2nd UPDATE: Heavy Corporate Bond Supply As Investors Crave Yield
March 09 2010 - 12:16PM
Dow Jones News
Another robust round of corporate bond sales were on tap
Tuesday, following the fresh $12 billion in new issues sold a day
earlier. As the economy continues to improve, companies are keen to
take advantage of still-low borrowing costs and investors are all
too happy to pick up investments offering higher yields than other
securities.
Swiss pharmaceutical giant Novartis AG (NVS) said it would offer
$4 billion of senior notes with proceeds earmarked for general
corporate purposes and to finance its acquisition of a 52% stake in
eye-care products maker Alcon from Nestle SA (NSRGY, NESN.VX),
according to the deal's prospectus.
Preliminary price guidance suggests a risk premium of 57 basis
points over Treasurys for the three-year piece, 67 basis points for
the five-year tranche and 80 basis points for the 10-year maturity.
Novartis' 5.125% due 2019 recently traded at 67 basis points over
Treasurys, according to MarketAxess.
Novartis Securities Investment Ltd. and Novartis Capital Corp.
last sold a combined $5 billion in bonds on Feb. 4, 2009, according
to Dealogic. Novartis AG served as the issuer parent.
A request seeking comment from Novartis wasn't immediately
answered.
"We expect high-grade new issue supply to accelerate from $15
billion, priced in the first week of March, to $20 billion to $25
billion this week, as issuers access the market after the earnings
season," according to Hans Mikkelsen at Bank of America Merrill
Lynch. He said that strong demand is also supporting higher supply
volumes.
There is "massive demand for IG cash," said Lindsey Spink, an
investment grade trader at AXA. Most new issues are
oversubscribed.
Other deals on offer include Amgen Inc.'s (AMGN) $1 billion
bonds, American Honda Finance's $1 billion issue, Anadarko
Petroleum Corp.'s (APC) $750 million 30-year note and Royal Bank of
Scotland Group PLC's (RBS, RBS.LN) benchmark-sized five-year issue.
Denmark's largest bank, Danske Bank (DANSKE.KO), is priming its
benchmark-sized five-year offering in the private placement Rule
144a market.
Real estate investment trust ProLogis (PLD) is also readying its
benchmark-sized offering of 10-year senior notes in order to pay
down its debt.
Smaller offerings from Georgia Power Co. and Transalta Corp.
(TAC, TA.T) are also on tap Tuesday.
In the high yield market, smaller deals have been in vogue for
the past several days, punctuated by an occasional larger issue,
such as MGM Mirage's $845 million offering of senior secured
10-year notes, announced on Monday.
Also on Monday, Building Materials came to market with $325
million in 10-year notes, and Sonic Automotive said it would sell
$210 million of 8-year notes.
A slowdown in new junk bond supply in the second half of
February has led to a buildup of investor cash, and several new
bonds that priced in the first week of March were heavily
oversubscribed and traded higher by two points or more in the
secondary market, noted Wes Sparks, head of U.S. fixed income at
Schroders.
"There are few deals in the road show process right now, but the
new issue shadow pipeline is believed to be large," Sparks wrote in
a note this week. "We would expect supply to pick up as the market
tone improves further."
Reasons for the slew of new paper gracing the corporate primary
markets vary, but improved sentiment is apparent.
"The reason is straightforward--there is a measured response to
the calm in the market relating back to concerns over Greece," said
Scott MacDonald, director of research at Aladdin Capital Holdings
in Stamford, Conn. "There is a cautious perception that sovereign
risk has been somewhat reduced and this gives investors a chance to
return to the market."
To be sure, European credit markets began the week on the right
foot, with Greece's credit default swaps trading at 290 basis
points, a considerable improvement from a 400 basis point level
seen in early February, according to Gavan Nolan, vice president of
research at Markit. As overseas governments including Greece and
Portugal continue to find their fiscal footing, investor concern
has lessened and risk has taken a back seat to yield pick-up.
"All in yields are extremely low, spreads are relatively
attractive and almost everyone expects rates to move higher
eventually," according to Tom Murphy, sector leader and portfolio
manager at RiverSource Investments in Minneapolis. He said the only
debate seems to be about when rates will begin to move higher.
"With corporate America seemingly more sanguine about their
business prospects, why not borrow to invest for growth?" Murphy
said.
Guy LeBas, chief fixed-income strategist at Janney Capital
Markets in Philadelphia said the tone in the corporate market is
"good" and pointed out that deals sold on Monday have also
performed well in the secondary market.
DirecTV Group Inc.'s (DTV) 3.50% issue due 2015 is currently bid
10 basis points better to 110 basis points over Treasurys,
according to one NY-based bond trader.
-By Kellie Geressy-Nilsen, Dow Jones Newswires; 212-416-2226;
kellie.geressy@dowjones.com
(Anusha Shrivastava, Prabha Natarajan and Michael Aneiro also
contributed to this report.)
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