOUSTON, Oct. 25,
2018 /CNW/ - PetroTal Corp. ("PetroTal" or the
"Company") (TSX-V: TAL) is pleased to provide a summary of
the Company's reserves and prospective resources in the Bretaña
field in Northern Peru as of
June 30, 2018. Reserves and
prospective resources numbers presented herein were derived from an
independent assessment (the "NSAI Report") prepared by Netherland,
Sewell & Associates, Inc. ("NSAI"), a qualified reserves
evaluator as defined in National Instrument 51-101 - Standards
of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities ("NI 51-101"),
effective June 30, 2018. Unless
otherwise noted, all figures referred to in this press release are
denominated in U.S. Dollars. The figures in the following tables
have been prepared in accordance with the standards contained in
the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (the "COGE Handbook")
and the reserve definitions contained in NI 51-101.
Key Highlights for the Bretaña Field
- Proved + probable ("2P") reserves of 39.8 million barrels of
oil
- Proved + probable + possible ("3P") reserves of 79.3 million
barrels of oil
- Net present value discounted ten percent ("NPV-10") of
approximately $405 million for 2P
reserves and $996 million for 3P
reserves
Summary of Reserves
|
|
|
Heavy
Oil(1)
|
|
Gross
|
Net(2)
|
|
(Mbbl)
|
(Mbbl)
|
Proved
|
|
|
|
Developed
Producing
|
-
|
-
|
|
Developed
Non‑Producing
|
-
|
-
|
|
Undeveloped
|
15,271.0
|
15,271.0
|
Total Proved
(1P)
|
15,271.0
|
15,271.0
|
Total
Probable
|
24,488.3
|
24,488.3
|
Total Proved plus
Probable (2P)
|
39,759.3
|
39,759.3
|
Total
Possible(3)
|
39,522.7
|
39,522.7
|
Total Proved plus
Probable plus Possible (3P)
|
79,282.0
|
79,282.0
|
Notes:
|
(1)
|
The Company owns a
100% working interest in Block 95 and a 100% net revenue interest
in these properties.
|
(2)
|
Net reserves do not
include deductions for royalty expense for net oil volumes.
Government royalties are included in property and mineral
taxes.
|
(3)
|
Possible reserves are
those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered
than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the
quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the sum of
proved plus probable plus possible reserves.
|
Summary of Net Present Values of Future Net Revenue
|
|
|
Before Income
Tax
|
|
Discounted at
Various Rates
|
|
0%
|
5%
|
10%
|
15%
|
20%
|
Description
|
M$
|
M$
|
M$
|
M$
|
M$
|
Proved
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Producing
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
Developed
Nonproducing
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
|
Undeveloped
|
150,435.3
|
119,392.1
|
93,522.6
|
72,803.1
|
56,434.2
|
Total
Proved
|
150,435.3
|
119,392.1
|
93,522.6
|
72,803.1
|
56,434.2
|
Total
Probable
|
563,055.6
|
408,524.9
|
311,540.8
|
248,361.0
|
205,189.0
|
Total Proved
plus
Probable
|
713,490.9
|
527,917.0
|
405,063.4
|
321,164.1
|
261,623.1
|
Total
Possible
|
1,357,866.6
|
860,079.6
|
590,627.4
|
432,822.0
|
334,091.2
|
Total Proved
plus
Probable plus
Possible
|
2,071,357.4
|
1,387,996.6
|
995,690.8
|
753,986.1
|
595,714.4
|
Notes:
|
(1)
|
Utilizes NSAI's price
forecast as of June 30, 2018 as detailed below.
|
(2)
|
Future net revenue is
after deductions for the Company's share of royalty burdens,
capital costs, abandonment and reclamation costs and operating
expenses by before consideration of any Peruvian income
taxes.
|
(3)
|
It should not be
assumed that the undiscounted or discounted net present value of
future net revenue attributable to the Company's reserves estimated
by NSAI represent the fair market value of those reserves.
All future net revenues are estimated using forecast prices and
cost assumptions. There is no assurance that the forecast prices
and costs assumptions will be attained and variances could be
material. The recovery and reserve estimates of the Company's
reserves provided herein are estimates only and there is no
guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered.
Actual reserves may be greater than or less than the estimates
provided herein
|
Summary of Pricing and Inflation Rate Assumptions – Forecast
Prices and Costs
The forecast cost and price assumptions are based on Brent Crude
futures prices and are adjusted for quality, transportation fees
and market differentials. Crude oil benchmark reference
pricing, inflation and exchange rates utilized by NSAI in the NSAI
Report were NSAI's forecasts, as at June 30,
2018 as follows:
|
|
Period
Ending
|
Oil Price
($US/Bbl)
|
Forecast
|
|
12-31-2018
|
78.84
|
12-31-2019
|
75.08
|
12-31-2020
|
70.19
|
12-31-2021
|
66.53
|
12-31-2022
|
64.15
|
12-31-2023
|
62.58
|
12-31-2024
|
61.86
|
12-31-2025
|
61.83
|
Thereafter
|
Escalation Rate of 2%
on
January 1 of each year
|
Estimated future abandonment and reclamation costs related to a
working interest have been taken into account by NSAI in
determining reserves that should be attributed to a property and in
determining the aggregate future net revenue therefrom, there was
deducted the reasonable estimated future well abandonment and
reclamation costs. No allowance was made, however, for the
abandonment of any facilities. The forecast price and cost
assumptions assume the continuance of current laws and
regulations.
Future Development Costs
The following table sets forth development costs deducted in the
estimation of the Company's future net revenue attributable to the
reserve categories noted below:
|
|
|
Forecast
Development Costs (M$)
|
Year
|
Proved Reserves
|
|
Proved Plus Probable
Reserves
|
|
Proved Plus
Probable
Plus Possible Reserves
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2018
|
21,683.0
|
|
21,683.0
|
|
21,683.0
|
2019
|
46,356.2
|
|
66,645.7
|
|
66,645.7
|
2020
|
54,163.5
|
|
54,163.5
|
|
54,163.5
|
2021
|
68,762.6
|
|
108,312.5
|
|
108,312.5
|
2022-2027
|
-
|
|
52,355.0
|
|
198,764.8
|
Thereafter
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
Undiscounted
|
190,965.30
|
|
303,159.70
|
|
449,569.50
|
Future development costs are capital expenditures required in
the future for the Company to convert proved undeveloped reserves,
probable reserves and possible reserves to proved developed
producing reserves. The undiscounted development costs are
$191 million for proved reserves,
$303 million for proved plus probable
reserves and $450 million for proved
plus probable plus possible reserves (in each case based on
forecast prices and costs).
The Company expects to use a combination of internally generated
cash from operations, working capital and the issuance of new
equity or debt where and when it believes appropriate to fund
future development costs set out in the NSAI Report.
Summary of Prospective Resources
Gross (100%)
Prospective Oil Resources (MBBL)
|
|
|
|
Unrisked
|
|
|
Risked
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Block/Prospect/
Reservoir
|
Low
Estimate
(1C)
|
Best
Estimate
(2C)
|
High
Estimate
(3C)
|
Low
Estimate
(1C)
|
Best
Estimate
(2C)
|
High
Estimate
(3C)
|
Risk Factor
(%)
|
Block 95
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Envidia/Vivian
|
3.1
|
5.3
|
8.7
|
1.1
|
1.9
|
3.1
|
36
|
Notes:
|
|
(1)
|
The Company has a
100% working interest in Block 95.
|
(2)
|
All of the
prospective resources have been classified as heavy oil with a
gravity of 18.5 degrees API. There is uncertainty that it will be
commercially viable to produce any portion of the resources in the
event that it is discovered.
|
(3)
|
"Unrisked Prospective
Resources" are 100% of the volumes estimated to be recoverable from
the field in the event that it is discovered and
developed.
|
(4)
|
NSAI has determined
that a 36% chance of discovery is appropriate for the prospective
resources based on an assessment of a number of criteria. See
"Presentation of Oil and Gas Information".
|
(5)
|
The volumes reported
here are "risked" in the sense that they have been adjusted for
chance of discovery.
|
Manolo Zuniga, President and
Chief Executive Officer, said:
"Our updated NSAI Report firmly underpins the PetroTal
investment case with an independent third party attributing proved
and probable reserves at the Bretaña oil field of 39.8 million
barrels. This is in line with the numbers presented earlier
this year when we announced our first reserves report.
Additionally, this is an important step in the process to list on
the London Stock Exchange's AIM market."
About PetroTal
PetroTal is a publicly-traded independent oil and gas
development and production company domiciled in Calgary, Alberta, focused on the development
of oil assets in Peru. The Company's management team has
significant experience in developing oil fields in Northern Peru and is focused on safely and
cost effectively developing and exploiting the Bretaña oil field in
Block 95 and to continue to evaluate the promising Osheki prospect
in Block 107.
Presentation of Oil and Gas Information
Prospective resources are the quantities of petroleum estimated,
as of a given date, to be potentially recoverable from undiscovered
accumulations by application of future development
projects.
Estimates of prospective resources included in this press
release relating to the Bretaña field are based upon the NSAI
Report.
The estimates of prospective resources provided in this press
release are estimates only and there is no guarantee that the
estimated prospective resources will be discovered. If
discovered, there is no certainty that it will be commercially
viable to produce any portion of the prospective resources
evaluated. Not only are such prospective resources estimates based
on that information which is currently available, but such
estimates are also subject to uncertainties inherent in the
application of judgmental factors in interpreting such information.
Prospective resources should not be confused with those quantities
that are associated with contingent resources or reserves due to
the additional risks involved. Because of the uncertainty of
commerciality and the lack of sufficient exploration drilling, the
prospective resources estimated herein cannot be classified as
contingent resources or reserves. The quantities that might
actually be recovered, should they be discovered and developed, may
differ significantly from the estimates herein.
The prospective resources estimates that are referred to herein
are risked as to chance of discovery. Risks that could impact the
chance of discovery include, without limitation, geological
uncertainty, political and social issues, and availability of
capital.
In general, the significant factors that may change the
prospective resources estimates include further delineation
drilling, which could change the estimates either positively or
negatively, future technology improvements, which would positively
affect the estimates, and additional processing capacity that could
affect the volumes recoverable or type of production.
Additional facility design work, development plans, reservoir
studies and delineation drilling is expected to be completed by
PetroTal in accordance with its long-term resource development
plan.
The following classification of prospective resources is used in
the press release:
- Low Estimate (or 1C) means there is at least a 90 percent
probability (P90) that the quantities actually recovered will equal
or exceed the low estimate.
- Best Estimate (or 2C) means there is at least a 50 percent
probability (P50) that the quantities actually recovered will equal
or exceed the best estimate.
- High Estimate (or 3C) means there is at least a 10 percent
probability (P10) that the quantities actually recovered will equal
or exceed the high estimate.
This press release contains oil and gas metrics, including
"future development costs", which do not have standardized meanings
or standard methods of calculation and therefore such measures may
not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies. Such
metrics have been included herein to provide readers with
additional measures to evaluate the Company's performance; however,
such measures are not reliable indicators of the future performance
of the Company and future performance may not compare to the
performance in previous periods. Future development costs are
calculated as the sum of development capital plus the change in
future development costs for the period.
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains forward-looking statements and
forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable
securities laws. The use of any of the words "expect",
"anticipate", "continue", "estimate", "may", "will", "should",
"believe", "plans", "intends" and similar expressions are intended
to identify forward-looking information or statements. More
particularly and without limitation, this press release contains
forward looking statements and information concerning the
PetroTal's business strategy, objectives, strength and focus and
the proposed listing on the London Stock Exchange's AIM market.
Statements related to reserves and prospective resources are deemed
to be forward-looking statements and forward-looking information as
they involve the implied assessment, based on certain estimates and
assumptions, that the reserves and prospective resources can be
profitably produced in the future. Specifically, forward-looking
information contained herein regarding reserves and prospective
resources may include estimated volumes of reserves and prospective
resources.
The forward-looking statements are based on certain key
expectations and assumptions made by the Company, including, but
not limited to, expectations and assumptions concerning the ability
of existing infrastructure to deliver production and the
anticipated capital expenditures associated therewith, reservoir
characteristics, recovery factor, exploration upside, prevailing
commodity prices and the actual prices received for PetroTal's
products, the availability and performance of drilling rigs,
facilities, pipelines, other oilfield services and skilled labour,
royalty regimes and exchange rates, the application of regulatory
and licensing requirements, the accuracy of PetroTal's geological
interpretation of its drilling and land opportunities, current
legislation, receipt of required regulatory approval, the success
of future drilling and development activities, the performance of
new wells, the Company's growth strategy, general economic
conditions, availability of required equipment and services and
prevailing commodity prices.
Although the Company believes that the expectations and
assumptions on which the forward-looking statements are based are
reasonable, undue reliance should not be placed on the
forward-looking statements because the Company can give no
assurance that they will prove to be correct. Since forward-looking
statements address future events and conditions, by their very
nature they involve inherent risks and uncertainties. Actual
results could differ materially from those currently anticipated
due to a number of factors and risks. These include, but are not
limited to, risks associated with the oil and gas industry in
general (e.g., operational risks in development, exploration and
production; delays or changes in plans with respect to exploration
or development projects or capital expenditures; the uncertainty of
reserve estimates; the uncertainty of estimates and projections
relating to production, costs and expenses; and health, safety and
environmental risks), commodity price and exchange rate
fluctuations, legal, political and economic instability in
Peru, access to transportation
routes and markets for the Company's production, changes in
legislation affecting the oil and gas industry and uncertainties
resulting from potential delays or changes in plans with respect to
exploration or development projects or capital expenditures. Please
refer to the risk factors identified in the Company's annual
information form and management's discussion and analysis for the
year ended December 31, 2017 which
are available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. The forward-looking
statements contained in this press release are made as of the date
hereof and the Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly
or revise any forward-looking statements or information, whether as
a result of new information, future events or otherwise, unless so
required by applicable securities laws.
FOFI Disclosure
This press release contains future-oriented financial
information and financial outlook information (collectively,
"FOFI") about PetroTal's prospective results of operations, future
production and NPV-10 which are subject to the same assumptions,
risk factors, limitations and qualifications as set forth in the
above paragraphs. FOFI contained in this press release was made as
of the date of this press release and was provided for the purpose
of providing further information about PetroTal's anticipated
future business operations. PetroTal disclaims any intention or
obligation to update or revise any FOFI contained in this press
release, whether as a result of new information, future events or
otherwise, unless required pursuant to applicable law. Readers are
cautioned that the FOFI contained in this press release should not
be used for purposes other than for which it is disclosed herein.
All FOFI contained in this press release complies with the
requirements of Canadian securities legislation, including NI
51-101.
Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its Regulation
Services Provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the
TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or
accuracy of this press release.
This press release is for information purposes only and is
not intended to and does not constitute, or form part of, any offer
or invitation to purchase, subscribe for or otherwise acquire or
dispose of, or any solicitation to purchase or subscribe for or
otherwise acquire or dispose of, any securities in the capital of
the Company.
SOURCE PetroTal Corporation