Oxford Industries (NYSE:OXM)
Historical Stock Chart
3 Months : From Jun 2019 to Sep 2019
By Patrick Thomas
The makers of Tommy Bahama shirts, Hollister brand clothes and Play-Doh are moving production out of China to different corners of the globe as more consumer goods are potentially subject to the Trump administration's proposed 25% tariff on nearly all Chinese imports.
Companies have become more vocal in reassuring investors and Wall Street analysts that they are diversifying their supply chains away from China amid growing trade tensions. Firms are moving production to countries like India, Malaysia, South Korea, Taiwan, Vietnam and Mexico.
Manufacturers of clothing, footwear and other low-margin consumer items have been moving out of China in recent years due to rising costs, but tariffs that have been implemented and threatened have accelerated that trend.
In the first quarter of this year, imports of furniture, vacuums, refrigerators, lamps and various other consumer goods in China has declined anywhere from 13% to 40% from a year earlier, according to data from global trade intelligence firm Panjiva.
"We think U.S. companies will continue to optimize their supply chains and divert away from China," analysts at S&P Global Ratings said in a research note. "However, this strategy is not costless. It's limited by near-term capacity constraints and will be more challenging for sectors that require skilled labor and high-value manufacturing."
Oxford Industries Inc. (OXM) Chief Executive Thomas Chubb said about 54% of its production was in China last year and that it would be "materially less than it was last year" in 2019. "Beyond the first half of next year, we'd expect to be operating really as normal again to basically fully mitigating the impact of the tariffs," Mr. Chubb said earlier this month.
Oxford, which owns brands like Tommy Bahama, Lilly Pulitzer and Southern Tide, is moving production to countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, India and Peru, Financial Chief Scott Grassmyer said on a call with analysts earlier this month.
Ralph Lauren Corp. (RL), which sources about a third of its products from China, according to its latest annual filing, said last month that tariffs on Chinese imports enacted thus far have had a limited impact on its business. However, the apparel and accessories maker said that the trade spat has accelerated efforts to diversify where it sources items to mitigate the long-term impact of any potential tariffs.
Tailored Brands Inc. (TLRD), the Houston-based parent of clothing retailers Men's Wearhouse and Jos. A. Bank, plans to cut the amount of product it receives from China to between 18% and 20% this year, Financial Chief Jack Calandra said during the company's quarterly conference call earlier this month. The company has already lowered the percentage of goods it receives from China to 23% from a year ago and from 30% in 2017.
"We believe we can absorb new tariffs as high as 25% within our existing product cost structure with minimal impact to our bottom line," Mr. Calandra said. "This outlook is thanks to the hard work of our supply chain team, which moved quickly last year to diversify our sourcing."
It can be costly and time consuming to uproot production from one country and replicate supply chains elsewhere. Columbia Sportswear Co. (COLM) said in testimony to federal trade officials that the products it imports from China are highly specialized and tied to significant investments made in tooling, machinery and training personnel.
If it were to move its remaining production operations out of China, Columbia said it would have to spend at least $3 million to buy new machinery and train a new workforce, a process that would take about a year. Vietnam and China accounted for about 61% of Columbia's 2018 apparel, accessories and equipment production, according to its latest annual securities filing.
In a letter to U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, Brunswick Billiards, which was recently sold by Brunswick Co. (BC) to KPS Capital Partners, said it sources its air hockey, foosball and table-tennis products from China and that it is difficult to find suitable replacement suppliers. Company general manager John Kazik said in an interview the company is in wait-and-see mode and if it were to move the production of those products, which make up 15% of its total business, out of China it would take about six months to a year.
"Chinese manufacturers have dominated this industry for years, limiting the availability of alternative suppliers outside of China," the company said in its letter. "For this segment, the types of foosball, air hockey, and table tennis tables are almost all exclusively built in China."
Hasbro Inc. (HAS) said it brings in about two-thirds of its products from China, down from more than 80% in 2012. The company has brought production of certain products, such as Magic: The Gathering cards, board games like Monopoly and Play-Doh, back to the U.S., Chief Executive Brian Goldner said last month. Over the next five years, Hasbro could lower its total imports from China to less than a third, he said.
"We've also moved our strategic sourcing footprint to places like India and to Vietnam and other places--Mexico and other places and as I said in the U.S.," Mr. Goldner said at a conference at Bernstein in May.
A Hasbro spokeswoman said the company now sources 20% of the toys and games it sells in the U.S. from U.S. suppliers, and that it intends to increase that figure year-over-year. "Hasbro's current goal is to achieve 64% global sourcing from China by the end of 2019 and 60% or less by the end of 2020," she said.
Write to Patrick Thomas at email@example.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
June 28, 2019 14:54 ET (18:54 GMT)
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