RNS Number:4198I
Greggs PLC
07 March 2003


7 March 2003

                                   GREGGS plc
                              PRELIMINARY RESULTS
                      FOR THE YEAR ENDED 28 DECEMBER 2002

Greggs is the UK's leading retailer specialising in sandwiches, savouries and
other bakery products, with a particular focus on takeaway food and catering.
It has over 1,200 retail outlets throughout the UK, trading under the Greggs and
Bakers Oven brands.

*           Eleventh consecutive year of profit, earnings and dividend growth

*           Sales exceed #400 million and shop numbers over 1,200 for first time

*           Record pre-tax profit of #36.7 million - up 12.0 per cent (2001:
            #32.7 million)

*           Earnings per share up 8.0 per cent to 205.5 pence (2001: 190.2
            pence)

*           Dividends increased 11.5 per cent to 72.5 pence per share (2001:
            65.0 pence)

*           Like-for-like sales up 6.4 per cent - core volume up 3.6 per cent

*           Good progress by Greggs brand, now unified across UK

*           Record #42.1 million invested for future growth (2001: #27.4
            million)

*           First Continental shop opened in February 2003

*           Like-for-like sales in current year to date up 5.2 per cent

"Greggs is the market leader in a growing sector, with strong brands, proven
formats and exceptional people.  Despite further cost pressures we believe that
the Group is well placed to achieve another year of satisfactory progress in
2003."



                                                     - Derek Netherton, Chairman

ENQUIRIES:
Greggs plc               Mike Darrington, Managing Director
                         Malcolm Simpson, Financial Director
                         Tel:   020 7796 4133 on Friday, 7 March only, 0191 281 7721 thereafter

Hudson Sandler           Keith Hann / Wendy Baker
                         Tel:   020 7796 4133


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                              CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT

In my first report as Chairman, it is pleasing to note that continued
satisfactory progress during 2002 has made this the Group's eleventh consecutive
year of profit, earnings and dividend growth.  This success has been based above
all on a culture of putting people first that goes right back to Greggs' roots
as a family bakery.  Attentiveness to the needs of our employees and customers
has been the key to almost 40 years of successful expansion which have taken
Greggs from a single shop to a nationwide market leader with over 1,200.

Results

Sales in 2002 increased by 11.9 per cent to #422.6 million.  This included
like-for-like sales growth of 6.4 per cent, driven by continued strong demand
for takeaway food.

Operating profit increased by 11.8 per cent to #35.3 million, despite the
substantial increase in insurance costs that was experienced across the food and
retail sectors, and interest receivable rose by #0.2 million to #1.3 million.
Pre-tax profit advanced by 12.0 per cent to #36.7 million.  Basic earnings per
share were 205.5 pence, a rise of 8.0 per cent, reflecting an increase in the
Group's tax charge following the exhaustion of credits relating to prior years.

Dividend

The Board recommends a final dividend of 49.0 pence per share (2001: 44.0
pence), an increase of 11.4 per cent.  Together with the interim dividend of
23.5 pence, paid in October 2002, this makes a total for the year of 72.5 pence
(2001: 65.0 pence), a rise of 11.5 per cent.  The Board remains committed to a
progressive dividend policy which seeks to provide shareholders with increases
in their income broadly in line with the underlying growth of earnings per share
over the medium term.

Subject to the approval of the Annual General Meeting, the final dividend will
be paid on 23 May 2003 to shareholders on the register at 18 April 2003.

Business highlights

The Group traded satisfactorily throughout the year, with like-for-like sales
growth slowing as expected in the second half, as we encountered comparison with
the exceptionally strong performance achieved in the latter part of 2001.  The
Greggs brand maintained its good progress, with particularly strong performances
in the South East, Midlands and Scotland.  A year of record capital investment
saw us increase the pace of new shop openings, adding a net 58 stores to give a
total of 1,202 at the year end.  We also made substantial investments in
production facilities to support the growth of our retail operations. Mike
Darrington provides a more detailed commentary on these and other trading and
business development issues in his report on pages 4 - 9.

The Board

I succeeded Ian Gregg as Chairman on 2 August 2002, having joined the Board on 1
March.  I am delighted that Ian has agreed to remain on the Board as a
non-executive director for the time being, providing us with continued access to
his unequalled expertise.  We are seeking to add to the number of independent
non-executive directors on the Board.

People

I have greatly enjoyed getting to know Greggs and its people, visiting bakeries
and shops in many of the divisions since my appointment to the Board.  One
cannot fail to be impressed by the hard work and commitment that is shown by all
our staff, and also by the fact that they take pleasure as well as pride in what
they do.  The continued growth of the business directly reflects the efforts of
all our 17,524 employees and I would like to thank them on behalf of the Board
for their contribution to another successful year.

Prospects

Trading since the start of the new year has been satisfactory, with
like-for-like sales in the first nine weeks up 5.2 per cent.  Results to date
are in line with our budgets, and ahead of the comparable period last year.

Since the year end we have opened our first two shops outside the UK, at Leuven
and Antwerp in Belgium, and plan a controlled trial of the Greggs format in that
country which will involve a small number of additional openings in the months
ahead.  The main thrust of our expansion will continue to be in the UK where we
plan to add a further 45 new units, net of closures.  We will also make
significant further investments in UK manufacturing capacity, to keep pace with
our retail expansion.

Greggs is the market leader in a growing sector, with strong brands, proven
formats and exceptional people.  Despite further cost pressures we believe that
the Group is well placed to achieve another year of satisfactory progress in
2003.


                                                       Derek Netherton, Chairman
                                                                    7 March 2003


MANAGING DIRECTOR'S REPORT

This year we passed several important milestones, achieving turnover of over
#400 million for the first time and opening our 1,200th shop.  We also undertook
the preparatory work that permitted the opening of our first shop outside the UK
early in 2003.  We further refined the strategic mission and vision through
which we aim to achieve continued growth in the years ahead.  Ian Gregg stepped
down as Chairman of the Group in August after a remarkable 38 years of service.

Trading performance

As the Chairman has noted, the Group made satisfactory progress during the year.
We had anticipated from the outset that like-for-like sales growth would slow as
the year progressed, given the exceptionally strong performance achieved in the
second half of 2001.  Our expectations were duly met, with like-for-like sales
growth averaging 6.4 per cent over the year as a whole, comprising increases of
7.6 per cent in the first half (24 weeks) and 5.4 per cent in the second half.
The weather was more favourable in the first half than the second, but we would
consider it fairly average for our business over the year as a whole.  Lower
levels of consumer traffic on the high street in the run-up to Christmas are
also assumed to have contributed to slower like-for-like sales progress in the
final weeks of the year, when we achieved growth of just over 4 per cent.

Core volumes grew by 4.5 per cent in the first half and 2.9 per cent in the
second, making an increase of 3.6 per cent over the year as a whole.  Price
increases averaging 2.8 per cent over the year were again driven primarily by
product upgrades, though we also recovered cost increases in a number of areas
including wages and insurance, where our premiums rose by some #1.7 million or
82.0 per cent.

Including the benefit of new shop openings in the current and prior year, total
sales rose by 13.2 per cent in the first half and 11.0 per cent in the second,
making an overall increase of 11.9 per cent for the year.

Operating profit grew by 11.8 per cent to #35.3 million, net interest receivable
rose by #0.2 million to #1.3 million, and pre-tax profit increased by 12.0 per
cent to #36.7 million.

Greggs brand

The nine Greggs divisions remained the key drivers of Group sales and profits.
Like-for-like sales grew by 8.8 per cent in the first half and 6.6 per cent in
the second, including core volume uplifts of 6.1 and 4.3 per cent respectively.
This produced a like-for-like sales increase of 7.6 per cent for the year,
including core volume growth of 5.1 per cent.

The Enfield and Twickenham divisions, now combined as Greggs South East, again
made particularly pleasing progress, and Greggs of the Midlands also performed
strongly.  Greggs of Scotland, already our most profitable division, achieved
another record result.

Greggs of Cumbria, created during the year through the rebranding of our 50
Birketts shops in the Lake District and adjoining counties, responded positively
to the adoption of the new fascia.  This was the final phase of our programme to
create a single and cohesive Greggs brand nationwide.  We now have a strong
platform for the more unified promotion of the Greggs proposition and brand
across the UK, in which we will be assisted by the new advertising agency we
appointed during the year.

Bakers Oven brand

Like-for-like sales in the four Bakers Oven divisions grew by 3.8 per cent in
the first half and 1.8 per cent in the second, making a 2.7 per cent increase
over the year.  Core volume performance remained disappointing, declining by 0.4
per cent in the first half and 1.3 per cent in the second, and so averaging 0.9
per cent for the year.  There was a small reduction in Bakers Oven's
contribution to Group operating profit.

Bakers Oven South continued to make satisfactory progress during the year, but
the North and Scotland remained problematic.  We have made a number of
appointments to strengthen the management in these regions, including the
transfer of proven, senior people from the Greggs divisions.

Retail profile

In the light of their relative performances, we have naturally concentrated our
retail development programme on driving the successful Greggs brand, both by
extending its geographic reach and by converting existing units to our new and
more takeaway-focused shop format.

In total we opened 82 new shops during the year and closed 24, giving us a net
increase of 58 to 1,202 outlets by 28 December 2002.  This was slightly ahead of
our target.  There were 973 Greggs and 229 Bakers Oven shops at the year end,
compared with 905 and 239 respectively twelve months earlier.  We completed 58
comprehensive shop refurbishments and 17 minor refits during the year.

The combination of new openings and refurbishments gave us a total of 295 new
format Greggs stores at the year end, comprising 30 per cent of the chain,
compared with 19 per cent in December 2001.

Product profile

The well-established trend to takeaway food categories continued to drive our
sales across the Group, led by savouries and sandwiches and supported by
complementary products such as drinks.  Cakes and confectionery products again
remained fairly stable as a proportion of our trade, while the traditional
bakery staples such as bread and rolls continued to decline.

Strategic principles

Greggs plc has been built on simple principles: motivating and empowering people
to deliver enjoyable, value-for-money products and provide great customer
service.  Our key strategic principles are outlined in our Mission Statement,
and I am pleased to report that we made progress in each of our key target areas
during 2002.

'A Great Place to Work'.  We want our people to enjoy their work and to derive
real satisfaction from what they do.  A major employee opinion survey was
conducted in February 2002, the results of which were generally positive, and we
are working hard on the areas for improvement that it highlighted.  All our
managers across the Group are committed to building a positive culture that is
founded on simple values: being enthusiastic and supportive, open, honest and
appreciative, and treating everyone with fairness, consideration and respect.
360degrees feedback is being undertaken to monitor the effectiveness of our
approach, beginning with the executive directors and our most senior managers.

We aim to create the best possible working conditions for our people, and our
new shop formats are designed to improve standards for employees as well as
customers.  Similarly, we devise improvements in working practices, such as the
making of sandwiches, which are designed to make these everyday tasks more
enjoyable as well as more efficient.

Opportunities for personal development are provided as widely as possible, and
all our employees are encouraged to develop their leadership qualities and to
use their individual initiative, while adhering to the strict company-wide
policies that are necessary to ensure the safe preparation and handling of food.

During the year all of our most senior managers benefited from a visit to some
businesses in the USA which are considered world leaders in customer service and
in the creation of an environment and culture in which people can truly enjoy
their work.

Although we recognise that much remains to be done, we were pleased to achieve
recognition of our efforts to make working at Greggs an enjoyable experience
when we featured for the first time in the The Sunday Times 'The 100 best
companies to work for in the UK' survey, published in February 2003.

'Enjoyable Experience'.  The continuous introduction of new and improved
products is an important driver of like-for-like sales growth.  Development work
is undertaken both by our divisional teams and by the new Group Technical Centre
in Balliol Park, Newcastle upon Tyne.  Outstanding new products devised at
Balliol Park, and launched successfully across the Group in 2002, included a ham
and cheese bake and an egg and bacon breakfast savoury for Greggs, and a cheese
and onion crumble topped bake for Bakers Oven.  In addition, the centre houses
one of the world's most advanced laboratories for microbiological testing of
products and ingredients, equipped to provide exceptionally rapid results that
ensure our attainment of the highest possible standards of food safety.  During
the year this laboratory became the first such facility in the UK to be audited
to ensure compliance with the International Standard ISO 17025.

As well as monitoring the sales performance of each and every product line, we
also talk directly to our customers and listen to what they have to say.
Increasing investment in customer surveys is providing valuable feedback which
will ensure that the next generation of products and shops is even more
enjoyable and attuned to our customers' changing needs.

'Business Excellence'.  Listening to our employees and acting on their
suggestions is central to our philosophy.  Through effective two-way
communication, we will ensure that all our people understand our corporate goals
and can make a real contribution to their realisation.  This is backed by our
commitment to simplifying every area of the business as far as possible.  Best
practice in products and service standards is increasingly shared across the
business, aided by the research and development work undertaken at the Group
Technical Centre.  In parallel, we are placing ever increasing focus on the
development and promotion of our two distinct  national brands.  Systematic
targeting, benchmarking and progress measurement are all being pursued with
ever-increasing professionalism, to ensure the attainment of our long term
strategic objectives.

'Challenging Targets'.  We are striving to achieve a turnover of #1 billion by
the end of the current decade.  This will require not only the further expansion
of our shop base, to over 1,700 shops, but also the achievement of continued
like-for-like sales growth through our established outlets.  Everything we are
doing in the management of the business is designed to ensure that all our
people are working together towards these goals.  In the longer term, we see
potential for at least 2,000 shops under our existing brands in the UK, and have
already begun to examine the potential for our products and retail concepts on
the Continent.

'Caring for the Community'.  One of the founding principles of our business has
been a care for the communities in which we operate.  We have a long-standing
commitment to contributing in areas of deprivation, notably through the Greggs
Trust through which we channel the bulk of our charitable contributions, which
totalled #379,000 this year.  The Greggs Breakfast Clubs which featured in last
year's annual report have continued to expand successfully, and now operate in
over 40 primary schools.  We are determined to remain at the forefront in
exercising corporate responsibility not only in the social arena, but also in
our care and consideration for the environment.

Capital investment

Capital expenditure during 2002 was a record #42.1 million, comprising #18.4
million in new shops and refurbishments and #23.7 million in land, buildings and
plant including a substantial investment in a freehold site in west London for
the further development of our business in the South East.  We also invested
#3.5 million in a new cold store adjacent to our central savouries unit at
Balliol Park.  This new facility was completed on schedule and in line with our
budget, and has worked successfully to plan since it opened in October 2002.
Its provision has enabled us to improve the utilisation of our existing
savouries production capacity, increasing efficiency and effecting substantial
savings in external storage costs.  We are continuing to develop plans for the
construction of a second savouries unit to ensure that we have the facilities to
meet continuing strong demand for these products.

During 2003 we expect to invest around #40.0 million in the business, opening
some 45 new shops net of closures, continuing our rolling refurbishment
campaign, and adding to our production capacity in Enfield, Birmingham, Leeds,
Manchester and Edinburgh.

Cash flow and balance sheet

The strongly cash generative nature of the Group enabled us to fund our record
capital expenditure programme from our own resources, with only a small net cash
outflow during the year.  At 28 December 2002 we had net cash on the balance
sheet of #28.6 million, compared with #30.0 million at the end of 2001.

Continental Europe

Although Greggs has the potential to expand successfully in the UK for many
years to come, we feel that it is important to examine the scope for future
growth in other countries.  As previously outlined, we have therefore been
researching Continental markets for a number of years.  During 2002 we decided
that our first overseas trial would take place in Belgium, and appointed a local
manager who spent some months in the UK familiarising himself with the Greggs
culture and operational style.  We have undertaken extensive consumer research
and trials, and our first two shops opened at Leuven and Antwerp early in 2003,
offering a mixture of local specialities and standard Greggs product lines.  We
will refine and develop our range and concept in the light of continuing
consumer feedback, and will open a further one or two shops in Belgium as the
first stage of our trial.  This is a very closely controlled and low-risk
venture, in which we expect to invest some #500,000 of capital in the current
year.  If the trial proves successful, we will expand our shop base with the aim
of developing local production capabilities once we have reached a critical mass
of around 20 shops.  We expect this business to be profitable in four to five
years' time.

Ian Gregg

Ian Gregg is a very special man, as all who know him inside and outside the
business can testify.  He joined the family firm on the unexpected death of his
father in 1964 and led it up to its flotation 20 years later.  During that
period he grew the company from a single shop in Gosforth, Newcastle upon Tyne,
to a multi-divisional chain with over 300 outlets.  From the outset he endowed
Greggs with the fundamental principles of putting people first, on which our
success has undoubtedly been based.  Equally remarkably, given his founding role
and his undoubted entrepreneurial skills, Ian readily stepped back from
day-to-day management of the business on my appointment in 1984, and has given
me exemplary support as a non-executive Chairman.  On behalf of everyone in
Greggs, I would like to thank him for his unique and outstanding contribution
over his 38 years in the chair and look forward to his continued contribution as
a non-executive director.

People

We have written at length in this year's report about the importance we attach
to putting people first, notably in my earlier comments on our strategic
principles.  To those words I would merely like to add that the continued
success of the business remains a reflection of the quality of all our people.
Once again, I would like to thank everyone for their individual contributions to
meeting the expectations of our customers and shareholders.

Corporate governance

We are committed to continuous improvement and raising of standards.  In that
context, we continue to strive for good standards of corporate governance.  I
feel, however, that the ever-increasing bureaucracy and the proportion of Board
time associated with this area is beginning to adversely impact on the time that
can actually be devoted to the running of businesses in the interests of
shareholders.  It is a matter of sensible balance.

Outlook

As the Chairman has noted, we have made a positive start to the current year.
The outlook for ingredient costs is benign, though we anticipate a further #1.8
million increase in our insurance costs. Greggs has always focused on achieving
long term growth by building a simple business that strives to be the best in
its field.  Application of these principles has enabled us to attain market
leadership in the growing market for bakery-related takeaway food in the UK,
with a potent national brand, and will help us towards our ambitious targets for
further growth in the years ahead.



                                              Mike Darrington, Managing Director
                                                                    7 March 2003



Greggs plc
Group Profit and Loss Account
for the 52 weeks ended 28 December 2002
                                                                            2002                     2001
                                                                           #'000                    #'000

Turnover                                                                 422,600                  377,556
Cost of sales                                                          (163,406)                (147,468)
                                                                         _______                  _______

Gross profit                                                             259,194                  230,088

Distribution and selling costs                                         (192,790)                (172,711)
Administrative expenses                                                 (31,070)                 (25,780)
                                                                         _______                  _______


Operating profit                                                          35,334                   31,597

Net interest receivable and other income                                   1,332                    1,145
                                                                         _______                  _______

Profit on ordinary activities before taxation                             36,666                   32,742

Taxation on profit on ordinary activities                               (11,980)                  (9,933)
                                                                         _______                  _______

Profit on ordinary activities after taxation                              24,686                   22,809

Dividends paid and proposed                                              (8,570)                  (7,663)
                                                                         _______                  _______

Retained profit for the financial year                                    16,116                   15,146

                                                                          ======                   ======
Basic earnings per share                                                  205.5p                   190.2p
Diluted earnings per share                                                202.0p                   187.7p


The Group's operating profit for both the current and preceding financial year
derives from continuing operations.  There are no recognised gains or losses
during the current and previous year other than the profit for the year.


Greggs plc

Reconciliation of movement in consolidated shareholders' funds


                                                                            2002                     2001
                                                                           #'000                    #'000

Profit for the financial year                                             24,686                   22,809

Dividends                                                                (8,570)                  (7,663)
                                                                         _______                  _______

Retained profit for the financial year                                    16,116                   15,146
New share capital
- nominal value                                                                4                        3
- share premium                                                              291                      236
                                                                         _______                  _______


Net addition to shareholders' funds                                       16,411                   15,385
Opening shareholders' funds                                              103,554                   88,169
                                                                         _______                  _______


Closing shareholders' funds                                              119,965                  103,554
                                                                          ======                   ======



Greggs plc
Group Balance Sheet at 28 December 2002

                                                                     28 December               29 December
                                                                            2002                      2001
                                                              #'000        #'000        #'000        #'000
Fixed assets

Tangible assets                                                          148,184                   124,123
Investments                                                                3,561                     3,563
                                                                         _______                   _______

                                                                         151,745                   127,686
Current assets

Stocks                                                        6,330                     6,275
Debtors                                                      11,740                    12,406
Cash at bank and in hand                                     28,635                    30,027
                                                            _______                   _______


                                                             46,705                    48,708

Creditors: amounts falling due within one year             (64,943)                  (60,762)
                                                            _______                   _______
Net current liabilities                                                 (18,238)                  (12,054)

                                                                         _______                   _______


Total assets less current liabilities                                    133,507                   115,632

Creditors: amounts falling due after more than one
year                                                                       (119)                     (109)
                                                                           

Provisions for liabilities and charges

Deferred tax                                                            (13,423)                  (11,969)
                                                                         _______                   _______


                                                                         119,965                   103,554
                                                                          ======                    ======
Capital and reserves


Called up share capital                                                    2,404                     2,400
Share premium account                                                     10,085                     9,794
Profit and loss account                                                  107,476                    91,360
                                                                         _______                   _______


Equity shareholders' funds                                               119,965                   103,554
                                                                          ======                    ======





Greggs plc
Group Cash Flow Statement for the 52 weeks ended 28 December 2002

                                                                                    2002                     2001
                                                                     #'000         #'000         #'000      #'000

Net cash inflow from continuing operating activities                              55,555                   50,418

Returns on investments and servicing of finance

Interest received                                                    1,361                       1,354
Interest paid                                                         (29)                       (209)
                                                                   _______                     _______
Net cash inflow from returns on investments and servicing of
finance                                                                            1,332                    1,145

Taxation paid                                                                    (9,474)                  (6,005)

Capital expenditure and financial investments
Purchase of tangible fixed assets                                 (42,143)                    (27,385)
Disposal of tangible fixed assets                                    1,009                       1,888
Disposal of investments                                                  2                           -
                                                                   _______                     _______
Net cash outflow for capital expenditure and financial
investments                                                                     (41,132)                 (25,497)

Equity dividends paid                                                            (7,968)                  (7,067)
Financing
Issue of ordinary share capital                                        295                         239
Redemption of loan notes                                                 -                        (42)
Loan repayments                                                          -                     (2,039)
                                                                   _______                     _______
Net cash inflow / (outflow) from financing                                           295                  (1,842)
                                                                                 _______                  _______

Net (decrease) / increase in cash in the period                                  (1,392)                   11,152
                                                                                  ======                   ======





Greggs plc

Reconciliation of operating profit to net cash inflow from operating activities


                                                                               2002                        2001
                                                                #'000         #'000         #'000         #'000

Operating profit                                                             35,334                      31,597
Depreciation charges                                                         16,813                      14,907
Loss / (profit) on disposal of fixed assets                                     260                       (248)
Release of government grants                                                    (7)                        (24)
Increase in stocks                                               (55)                       (639)
Decrease / (increase) in debtors                                  666                       (513)
Increase in creditors                                           2,544                       5,338
                                                              _______                     _______
Net increase in working capital                                               3,155                       4,186
                                                                            _______                     _______


Net cash inflow from continuing operating activities                         55,555                      50,418
                                                                            =======                      ======

NOTE:

The financial information set out above does not constitute the Company's
statutory accounts for the years ended 28 December 2002 or 29 December 2001.
Statutory accounts for 2001 have been delivered to the Registrar of Companies,
whereas those for 2002 will be delivered following the Company's Annual General
Meeting.  The auditors have reported on those accounts; their reports were
unqualified and did not contain a statement under Section 237(2) or (4) of the
Companies Act 1985.



                      This information is provided by RNS
            The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
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