Expansion of Manufacturing Activity in Philly Fed's District Slows in July
July 16 2020 - 9:31AM
Dow Jones News
By Xavier Fontdegloria
Manufacturing activity in the U.S. Third Federal Reserve
District expanded in July for second consecutive month, albeit at a
slower pace than in June, data from the Federal Reserve Bank of
Philadelphia's Manufacturing Business Outlook survey showed
Thursday.
The diffusion index for current general activity decreased to
24.1 in July from the 27.5 level registered in June. The reading is
slightly above economists' forecasts in a Dow Jones Newswires poll,
which estimated the index to be at 20.0.
The survey polls manufacturers in the Third Federal Reserve
District -- which covers eastern Pennsylvania, southern New Jersey
and Delaware -- about the direction of change in overall business
activity and in various other measures at their plants.
Despite its lower reading compared with the previous month, the
index signals that overall manufacturing activity in the region is
expanding for a second straight month, after June's strong
rebound.
Manufacturing activity, however, is still below February's
pre-pandemic levels, when the diffusion index stood at 36.70.
"The survey's current indicators for general activity, new
orders and shipments showed positive readings for the second
consecutive month, coinciding with the phased reopening of the
economy in our region," the Philly Fed said. Survey responses were
collected from July 6 to July 13.
In July, the percentage of firms reporting increases in activity
(45.1%) far exceeded the percentage reporting decreases (21.1%),
albeit the margin decreased compared with June.
The index for new orders rose to 23.0 from 16.7, with nearly 47%
of the firms reporting increases. The current shipments index fell
10 points to 15.3.
Respondents reported increases in manufacturing employment
overall for the first time since the pandemic hit the region, as
the current employment index rose sharply to 20.1, the highest
reading since October, the Philly Fed said.
More than 29% of the companies polled reported increasing
employment levels, while 9.1% reported decreases. The vast majority
(61.6%) reported steady employment levels.
The inventories and the delivery times indexes swung to
contraction territory, data showed, suggesting shorter delivery
times.
The diffusion index for future general activity fell 30 points
from its June reading to 36.0, with roughly half of the firms
reporting increases this month, while 13% expected decreases in
activity over the next six months.
"The survey's future indexes suggest that respondents continue
to expect growth in manufacturing activity over the next six
months," the Philly Fed said.
Write to Xavier Fontdegloria at xavier.fontdegloria@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
July 16, 2020 09:16 ET (13:16 GMT)
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