Elon Musk's China Factory--Now a Field, Soon a Plant--Aims to Pump Out Its First Tesla This Year
January 07 2019 - 8:23AM
Dow Jones News
By Trefor Moss
SHANGHAI-- Tesla Inc. started construction of its new China
factory, the first wholly foreign-owned car plant in the country
and crucial to the Californian electric-auto maker's goal to scale
up production.
With the ceremonial groundbreaking at the plant east of Shanghai
on Monday, Tesla now faces a race to start local production to take
advantage of robust demand for electric vehicles in the world's
biggest auto market.
Chief Executive Elon Musk was on hand at the 210-acre site to
press a button to "switch on" the plant, which at the moment is a
field. Mr. Musk said he aims to build the plant "in record time."
Initial production of the Model 3 could start by the end of the
year, he said, with the factory "achieving volume production next
year."
In China, Tesla has the opportunity to rev up, capitalizing on
the government's support for electric vehicles and well-to-do
Chinese car-buyers who are captivated by Tesla's technology and
enamored of Mr. Musk's entrepreneurial risk-taking. At the same
time, the plant is a costly gambit, some analysts said, especially
if production delays pile up.
"It makes sense for Tesla to commit fully to becoming a leading
EV brand in the world's largest EV market," said Bill Russo, chief
executive of Shanghai-based consulting firm Automobility.
Tesla was the first foreign auto maker to take advantage of a
recent rule change allowing foreigners to own their China business,
instead of having to work with Chinese partners as previously
required. That is a gamble, Mr. Russo said. "It will take billions
of dollars to build a new footprint in China," he said. "As 100%
owner, this burden falls on Tesla."
Sales for electric vehicles in China are thriving, topping 1
million for the first time last year, helped by government
subsidies and other favorable policies. But the overall auto market
is projected to have recorded an annual decline in sales last year
for the first time in almost three decades, raising questions about
the timing of Tesla's move.
China is central to Telsa's aim of graduating from niche startup
to mainstream global auto maker. Tesla's existing plant in Fremont,
Calif., is ramping up to produce 500,000 annual capacity. The
Shanghai plant is designed to make another 500,000 cars annually--a
massive step up for a company that sold fewer than 14,000 cars in
China in the first nine months of 2018, according to LMC
Automotive, which tracks the auto market. The plant will build the
Model 3, and the yet-to-be-launched Model Y small crossover.
Tesla has poured resources into China even as President Trump
piles pressure on U.S. auto makers such as General Motors Co. to
manufacture more at home and less overseas. The trade fight between
Washington and Beijing, however, has accelerated Tesla's plans for
local Chinese manufacturing to reduce its vulnerability to trade
disruption.
As the U.S. and China placed tariffs on each other's goods,
Tesla's retail prices in China have yo-yoed. The company raised
prices in line with China's imposition of a 25% tariff on U.S.
autos in July, and then lowered them after its sales slumped,
accepting a lower profit margin in return for restoring sales
volume.
Tesla said last month it would cut prices again after China
suspended its 25% tariff as part of a truce to try to end the trade
dispute. A delegation of Trump administration officials opened two
days of talks in Beijing on Monday to explore possible routes to a
deal. If no deal is struck, the 25% tariff is supposed to be
reimposed at the start of April.
Even without the trade penalties, imported Teslas still incur
the 15% tariff that China levies on all foreign-built autos. Local
production would enable Tesla to bypass the tariff entirely and
reduce prices further in pursuit of volume sales. All of the major
global auto makers build locally in China for that reason.
Being the first to go it alone will make Tesla a bellwether in
the Chinese auto sector, as other companies weigh the costs and
benefits of sticking with their established joint-venture
partnerships.
Having control isn't likely to free Tesla from China's onerous
bureaucracy nor safeguard its intellectual property, Mr. Russo
warned. "Chinese authorities will likely try to influence
everything from how Tesla stores customer data to its local
supplier selections," he said.
Write to Trefor Moss at Trefor.Moss@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 07, 2019 08:08 ET (13:08 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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