Goldcorp Beats Estimates in 3Q - Analyst Blog
October 29 2012 - 7:00AM
Zacks
Goldcorp Inc.’s (GG) adjusted earnings
(excluding one-time items other than stock based compensation
expenses) came in at 54 cents a share in the third quarter of 2012,
comfortably exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 45 cents.
However, the results were below 56 cents a share earned a year ago.
Revenues increased 17.6% year over year to $1.54 billion in the
quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.37 billion.
Operating improvements across the Red Lake and Penasquito mines
contributed to the growth in the quarter.
Gold sales jumped 8.1% year over year to 617,800 ounces and
production inched up 0.07% to 592,500 ounces. Total cash costs were
$220 per ounce of gold on a by-product basis and $660 per ounce on
a co-product basis.
Mining Highlights
At the Red Lake Mine in Canada, gold production went down almost
4.6% to 121,000 ounces and total cash cost was $535 per ounce, a
year-over-year jump of almost 32%.
At Porcupine in Ontario, gold production decreased 30.4% to
53,100 ounces with total cash cost coming in at $929 per ounce.
Mine sequencing which led to lower grades resulted in the decline
in production.
Gold production at Musselwhite climbed 9.7% to 65,500 ounces at
a total cash cost of $699 per ounce, driven by a 13% increase in
mill throughput.
At the Penasquito mine, gold production soared 125.8% to 126,000
ounces, driven by strong grades in the deeper portions of the
current pit phase. Strong by-product metals production led to total
cash cost of negative $608 per ounce of gold on a by-product basis.
Silver production at the mine was about 7 million compared with 4.2
million in the year ago quarter.
At the Los Filos mine, gold production increased 8.8% to 79,700
ounces at total cash cost of $595 per ounce.
At Marlin, gold production almost halved from the year-ago
quarter to 47,900 ounces at a cash cost of $40 per ounce on a
by-product basis. Silver production declined 33.5% to 1.5 million
ounces. The decrease in production was due to the completion of
open pit mining operations in the Marlin pit at the end of
2011.
At Alumbrera, gold and copper production totaled 40,500 ounces
and 31.2 million pounds, respectively, a year-over-year increase of
6% and 9.1%, respectively. Total cash cost was negative $628 per
ounce on a by-product basis.
During the third quarter, first gold was poured at Pueblo Viejo,
where Goldcorp holds a 40% interest with the rest owned by
Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX). Commercial
production is expected in December 2012. At the end of the
third quarter of 2012, more than 2 million contained gold ounces
were stockpiled.
Financial Position
As of September 30, 2012, cash and cash equivalents were $894
million versus $1,502 million as of December 31 2011. The company’s
operating cash flow before working capital changes amounted to $687
million in the quarter.
Project Update
Goldcorp is conducting several studies related to a number of
its growth projects. A study is under review which will include
updated project costs and timing of first gold at Cochenour.
Infrastructure, construction, mine development and exploration
activities continued to advance the Cerro Negro project in
Argentina.
Several major engineering projects were completed at the
Eleonore project in Quebec. The El Morro project in Chile has been
suspended since April 30, 2012, pending the correction by the
Chilean environmental permitting authority.
Outlook and Recommendation
Goldcorp reiterated its guidance for 2012 and expects to produce
2.35 million to 2.45 million ounces of gold this year. Total cash
costs are expected in the range of $310 to $340 per ounce of gold
on a by-product basis. On a co-product basis, it maintained its
cash cost guidance of $625 to $650 per ounce.
We currently have a long-term Neutral recommendation on
Goldcorp. The company, which competes with Barrick Gold Corporation
and Newmont Mining Corp. (NEM), carries a Zacks #3
Rank, indicating a short-term Hold rating.
BARRICK GOLD CP (ABX): Free Stock Analysis Report
GOLDCORP INC (GG): Free Stock Analysis Report
NEWMONT MINING (NEM): Free Stock Analysis Report
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