Soybeans Down as Weather Outlook Spurs More Selling - Daily Grain Highlights
May 25 2022 - 4:03PM
Dow Jones News
By Kirk Maltais
--Soybeans for July delivery fell 0.7% to $16.81 a bushel on the
Chicago Board of Trade Wednesday as funds continued to sell on a
positive weather outlook for U.S. farmers.
--Wheat for July delivery fell 0.6% to $11.48 1/4 a bushel.
--Corn for July delivery rose 0.1% to $7.72 1/4 a bushel.
HIGHLIGHTS
The Right Stuff: The weather outlook going forward for the week
is favorable for U.S. farmers. "Rain increases for the Midwest
through the end of the workweek before drying down this weekend,"
said Terry Reilly of Futures International in a note. "That should
favor recently planted spring grains." Earlier this week, the USDA
reported that 72% of US corn has been planted, with 50% of soybeans
planted and 49% of spring wheat planted. While all three are below
the usual rate of planting, it's a large improvement from delays
earlier this month.
Open to Talk: Indications from the Russian government that it
may be willing to reopen Ukrainian ports for food shipments in
return for the easing of sanctions were also a pressure point for
grains. "This had been something that had been floated by people in
recent weeks but this is the first time Russia had really commented
on the matter," said Richard Buttenshaw of Marex in a note. "As is
the case though, Russia is not particularly in the generous mood
right now, so it does not come without conditions that really may
be hard to meet."
Taking the Opportunity: End users of U.S. grains were
instrumental in CBOT futures paring early-day losses late in the
trading session. "Funds are sizable early net sellers, but end
users are finally getting their chance to extend forward coverage
into July/August," said AgResource in a note, adding that soybean
crushers, ethanol grinders and wheat importers are examples of end
users taking advantage of the dip.
INSIGHTS
Potential to Drop: Grain traders surveyed by The Wall Street
Journal this week are forecasting a potential drop-off in new
export sales of grains. Corn sales are expected to total from
400,000 metric tons to 1 million tons, versus 1.02 million tons
reported last week. Soybean sales are seen between 400,000 tons to
1.3 million tons, versus 902,200 tons last week. Wheat is expected
to total between 150,000 tons to 500,000 tons, versus 334,100 tons
last week. This week's report comes amid increased focus on U.S.
export demand by traders, with China and Brazil reaching a deal to
lock in more South American corn exports.
Hitting the High End: Daily production of U.S. ethanol through
the past week rose to the high-end of analyst expectations. The EIA
said daily U.S. ethanol production hit a rate of 1.014 million
barrels per day for the week ended May 20. That's the upper-end of
expectations, with analysts surveyed by Dow Jones this week
forecasting production anywhere from 980,000 barrels per day to
1.014 million barrels per day.
AHEAD:
-Sanderson Farms Inc. will release its second-quarter earnings
report on Thursday.
--The USDA will release its weekly export sales report at 8:30
a.m. ET Thursday.
--The CFTC will release its weekly commitment of traders report
at 3:30 p.m. ET Friday.
Write to Kirk Maltais at kirk.maltais@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
May 25, 2022 15:48 ET (19:48 GMT)
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