TIDM51GC

RNS Number : 9367V

Affinity Sutton Capital Markets PLC

21 April 2016

AFFINITY SUTTON GROUP

QUARTERLY PERFORMANCE UPDATE

MARCH 2016

Overview

The Quarter to 31 March 2016 saw excellent performance across the Group and brought 2015/16 to a very positive conclusion. The property market finished the year strongly in London and the South East where most of our Build for Sale activity takes place. Our core profitability from social housing lettings remains very strong and is expected to exceed 40%. Some of the operating environment changes that the sector is facing have still not been concluded and we continue to monitor developments as they arise in terms of de-regulation, Voluntary Right-to-Buy and Pay-to-Stay amongst other things.

Financial Performance

Financial performance for the year was extremely strong, surpassing our expectations due in large part to very strong sales performance. At this stage figures quoted are based on management accounts which are subject to audit and further adjustments, for example in the area of pensions and investment property where third party valuations are in progress. This is also the first year of new accounting provisions under FRS102 and the Housing Statement of Recommended Practice (SORP) 2015, and work is ongoing to finalise figures under the new standards.

The management accounts report an annual net surplus of GBP141.6 million (2015: GBP126.2 million). This would be a record surplus for the Group and is GBP42 million ahead of budget due largely to a combination of better than forecast performance from Build for Sale, and interest rates falling inside our budget assumptions. The draft Balance Sheet showed Housing Fixed Assets at 31 March of GBP2.8 billion, up from GBP2.7 billion in 2015 reflecting strong development performance.

The 1 April 2016 1% reduction to regulated rents introduced by the Government last year triggered an Impairment Review of the carrying value of rented housing assets under the SORP. The management accounts include a provision for an impairment charge of GBP5 million, or 0.18% of the carrying value of the housing stock.

Strong cashflows from sales totalling GBP175.4 million, including returns from joint ventures, and with a margin on stock sold of 30% compared with a budget of 19%, contributed GBP53.0 million of the net surplus.

Liquidity (cash and undrawn facilities) increased in the quarter by around GBP74 million to finish March 2016 at GBP598 million. This improvement was primarily due to income from sales at The Lexicon, our joint venture at City Road in London, which was received during the last two months of the financial year. Over the course of the year debt levels reduced by GBP80 million to GBP1.22 billion, again in part due to strong sales performance, whilst loan facilities were enhanced by the extension of existing revolving credit facilities (RCFs) and the completion of a GBP75 million RCF with a new lender to the Group. At the year end facilities stood at GBP1.74 billion (2015: GBP1.65 billion).

During the last quarter, swap rates fell by around 50 bps which caused adverse mark-to-market movements on our interest rate swaps, although this is expected to have a very limited impact on our surplus because the instruments are considered to be effective hedges. These swaps are fully collateralised by property assets and at March 2016 there was GBP93 million of headroom covering swap losses, providing a significant buffer should swap rates fall any further.

Our internal matrix of financial "golden rules" were all met at the end of the year.

Operational Performance

Sales of property were extremely strong in the Quarter. In particular, sales at The Lexicon saw significant completions at the end of the Quarter. This seems in part to have resulted from the introduction of stamp duty changes on second properties at the start of April.

Completions of new homes totalled 912 by March (2015: 1,436), or 1,046 when the Group's share of development in joint ventures is included. This expected reduction against 2015 was largely a result of the end of the government's 2011/15 Affordable Homes Programme in the previous year. Total investment was GBP153 million, slightly under expected spend levels. The supply chain, in London and the South East particularly, has continued to prove challenging, with significant increases in build costs, and a challenging environment for the acquisition of land.

In the Quarter we entered into a joint venture with Galliford Try plc on a site in Wandsworth in central London. The scheme has a gross development value of GBP108 million and will see over 170 new homes built. Other schemes approved during the Quarter will create 462 new homes.

Operational performance in 2016 was consistently good and we expect to meet our target for customer satisfaction of 80%. In particular, customer handling and repairs all compare well to 2015. Arrears performance remains strong at 3.8% (2015: 3.7%). As highlighted in our December update, the one exception in the period is that our occupancy rate is marginally lower than target. We continue to focus on lettings performance and are actively letting as many empty properties as possible, utilising tenant incentives and new marketing campaigns to increase demand.

The strong performance of our new in-house repairs function continued right up to the year end, with both voids and day-to-day repairs now within target completion times at 10 days, and ahead of last year's levels under an outsourced contract (at 11 days and 15 days respectively). Overall satisfaction with repairs was strong at the period end at 89%.

Outlook

Our planned merger with Circle Housing Group will remain a key focus for us over the coming months as we work towards completion in the Summer. The second shadow board meeting is due to take place in the middle of May and will consider the new Group's first business plan in detail. After this we will prioritise meetings with funders and investors.

Nationally, the next Quarter is likely to be dominated by the European Referendum in June. The outcome could have significant consequences for our sector, particularly in terms of market volatility. With strong levels of liquidity Affinity Sutton does not expect to access the markets in the short term. However, given our planned merger with Circle, we will pay particular attention to the impact on the capital markets, particularly in the event of an "Out" vote.

From a sector perspective we expect the Housing and Planning Bill to have passed into law. This too is likely to have a material impact on housing associations, one which we believe will prove broadly positive in terms of our ability to meet our core social objectives, build new homes, and provide first rate services to our customers.

Disclaimer

The information contained herein (the "Trading Update") has been prepared by Affinity Sutton Group Limited (the "Parent") and its subsidiaries (the "Group"), including Affinity Sutton Capital Markets plc (the "Issuer") and is for information purposes only.

The Trading Update should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities issued by the Parent, the Issuer or any other member of the Group, or any interest in any such securities, and nothing herein should be construed as a recommendation or advice to invest in any such securities.

Statements in the Trading Update, including those regarding possible or assumed future or other performance of the Group as a whole or any member of it, industry growth or other trend projections may constitute forward-looking statements and as such involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results, performance or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, no assurance is given that such forward-looking statements will prove to have been correct. They speak only as at the date of the Trading Update and neither the Parent nor any other member of the Group undertakes any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future developments, occurrence of unanticipated events or otherwise.

None of the Parent, any member of the Group or anyone else is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in the Trading Update. The information in the Trading Update is subject to verification, does not purport to be comprehensive, is provided as at the date of the Trading Update and is subject to change without notice. No reliance should be placed on the information or any projections, targets, estimates or forecasts and nothing in the Trading Update is or should be relied on as a promise or representation as to the future. No statement in the Trading Update is intended to be a pro t estimate or forecast. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Parent, any other member of the Group or any of their respective directors, officers, employees, advisers, agents or any other persons as to the accuracy or validity of the information or opinions contained in the Trading Update (and whether any information has been omitted from the Trading Update). The Trading Update does not constitute legal, tax, accounting or investment advice.

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END

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April 21, 2016 07:49 ET (11:49 GMT)

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