Goldman Sachs Starts Coverage Of 4 Brazilian Food Companies
March 23 2010 - 9:27AM
Dow Jones News
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) started coverage on four Brazilian
food companies on the companies' increasing global importance, it
said Tuesday in a research report for its clients.
"While China sets the global demand pace for food, control of
much supply is now in Brazil. As in many other agricultural
products, Brazil is also moving from price taker to global price
setter. Despite its growing relevance, Brazil's sector stocks have
been overlooked, and not all analysis has kept up with their new
importance," Goldman Sachs said in the report.
Goldman Sachs started the coverage of Brazil's JBS S.A
(JBSS3.BR), the world's largest beef producer, and meat packer
BRF-Brasil Foods SA (BRFS3.BR, BRFS), both with a neutral
recommendation.
"We are neutral on Brasil Foods until synergies start flowing.
For JBS, we would wait for more visibility on its intended public
offerings. Both stocks could look good in 2011, but we see risk of
bad news before then," it said.
Brasil Foods was created last year through a merger of the
country's two largest meat packers, Perdigao SA and Sadia SA.
Earlier this month, JBS announced plans to hold a primary and
secondary offer of shares on the Sao Paulo Stock Exchange, or
BMFBovespa.
"Despite an attractive long-run scenario, we are nervous in the
near term as; Supply of live cattle is tight and competition
between meat packers for supply should pressure beef margins; Grain
price inflation will likely hurt pork and poultry profitability;
Exports for poultry and pork remain weak, and; Companies have many
recent acquisitions to digest," Goldman Sachs said.
Goldman Sachs initiated the coverage for shares of local
meatpacker Minerva SA (BEEF3.BR) with a buy recommendation, while
it initiated coverage of shares of Marfrig SA (MRFG3.BR) with a
sell rating.
"We find Marfrig's 2010 guidance stretched, with risk to
first-half results. The most serious challenges come from the
integration of its latest acquisition, Seara, in our view. Minerva,
at the other extreme, seems exempt from most headwinds, selling
only beef and with capacity well-matched to supply," it said.
-By Rogerio Jelmayer, Dow Jones Newswires; 5511-2847-4521;
rogerio.jelmayer@dowjones.com
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