Economy Down, Pawn Stocks Up - Investment Ideas
September 14 2011 - 8:00PM
Zacks
Anyone searching for a counter cyclical stock that benefits from
high unemployment and a weak credit market needs to start looking
at pawn and payday lenders. I'm sure images of toothless criminals,
shady back-alley deals and missing gold chains come to more than a
few minds. But a closer look at the group reveals a very legitimate
industry that has seen big gains over the last two years in the
weak consumer environment.
High Unemployment
At the very top, high unemployment rates have
forced consumers to get creative with their funding. That has many
people selling old possessions like musical instruments and jewelry
in order to fund their daily operations. That has pushed a huge
wave of business into the hands of the pawn stores, which provide a
regulated environment for the exchange of goods between two willing
participants.
Limited Credit
The battered credit market has also been a boon for
the industry, where its common to see payday lending services
paired with a pawn operation. In the old days, before the big
financial crisis of 2008, credit was much easier to come by,
providing a trusted source of liquidity for many households across
the country. But with the big banks paring down on their risk and
reigning in their credit exposure, many consumers who relied on
their credit card to get them through the end of the month were
simply out of luck. They have now turned to payday lending
services, where many people take a cash advance against a pending
paycheck in order to hold them over until payday.
Industry Consolidation
And finally, on a wave of impressive sales and
earnings growth, the industry has gone through an unprecedented
cycle of consolidation over the last few years. That has increased
the industry's domestic and international presence while reducing
costs through operational efficiencies, a powerful one-two punch
for sustained earnings growth.
So as you can see, there are more than a few
reasons to be seriously bullish on the pawn and payday lending
industry. Here are a few top names in the space.
Top Three Pawn Stocks
First Cash Financial Services (FCFS)
provides both pawn and payday lending services and has a market cap
of $1.56 billion. This Zacks #2 Rank stock has been on a tear in
2011, handily outperforming the market with a whopping 62% gain.
That movement has been supported by an average earnings surprise of
7% over the last four quarters and bullish 20% growth
projection.
EZCorp (EZPW) is involved in both pawning
and payday loans, operates in Canada, Mexico and the United States
and has a market cap of $1.66 billion. EZPW has an average earnings
surprise of 9% over the last four quarters and a bullish growth
projection of 20%. But in spite of solid 22% gain, shares still
have value, with a PEG ratio .6 well below the benchmark of 1 for
value.
And finally, we have Cash America International,
Inc. (CSH), a Zacks #2 Rank stock that is up more than 50% on
the year. The pure payday lender has an average earnings surprise
of 13% over the last four quarters and a bullish 15% growth
projection. And with a PEG ratio below 1 as well, CSH offers a nice
combination of growth and value.
Michael Vodicka is the Momentum Stock Strategist
for Zacks.com. He is also the Editor in charge of the Zacks
Momentum Trader Service.
CASH AM INTL (CSH): Free Stock Analysis Report
EZCORP INC CL A (EZPW): Free Stock Analysis Report
FIRST CASH FINL (FCFS): Free Stock Analysis Report
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