Retreat From Risk Boosts Treasurys
March 27 2020 - 6:21PM
Dow Jones News
By Sam Goldfarb
U.S. Treasurys rallied and corporate bonds slumped Friday,
reflecting investors' caution following a three-day rally in stocks
and other riskier assets.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note settled at
0.744%, according to Tradeweb, compared with 0.806% Thursday.
Yields, which fall when bond prices rise, declined as the Dow
Jones Industrial Average dropped roughly 4%, giving up some of its
more-than-20% gain from the previous three days.
The decline in yields signaled to some observers that the bond
market is functioning more normally after weeks in which investors
sometimes sold both Treasurys and stocks -- a sign that they were
unloading anything they could to raise cash rather than turning to
Treasurys for safety.
Friday's move, though, also reflected continued anxiety about
the economic outlook, as investors grappled with the implications
of the coronavirus pandemic and the aggressive measures to contain
it.
This week's rally in stocks has been fueled in part by optimism
among investors that the Federal Reserve and Congress might limit
the economic wreckage from shutdowns, border closures and job
losses through a series of extraordinary monetary and fiscal
interventions.
At the end of the week, however, investors are still faced with
the "reality that even a $2 trillion fiscal stimulus may not be
fully sufficient in order to avert a rather painful recession,"
said Jon Hill, a U.S. interest-rates strategist at BMO Capital
Markets.
In keeping with investors' reduced appetite for risk, corporate
bonds were having a more difficult session following a recent
bright patch.
At Friday's close, the cost of protecting $10 million
investment-grade corporate bonds against default for five years
using credit derivatives was around $110,000, according to IHS
Markit's CDX index. That was up from $96,700 at Thursday's close,
though still down from $150,800 last Friday.
New 3.05% 10-year notes issued by 3M Co. on Wednesday traded at
a yield that was 2.09 percentage points above the comparable
Treasury yield, according to MarketAxess, up from a
1.9-percentage-point spread at the end of Thursday though down from
their initial spread of 2.25 percentage points.
The spread on McDonald's Corp.'s new 3.6% notes due in 2030
traded as wide as 2.54 percentage points, compared with 2.46
percentage points Thursday, before tightening back to 2.43
percentage points.
Write to Sam Goldfarb at sam.goldfarb@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
March 27, 2020 18:06 ET (22:06 GMT)
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