Despite selling its transmission and distribution business for
EUR4.1 billion, French state-controlled nuclear engineering Areva
SA (CEI.FR) still needs billions more of funding to realize its
substantial expansion program.
And to come up with the EUR7 billion or so of additional money
for investment, Areva may have to sell more of its family silver,
possibly as soon as 2010.
"Financing remains an issue," SGCIB's analyst Gael de Bray said.
He rates Areva at hold. "Though the EUR4.1 billion sale of T&D
should help," the analyst added.
Areva has budgeted around EUR2.6 billion annually for capital
expeditures in 2010-2012, as it pushes its leading-edge
Evolutionary Pressurized Reactor, or EPR, into markets around the
world, Chief Executive Anne Lauvergeon told analysts earlier this
week.
The company is aiming to sell around 50 of its EPR reactors
globally.
Areva is surfing on a swelling wave of renewed interest in clean
nuclear energy in an era of environmental awareness. Currently, 30
countries are operating nuclear plants and 43 more are considering
a civil nuclear programme, according to Lauvergeon.
Despite some teething problems with the technology, 11 utilities
around the world have selected the EPR. These include Germany's
E.ON AG's (EONA.XE) U.K.-based operations, China's CGNPC, France's
Electricite de France (EDF.FR) and GDF Suez (GSZ.FR), India's
state-owned NPCIL, Finland's TVO, U.S.-based Constellation Energy
Inc (CEG) and Italy's Enel (ENE.MI).
The group also plans to expand in other green energies, such as
wind power and biomass, and is working on nuclear plants' life
extension.
The EPR's introduction hasn't been smooth. Beyond industrial
investment, Areva faces substantial cost overruns related to its
delayed reactor program in Finland, where it is buiding its first
EPR.
The overruns will add to Areva's financing needs. Areva has
booked EUR2.3 billion of charges to cover potential exposure to the
Finnish Olkiluoto project. The contract's initial value to Areva
was EUR3 billion, and the on-going feud between Areva and its
customer TVO could mean even more cost charges, CM-CIC's analyst
Patrice Lambert de Diesbach said. He rates Areva at hold.
A further drain on its pocketbook is Areva's need to buy out
Germany's Siemens AG (SI), which decided at the start of the year
to exercise a put option and walk away from its tie-up in Areva's
nuclear power unit Areva NP. Siemens' 34% stake in Areva NP is
worth around EUR2 billion, according to analysts' estimate.
Areva was forced by the French State, which directly and
indirectly controls 93% of it, to sell T&D in order to
contribute to the company's estimated EUR11 billion medium-term
investment plan.
The company this week entered exclusive talks with a consortium
comprising French engineering firm Alstom SA (ALO.FR) and electric
equipment maker Schneider Electic SA (SU.FR), which is paying
EUR2.29 billion outright for the unit, while agreeing to take on
T&D's debt worth another EUR1.8 billion.
But the sale of T&D alone "shouldn't be sufficient to ensure
a healthy balance sheet, which is crucial to underpinning customer
confidence given the long-term nature of the nuclear business," de
Bray stressed.
Under the firm direction of French President Nicolas Sarkozy's
government, Areva is planning a capital increase reserved to
industrial investors and possibly foreign funds, that will open up
around 15% of its capital. After the issue, the government's stake
would fall to around 77%.
Lauvergeon has called on the government to sell 30% of the
company through a public offering.
And the advent of the global economic crisis may just help her
out, according to CM-CIC's Lambert de Diesbach, as the
cash-strapped government itself is faced with the need to fund its
economic recovery and rising social welfare costs. The more the
government sells, the more independent Areva -and its strong-willed
chief executive- could become.
Meantime, Areva is considering selling its 26.08% stake in
French nickel producer Eramet SA (ERA.FR) and its 11.36% in
Swiss-based semiconductor maker STMicroelectronics (STM).
No timetable for such cash-raising operations has been set. But
according to a person familiar with the matter, the share sale
could take place late March or April next year.
Areva declined to comment.
Formed from the merger -masterminded by Lauvergon- of several
publicly owned nuclear sector entities in 2001, the company has
come under criticism and faces some questioning about its role in
France's nuclear ambitions and whether it is suited in its current
form to cement a role as the world's leading nuclear engineering
group.
The French government has appointed an ad-hoc working group,
headed by former EDF CEO Francois Roussely, to think about the
nuclear industry's -and Areva's- prospects.
Henri Proglio, the outspoken and politically influential new
chief executive of EDF, the world's largest operator of nuclear
power plants, earlier this month suggested Areva should be
dismantled, with State-controlled EDF absorbing its nuclear
assets.
- By Geraldine Amiel, Dow Jones Newswires; +331 40171740;
geraldine.amiel@dowjones.com;
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