Has Bitcoin Price Broken Out Of Downtrend Resistance? BTCUSD Analysis October 6, 2022
October 06 2022 - 05:30PM
NEWSBTC
In this episode of NewsBTC’s daily technical analysis
videos, we examine a possible breakout of Bitcoin price on
linear scale. We also compare the breakout on logarithmic scale to
determine if the signal might be a reliable sign the bottom could
be in. Take a look at the video below: VIDEO: Bitcoin Price
Analysis (BTCUSD): October 6, 2022 Related Reading: Bitcoin Bulls
Snap Back With The Bollinger Bands | BTCUSD Analysis October 5,
2022 Is This The Bitcoin Breakout We’ve Been Waiting For? Bitcoin
price has broken out of an important downtrend line on linear
scale. The downtrend line connects the peak at $68K, the top in
March at $48K, and several recent rejections. On the lowest
timeframes, Bitcoin has pushed outside of this diagonal sloping
trend line. Before bulls begin to celebrate, BTCUSD is best charted
on logarithmic scale. Switching to log scale immediately makes
the trend line seem obsolete. Moving the trend line across the same
turning points in the market, produces a lot less steep of a
downtrend line. Linear scale breakout leaves room leftover in log
scale | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com BTCUSD Momentum
Comparison Using The MACD And LMACD The standard MACD tool also
makes sense to use with a linear scale chart. But if you want more
direct comparisons of momentum across larger time scales, you also
need to use a logarithm version of the tool. Using the regular
MACD to compare past price action isn’t practical. The LMACD also
tends to provide more reliable signals. For example here, Bitcoin
has already crossed bullish on the MACD long ago, while the LMACD
is only about to confirm after several more weeks of sideways. The
MACD and linear scale (left) versus the LMACD and log scale (right)
| Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Related Reading: Bitcoin Bounce
Coincides With Possible Macro Reversal | BTCUSD Analysis October 4,
2022 Why The Log Scale Shows Several More Weeks Of Crypto Winter A
historical view of linear scale versus log scale shows the
difference between the two types of charts across BTCUSD price
action. On the linear chart, anything prior to 2017 looks like a
flat line, meanwhile there were price swings of thousands of
percent up and 80 to 90% down several times over. But again, there
is that breakout. Comparing the same type of breakout during past
bear markets shows that there is very little significance on linear
scale. In 2018, BTC broke out of several downtrend resistance
lines, only to form new ones. In 2014, BTC made it out of the
downtrend, only to later retest the line as resistance turned
support. Diagonal downtrend lines in log scale are endlessly more
reliable. The log downtrend lines in linear scale show that Bitcoin
has a lot more to go before it breaks free of this crypto winter.
Bitcoin probably has a lot more to go before a viable breakout |
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com Learn crypto technical analysis
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insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content
is educational and should not be considered investment
advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from
TradingView.com
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