For Immediate
Release
Chicago, IL – May 16, 2012 – Today,
Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights Features: Market
Vectors Indonesia Index ETF (IDX) and iShares MSCI
Indonesia Investable Market Index Fund
(EIDO).
Indonesia: The New
Rising Star of Asia
Emerging markets are an important
part of the global economy and increasingly significant
contributors to the global growth. Their high return potential and
low correlation with the developed markers are main reasons why
they should be a part of any diversified investment portfolio.
Most investors think about China
and India when planning to invest in emerging Asian countries and
many investors already have some exposure to these giant nations.
Further, with both these countries facing significant headwinds
currently, it is time that the investors take a serious took at
some of new rising countries in that region. Indonesia is one such
country which offers solid growth potential for future. (Read:
India ETFs: Trouble On The Horizon?)
Indonesia was one of the worst
suffers of the Asian currency crisis in 1997-98. The country has
since transitioned from a dictatorship riddled with corruption and
inefficiency to a democracy on the path of fast growth driven by
significant market reforms.
The economy has grown at an annual
rate exceeding 5% in seven of the past eight years, mainly due to
increasing consumption by the rising middle class. The country now
has a population of more than 240 million, behind only China, India
and the U.S. (Read: Time to Buy the Singapore ETFs)
Foreign exchange reserves have
risen to $110.5 billion (as of March 2012) from about $20 billion
in mid 1997. Thus the currency, (which had declined about sevenfold
during the crisis) has become much more stable with the central
bank willing to defend it using reserves. At the same time, the
external debt has declined from over 150% of GDP in 1998 to 26.7%
of GDP in 2011.
Indonesia was one of the very few
countries which had a positive stock market performance in 2011.
Its bond market was the best performer in Asia last year. (Read:
Why Colombia ETFs May Continue to Rise)
The economy is expected to grow at
6.1% and 6.6% respectively in 2012 and 2013 (per IMF) after an
impressive 6.5% growth in 2011. GDP for Q1 grew 6.3%
year-over-year, which while slightly down from the 6.5% growth
recorded in the previous quarter, is still one of the highest
growth rates in the world.
Rising domestic demand in the
country is able to offset the weaker export demand. 65% of the GDP
is domestic consumption driven in the Southeast Asia’s largest
economy and thus the economy remains much less exposed to global
economic headwinds.
Foreign direct investment has been
rising. During the first quarter, the country attracted $5.6
billion in FDI (up 30%), which seems to be in-line with the
government’s target of attracting $22.4 billion in FDI this year,
18% higher than last year.
Moody’s and Fitch have recently
upgraded the credit rating of the country to investment grade.
Looking at the negative side of the
story-Inflation has been creeping up towards 6% and fiscal
consolidation is the main solution in containing inflation
(difficult task due to massive fuel subsidies). Corruption and poor
infrastructure remain some of the main hurdles to faster
growth.
Last week, the central bank left
the key rate unchanged at a record low of 5.75% for the third
straight month, after having cut the rate by 25 bps earlier this
year and by 50 bps late last year.
The investors currently have a
choice of two ETFs which provide exposure to the broader Indonesian
economy.
Market Vectors
Indonesia Index ETF (IDX)
IDX seeks to track Market Vectors
Indonesia Index, which provides exposure to publicly traded
companies that are domiciled and listed in Indonesia or generate at
least 50% of their revenues in Indonesia. The fund currently
manages $508.9 million in assets and holds 43 securities.
Van Eck recently cut the expense
ratio to 57 bps from 60 bps earlier. In terms of sector exposure,
financials are at the top with 30.2% weight, followed by energy
(15.1%) and consumer staples (13.6%). The ETF has returned 48.4% to
the investors since its inception. The fund's annual dividend yield
is 1.57%.
iShares MSCI Indonesia
Investable Market Index Fund (EIDO)
EIDO tracks the MSCI Indonesia
Investable Market Index, which is designed to measure the
performance of stocks in the top 99% by market cap of the stocks
listed in Indonesia.
The ETF holds $238.8 million in 87
securities and is thus must more diversified than IDX. However,
like IDX, this fund also has largest allocation to financials
(31.5%), and the next two are consumer discretionary (16.8%) and
consumer staples (12.2%). The fund charges 59 bps and has risen
16.7% since inception.
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